Paddy Pimblett will be aiming to improve his UFC record to 3-0 with another speedy finish in front of hometown fans when he takes on fellow lightweight Jordan Leavitt at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall.
UFC Fight Night 208 is set to take place on Saturday, July 23, at The O2 Arena in London, England, with all the action available on ESPN+.
After tallying first-round finishes in each of his past four overall contests, Pimblett has emerged as a clear favorite on the UFC London odds.
Paddy Pimblett vs Jordan Leavitt Betting Odds
Online sportsbook BetOnline Sportsbook has got you covered with all the UFC London odds, and has listed Pimblett as a -240 favorite, while Leavitt lags as a +205 underdog. That means Pimblett backers must wager $240 to generate potential winnings of $100, while a successful $100 bet on Holloway will generate tidy winnings of $205.
Odds as of June 28 at BetOnline Sportsbook
A deeper dive into the Pimblett vs Leavitt betting line using our sports betting calculator shows that the odds for “Paddy the Baddy” translate into an implied win probability of 70.59 percent, while Leavitt’s odds reflect an implied win probability of just 32.79 percent.
This matchup sets the table for the main event of the night, which features a battle between heavyweights Curtis Blaydes and Tom Aspinall, and provides a great opportunity for fans to get into UFC betting action for the first time.
So head on over to our How to Bet on UFC guide to learn about UFC betting. In addition, we have done all the homework on the best UFC betting sites to help you decide where to bet on the UFC. All of your UFC betting news can be found here at Odds Shark.
Pimblett vs Leavitt Odds Analysis
Pimblett joined the UFC last year amid much-deserved fanfare after spending the previous eight years plying his trade in Cage Warriors. The 27-year-old Englishman is coming off a first-round submission win over Kazula Vargas when the UFC last visited London back in March, paying out as massive -640 chalk and claiming a second straight Performance of the Night bonus.
That marked a big step forward at the sportsbooks for the Merseyside native, who was listed as a slim -155 favorite ahead of his first-round knockout win over Luigi Vendramini in his promotional debut at UFC Vegas 36.
Leavitt looks to build on a narrow split-decision win over Trey Ogden just two months ago at UFC Vegas 51. “The Monkey King” now rides a two-fight win streak, with each of those victories coming while listed as a +115 bet, ending a stretch of three straight fights in which he was pegged as betting chalk.
Pimblett vs Leavitt Betting Preview
Paddy the Baddy has so far lived up to the hype in his first two Octagon appearances. Pimblett has demonstrated his ability to win standing up and on the mat, with his KO win over Vendramini and his subsequent submission win over Vargas. Pimblett has already established himself as a submission specialist, with eight of his 18 career victories coming by tap-out, including five submission wins inside five minutes.
Overall, he has finished opponents 11 times so far in his career. And while he does have one first-round defeat on his record, the other two losses of his pro MMA career came by unanimous decision after five rounds in failed bids to claim the Cage Warriors featherweight and lightweight crowns.
However, slow starts in his two UFC contests to date are a cause for concern. Pimblett stumbled out of the gate against Vendramini and was clearly trailing in the fight before exploding with a flurry of punches that quickly ended the hostilities.
He also was quickly taken down within seconds of the opening bell of his last outing, and was controlled by Vargas for almost three minutes before turning the tables and forcing the tap-out.
Leavitt’s Stamina To Be Put To The Test
Jordan Leavitt was forced to settle for a split decision last time out, but he likely deserved a better fate. The Monkey King dominated at times in his date with Ogden, outpacing the UFC debutant in significant strikes and control time before running out of gas in the third and final round.
Overall, Leavitt has claimed victory in four of five outings since joining the UFC, starting with an impressive first-round submission win over Jose Flores on Dana White’s Contender Series that earned him a UFC contract.
Like Pimblett, Leavitt has made a name for himself as a submission specialist, with six of his 10 career wins coming by tap-out. He has also finished opponents inside five minutes in four of his 11 career fights.
However, his ability to go the distance, even in a three-round clash, is far from established. In addition to narrowly escaping with a split-decision win over Ogden, Leavitt saw the lone defeat of his career come last summer at UFC Vegas 28, where he was badly outclassed by another submission specialist, Claudio Puelles, on his way to a three-round unanimous-decision loss.
Pimblett vs Leavitt Betting Pick
Pimblett cannot afford yet another shaky start against an accomplished grappler like Leavitt. That said, Leavitt’s best chances of victory are likely to come early on. While both these fighters bring strong submission credentials to this contest, expect Pimblett to use his superior punching power to his advantage, as he wears down Leavitt and dictates the terms of engagement.
Prediction: Paddy Pimblett (-240); UNDER 2.5 rounds
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Odds Shark Staff Sat, Aug 13, 4:03am