Gervonta Davis vs Leo Santa Cruz Betting Odds

Gervonta Davis vs Leo Santa Cruz Odds Analysis & Prediction

The WBA super featherweight title and the WBA lightweight strap will both be up for grabs this Saturday night, October 31, at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas, as Gervonta Davis collides with Leo Santa Cruz.

Looking at the Davis vs Santa Cruz odds, it is the American, Davis, who is the betting favorite with the Mexican, Santa Cruz, coming back as the underdog.

This will be Santa Cruz’s fifth super featherweight title defense since his majority-decision win over Carl Frampton in January 2017. Of course, that bout was a rematch from six months prior when Frampton handed Santa Cruz the first loss of his pro career.

Having never tasted defeat is Davis (23-0), who is making his first lightweight title defense and is looking to reclaim his super featherweight title after he vacated the division to capture lightweight gold.

Online sportsbook [Sportsbook not available for your region] has released the Davis vs Santa Cruz odds with Davis coming in as the -800 favorite and Santa Cruz coming back at +500. This means that you would have to wager $800 to profit $100 with a Davis win while a $100 bet on Santa Cruz would profit you $500.

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According to our sports betting calculator, the Davis odds of -800 have an implied win probability of 88.89 percent, while Santa Cruz’s odds of +500 have an implied win probability of 16.67 percent.

Gervonta Davis vs Leo Santa Cruz Odds

Gervonta Davis-800
Leo Santa Cruz+500

Odds as of October 31 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

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Davis vs Santa Cruz Broadcast Information

  • Date/Time: October 31, 9 p.m. ET
  • Arena: Alamodome
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas
  • Where to Watch: Showtime PPV

Davis vs Santa Cruz Odds Analysis

This is old hat for “Tank” Davis to enter the boxing ring as a favorite, since there has been a minus sign before his odds through most of his pro career. He’s had tighter odds in only two previous fights.

Davis closed as an EVEN-money underdog to win his first world title when he knocked out Jose Pedraza in the seventh round, and he was -350 for his first defense against Liam Walsh, a bout he won in the third round.

Meanwhile, we have seen “El Terremoto” Santa Cruz as an underdog only once and he cashed, so bettors may be interested in going back to the well and testing fate again.

As mentioned above, Santa Cruz initially lost to Frampton but won the rematch as a +120 underdog. Outside of that scrap, El Terremoto has been the betting favorite in the rest of his bouts.

Davis vs Santa Cruz Preview And Prediction

Davis has outstanding power with 22 of his 23 pro wins coming by knockout. But he doesn’t fight with reckless abandon when he’s in the ring – he uses outstanding footwork and fight IQ to set up his heavy hands, landing about 50 percent of his power punches in his pro career.

He varies his attack effectively from the body to the head, from jabs to hooks, keeping his opponents on edge until he really lets his hands go to try to end the night.

Santa Cruz doesn’t have quite the punching power Davis does, with 19 of his 37 pro wins coming by knockout. That said, he’s a rangy fighter who doesn’t use a lot of footwork to close the distance, rather allowing his opponents to come to him and then matching them blow for blow in the pocket.

Having never been knocked out, he can employ this strategy and hopefully tire out his foes as his pace rarely slows. In the phone booth, he has really fast hands that land in bunches.

At times, El Terremoto will leave his strikes a little long, which against a speedy Tank could open him up for quick counters. Although Santa Cruz is the longer fighter, he doesn’t fight that style, preferring a close-range battle. I think for him to get the fight there, he will have to be a bully, but doing so puts him in great danger due to Davis’ power.

As for Davis, he needs to stay out of that phone booth style of fight, get in and out trying to draw an attack from Santa Cruz, and counter.

Prediction: Gervonta Davis (-800) via knockout rounds 10-12 (+850)

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