Montel Jackson is a -295 favorite, while former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo returns as a +220 underdog at FanDuel ahead of this bantamweight clash at UFC Rio on October 11 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
This matchup pits Jackson’s rangy, disciplined striking and high-percentage wrestling against Figueiredo’s explosive counter power and dangerous submission game. The former champ is still lethal, but the numbers suggest a style built to win rounds quietly belongs to Jackson.
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Figueiredo vs Jackson Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Montel Jackson | -295 |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | +220 |
Odds as of October 10 at FanDuel
Figueiredo vs Jackson betting Trends
- Figueiredo has been stopped just three times in 19 UFC fights (once due to an injury, and twice by Brandon Moreno).
- Jackson has been favored in all 11 career UFC fights (9-2 record).
- Figueiredo is 3-1 when he fights in Brazil.
Figueiredo vs Jackson Prediction
Deiveson Figueiredo was one of the most explosive finishers at flyweight, twice holding UFC gold behind his thunderous counter right hand and dangerous submission game. Moving to bantamweight, he remains a threat whenever an opponent gives him an opening. His 54% striking accuracy and 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes demonstrate his efficiency when fights descend into chaos.
However, Figueiredo has always been hittable, absorbing 3.64 significant strikes per minute while defending just 49% of strikes. That defensive leak becomes more costly at 135 pounds, where opponents like Montel Jackson bring more length and power. Figueiredo will still look to punish jabs with calf kicks and overhand counters, but over three rounds, he often relies on fight-swinging moments rather than steady output.
Montel Jackson enters with one of the cleanest statistical profiles in the division. At 5-foot-10 with a 75-inch reach, he lands 3.22 significant strikes per minute and absorbs only 1.39, an elite defensive mark backed by 62% significant strike avoidance. He is also a strong, efficient wrestler, averaging 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes at 62% accuracy, and faces a Figueiredo who stops just 58% of attempts. Jackson is patient, uses his jab to control distance, and can mix in body lock takedowns to bank control time without taking big risks.
The big question is whether Jackson can avoid Figueiredo’s guillotine and big counters. If he shoots recklessly or plants his chin in mid-range, the former champion can still swing the fight. However, if Jackson stays disciplined, maintains his head position safely on entries, jabs from the outside, and selects smart moments to clinch, the numbers favor him to win rounds cleanly.
