Odds To Win The Arnold Palmer Invitational: Rahm Tops The Odds

The Florida leg of the PGA Tour carries on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge.

Bay Hill has been a longtime stop for some of the premier players in the world, and a hefty purse and some FedExCup points have attracted another stacked field this week.

For the second year in a row, Jon Rahm is the opening favorite for the Arnold Palmer, sitting at +700 on the oddsboard. He’s followed by top golfers Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and Will Zalatoris.

Here’s a look at the golfers with the likeliest odds to win the Arnold Palmer:

Who Is Favored To Win The Arnold Palmer Invitational?

Odds as of February 28, 2023

Our odds calculator gives the Spaniard a 12.50 percent chance to find the winner’s circle at Bay Hill this weekend. To learn more about wagering on the links, check out our How to Bet on Golf page or you can just use our insights and tail our best bets below:

Bay Hill Course Analysis

Bay Hill Club & Lodge will once again present fits for some of the best players in the world. This par 72 has stood the test of time with an average winning score of 10 under over the last five years.

With all four par 3s measuring north of 200 yards, long iron play will be a prerequisite for success when also factoring in the long par 4s and the four par 5s. With those clubs in check, the next order of business on this Dick Wilson design is namely off the tee.

Driving the golf ball well has the ability to propel one’s name up the leaderboard, evident in past champions such as Bryson DeChambeau, McIlroy, Jason Day and Francesco Molinari. That should be no surprise on a track measuring north of 7,500 yards as penal rough outlines fairways and the advantage of taking a short iron over a mid-iron into these firm Bermuda grass greens has been well-documented.

2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Expert Picks:

Collin Morikawa +2000 To Win

We’re prioritizing long iron play for our picks this weekend and there are few better with those clubs than young American Collin Morikawa. He currently ranks eighth on the tour in strokes gained on approach and was third in the statistic last season.

Morikawa has come out swinging to start this season, finishing with a top-six in four of his last five tournaments. He’s only played the Arnold Palmer once (2020) since turning pro but finished ninth back then and has only improved as a golfer since.

Gary Woodland +6600 To Win

Woodland also has the tools of somebody who will be successful at Bay Hill, as he ranks eighth in average driving distance and 11th in strokes gained while approaching the green. When Woodland’s driver and irons are on, he’s built in a similar mold to Day and DeChambeau who have won here before.

The 38-year-old American hasn’t won a tournament since 2019, but he had success at the Arnold Palmer last year, finishing in fifth place, just two strokes back of top spot. He also looked strong in his most recent tournament, finishing ninth at the Genesis Invitational with three rounds under 70.

Arnold Palmer Invitational History

Arnold Palmer Invitational Props

Golf is unique for many reasons, but one of them is the significant number of betting props available at weekly tournaments. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is no different.

Sportsbooks are offering odds on things like whether there will be a hole-in-one, OVER/UNDERs on the winning score for the eventual champion and odds on which players from specific countries will have the lowest score, to name a few.

Like other sports, betting on props is a fun and unique way to enhance your golf gambling experience.

Live Betting

Live Betting is arguably one of the most exciting ways to bet on golf. If the player you placed a pre-tournament bet on is out of the running at any point during the Arnold Palmer Invitational, you can bet on another golfer as the days go by and have another stake in the game.

If there are only a few men in the hunt on the final day, the odds likely won’t be significantly high, but your chances of winning are.