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Webb Simpson is favored in the John Deere Classic Odds

A dramatic finish to the 70th Travelers Championship saw Olympic gold medalist Xander Schauffele narrowly come away victorious for his sixth title on the PGA Tour.

Schauffele is often a staple on the first page of the leaderboard in major championships and it will be interesting to see if he can keep this momentum rolling into the Open Championship in a couple of weeks. However, he is not in the field for this week’s 2022 John Deere Classic, with fellow former Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup teammate Webb Simpson topping the oddsboard.

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Simpson has not played all too often in 2022 due to an injury during the winter but he is coming off a nice T-13 finish at the Travelers Championship. That marked his first top-15 result since the RSM Classic all the way back in the fall of 2021.

The Wake Forest product is listed at +1400 in odds to win the John Deere Classic at Bovada. Not far behind is Canadian Adam Hadwin at +1800, last week’s runner-up Sahith Theegala at +2200, Denny McCarthy at +2800 and Maverick McNealy at +2800.

According to our odds calculator, Simpson has a 6.67 percent chance to win for the first time since the 2020 RBC Heritage. In what is a rather weak field for the PGA Tour, the former major winner and Players Championship victor is the clear class of the competition and is the rightful favorite for this year’s John Deere Classic.

2022 John Deere Classic Betting Odds

Odds To Win The 2022 John Deere Classic 
GolferOdds
Webb Simpson+1400
Adam Hadwin+1800
Sahith Theegala+2200
Denny McCarthy +2800
Maverick McNealy+2800
Patrick Rodgers+2800
Cameron Davis+3300
Charles Howell III+3300
Jason Day+3300
Nick Hardy+3300
Adam Long+4000
Brendon Todd+4000
Cameron Champ+4000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+4000
JT Poston+4000
Scott Stallings+4000
Adam Schenk+5000
Adam Svensson+5000
CT Pan+5000
Chez Reavie+5000
Doug Ghim+5000
John Huh+5000

Odds as of June 28 at Bovada

2022 John Deere Classic Picks

Charles Howell III +3300 to win

The former Oklahoma State Cowboy has experienced an up-and-down 2022, yet appears to be on the upswing heading into the John Deere Classic. Finishing in a tie for 35th at the Travelers Championship, Howell gained +1.23 strokes off the tee per round and an additional +0.61 strokes around the green per round at TPC River Highlands.

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This performance followed up a top-20 finish at the Memorial Tournament in which Howell was terrific with his irons and posted +1.20 strokes gained approach per round. He has a tremendous history at TPC Deere Run and could follow in the footsteps of veterans like Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson to win at this venue.

He has played in the John Deere Classic 10 times and has only missed the cut once, racking up six top-25 finishes, including last season when he narrowly lost strokes on approach.

The previous year, the 43-year-old collected a T-6 result, the best of his career, thanks to a great all-around performance which the state of his current game is trending to.

Kevin Streelman To Win +5000

Streelman has been hit-or-miss not only this season but throughout his career at the John Deere Classic. He comes into Silvis, Illinois, off a T-25 result at the Travelers Championship that saw him close strong on Sunday and break out of a mini slump of consecutive missed cuts. However, overall on the year, there has been more than just one flash of brilliance in the case of Streelman.

He finished inside the top 10 at the Valspar Championship and inside the top 20 at the Honda Classic courtesy of some competent off-the-tee play. The Duke product is a much better option on a course such as TPC Deere Run given most of the approach shots will fall into the wedge distance, his best yardage proximity.

The 43-year-old has proven this multiple times in the John Deere Classic as he has three top-10 finishes in his nine appearances. He has also mixed in a good number of missed cuts, but that is the profile of the type of player Streelman is – he will either contend or miss the weekend entirely.

Doug Ghim To Win +5000

This seems to be the perfect time to target Ghim as he returns to his home state of Illinois where he was raised just outside Chicago. The third-year PGA Tour member has flashed his best stuff on a number of occasions in 2022 but has consistently been a fixture when the competition is taking place on shorter golf courses where his iron play can thrive.

He finished inside the top 10 at the Players Championship and has since struggled. However, the month of June appeared to be kind to Ghim as he rediscovered his game on some difficult venues. He finished inside the top 60 at the Memorial Tournament and posted +0.88 strokes gained off the tee per round and +0.58 strokes gained approach per round.

He followed it up by gaining strokes throughout the bag at the RBC Canadian Open and eventually finished in a tie for 18th, his best result since March. This will be only his third appearance in the John Deere Classic, but he fared well last season, notching a top-20 finish and posting +1.72 strokes gained approach per round at TPC Deere Run.

Taylor Pendrith To Win +8000

The big Canadian has been battling injuries for most of the season but is ready to return to competition this week at the John Deere Classic. The last time we saw Pendrith on the PGA Tour, he finished inside the top 20 at the Players Championship and was slowly becoming a mainstay over the weekend in these tournaments.

There is still plenty of unknown for the rookie, but his statistical profile is ideal for TPC Deere Run. He is the longest hitter in this field and he thrives when he is able to get a wedge in his hand. That is the name of the game for players at the John Deere Classic when looking as past winners such as Stricker and Johnson.

To make matters even better, Pendrith can be a terrific putter, so despite the rust factor, he may still be able to contend in his debut appearance.

David Lipsky To Win +8000

The multiple-time DP World Tour winner has now missed two straight cuts on the PGA Tour, but the John Deere Classic should be a fantastic spot to get right. He has been great this year and has notched three top-10 finishes since the end of March.

Lipsky simply needs to get the putter rolling as he posted +0.51 strokes gained off the tee per round and +0.84 strokes gained approach per round last week at the Travelers Championship. This has been the story of his year and he should take confidence into TPC Deere Run knowing a putter such as Lucas Glover found success last season.

Lipsky tends to play his best golf when the conditions are the easiest and birdies are to be had, which is why I believe this is a tournament where he could do some real damage despite it being his first outing.

Course and Tournament Information

The John Deere Classic has often immediately preceded the Open Championship but due to a co-sanctioned event between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour taking place next week, it has been moved up on the calendar. Often, such a shift in the playing schedule comes with an increased strength of field, but unfortunately, that will not be the case for spectators who travel to TPC Deere Run to witness the action.

In fact, with Daniel Berger withdrawing from the tournament earlier this week, there are now no top-50 players in the Official World Golf Ranking in the field. Simpson headlines the action as the 58th-ranked player and the tournament offers a great chance for a rookie such as Theegala or a longtime PGA Tour player like McCarthy to possibly break through for a win.

To do so, players will need to conquer this par 71 that measures roughly 7,300 yards. TPC Deere Run features wide fairways and large greens and the tournament has historically turned into a shootout of sorts. Due to the nature of this event, not only will tee-to-green prowess be important, but so too will birdie-making abilities and putting.

What Happened In The 2021 John Deere Classic?

The 2021 John Deere Classic was an odd tournament, to say the least. Sebastian Munoz shot out of the gates to the first-round lead and for the majority of the week it appeared he and Kevin Na would duke it out in the Quad Cities.

However, then the weather got involved and with it came numerous players who were winless on the PGA Tour in quite some time. Adam Schenk took the lead into a rain-soaked final round and was hoping to fend off players such as Ryan Moore and Lucas Glover.

Unfortunately for Schenk, he was unable to do so, as it was the former U.S. Open champion Glover who eventually claimed the trophy at TPC Deere Run. Glover shot a final round of 7-under 64 and utilized his trusty tee-to-green presence on his way to victory.

The Clemson product ranked third in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, 29th in SG: Off-the-Tee, third in SG: Approach, 17th in SG: Around the Green and 19th in SG: Putting. Glover finished at 19 under on the week and was able to get the better of both Moore and Na by two strokes.