Diaz vs Masvidal Odds & Picks: Gamebred Heavy Fav

Two ex-UFC fan favorites are going at it, and we've got all the odds and picks you need for when Jorge Masvidal (-225 favorite) challenges Nate Diaz (+175 underdog) in a boxing match on July 6. 

The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds, and the Diaz vs Masvidal odds aren't giving ol' Nate much of a hometown boost in front of a Los Angeles crowd.

Nate Diaz vs Jorge Masvidal Odds

Nate Diaz+175
Jorge Masvidal-225

Odds as of June 10

According to our sports betting calculator, Masvidal's -225 odds give him a 69.23% chance of winning, and a $100 bet on him nets $144.44. Diaz's +175 status gives him an implied 36.36% chance, with $100 paying out $275. 

Diaz vs Masvidal Betting Preview: Who Will Win?

In their UFC days, each fighter approached things a little differently. Masvidal was a street brawler by nature with sound boxing and a flair for dramatic stoppages. Diaz fought a little softer, using his wiry arms and strong cardio to wear down opponents.

How To Bet Diaz vs Masvidal

I'm very curious to see what shape each guy enters this fight in. Masvidal's physique declined during his final UFC days, and with Diaz's incessant cardio, we could see an advantage for Stockton's finest.

Both fighters have pretty uncrackable chins. Masvidal only suffered one knockout loss in his UFC career compared to two KOs for Diaz. Either way, the heavier gloves will take some heat off those punches, making a finish unlikely. 

Diaz will feint and fight awkwardly, but volume wins these exhibition-adjacent fights at the end of the day. You need to throw and throw and throw. Masvidal strikes me as the guy to do that.

Nate Diaz vs Jorge Masvidal Pick

Unless he enters the ring looking like a bag of milk, Masvidal will best Diaz on strength, volume, and, ultimately, on the scorecards in this 10-round bout. 

These boxing matches can always get a little dicey, but the 10-round format guarantees that the fresher fighter will win out.

Pick: Masvidal by decision; fight goes the distance

Back to Top