After his victory at UFC 309, Jon Jones is a +100 underdog at Sportsbook vs Tom Aspinall (-128) in a future UFC heavyweight title unification bout.
The Jones vs Aspinall odds aren't all that surprising, as Aspinall's youth and dominant victories make him a legit contender. Jones' odds will likely shorten once this fight is booked, setting us up for one of the best heavyweight title fights in promotion history.
Here are our Jones vs Aspinall odds and picks for this fight.
Jones vs Aspinall Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jon Jones | +100 |
| Tom Aspinall | -128 |
Odds as of June 19 at Sportsbook
Why Hasn't This Fight Been Booked Yet?
While both fighters have expressed interest, the UFC has yet to officially book Jon Jones vs Tom Aspinall. Jones has been recovering from injury and hasn't fought since UFC 309, while Aspinall has stayed active and continued to call for the fight.
UFC President Dana White confirmed that Jones accepted the fight, but also warned that if the champion doesn't commit soon, the promotion may move forward without him. Some insiders believe the holdup is more about timing and negotiations than reluctance from either fighter.
The matchup is still widely expected to happen, especially given the stakes and the public demand. But with no firm date announced, the odds remain speculative until the UFC puts pen to paper.
How To Bet Aspinall
Aspinall won't submit Jones, so he must buzz around him for a KO. Entrances will be key for Aspinall, as Jones does a good job evading (running from) his opponent when he senses danger. The interim champion can use his blitzes and quick combos to get Jones moving backward and then unload from there.
It's easier said than done, but there's little chance Aspinall wins a point fight against an all-time IQ man like Jones. Aspinall by KO is the only bet to make if you're keen on the Englishman. Maybe you even sprinkle Aspinall to win in Round 1.
How To Bet Jones
Aspinall will test Jones' defense. It would be unlike "Bones" to plant and trade with Aspinall at all during this fight. He'll find ways to escape and look for a tie-up to keep himself safe before attacking a takedown or something more creative. Jones is the king of ground-and-pound, so it could be an early night if the champ ends up in top position.
If Jones has his way, this fight will go OVER 1.5 rounds. Since I expect the Jones vs Aspinall odds to correct themselves soon (and make Jones the favorite), I recommend Jones by KO as my bet. Aspinall's pressure-cooker style won't let him go the distance.
Jones vs Aspinall Pick
Jones by KO is my play vs Aspinall, who has gone to the second round once in his UFC career. Aspinall will force Jones to get aggressive, and this fight will end with a bang.
