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Manny Pacquiao vs Mikey Garcia Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manny Pacquaio vs Mikey Garcia Betting Odds

There’s been much speculation on who might be the man to stand across from Manny Pacquaio next, with names like Conor McGregor, Errol Spence and Terence Crawford coming up. However, it appears that the WBA (Super) welterweight champion will be defending his belt against Mikey Garcia in early 2021.

Although this fight hasn’t been made official, online sportsbook BetOnline has released Pacquiao vs Garcia odds and set the champion, Pacquiao, as the slight -120 favorite with the challenger, Garcia, coming back at EVEN money. This means you would need to wager $120 to profit $100 on “Pac Man” while a $100 bet on Garcia would profit you another $100.

Manny Pacquiao vs Mikey Garcia Odds

FighterOdds
Manny Pacquiao-120
Mikey Garcia+100

Odds as of November 13 at BetOnline

According to our sports betting calculator, Pacquaio’s odds of -120 have an implied win probability of 54.55 percent and Garcia’s odds of +100 have an implied win probability of 50.00 percent.

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Pacquaio vs Garcia Odds Analysis

The betting odds for Pacquaio have been fairly tight over the last few years, though he has been the favorite. The average line over his last six fights since he fought Timothy Bradley Jr. for the second time in 2016 has been -360, so clearly the -120 opening odds represent his tightest line in quite some time. However, there has been little risk betting on him as a favorite as he is 5-1 over that span, losing only to Jeff Horn in 2017.

Bettors will be licking their chops seeing plus odds for Garcia, who has been the betting favorite through much of his career. He did close as an underdog against Errol Spence in their fight in March 2019 and didn’t cash for backers, suffering his first and only pro loss by unanimous decision.

Pacquiao vs Garcia Preview & Pick

Where do we start when talking about Pac Man, who is considered one of the best southpaw boxers of all time, holding major titles in four different weight divisions and holding titles in four different decades. Pacquiao has tremendous punching power and seemingly has no fear as he stands in the pocket looking to exchange hands with his opponents.

His speed and footwork make him elusive even when he’s standing in punching range and his aggressive combinations don’t give his opponents a ton of room to breathe.

Garcia is much more of a patient fighter, primarily working behind his jab in an orthodox stance, though he will switch to southpaw from time to time. He doesn’t use a lot of extra energy getting out of the way of danger, looking to twist at the hips and counter rather than run away.

Typically, early in the fight, he looks to throw one punch at a time, but when he throws combinations, he tends to really open up and overextend, which can leave him vulnerable to counters.

This is a good stylistic matchup for Pac Man because Garcia doesn’t usually throw a ton of volume and likes to stay in the pocket and exchange hands. I think Pacquiao will be the faster of the two and has more punching power, but Garcia is durable and gritty. This fight has the makings of an all-out war.

Prediction: Manny Pacquaio (-120) via decision