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2021 Breeders’ Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets

2021 Breeders’ Cup predictions with expert picks and Breeders’ Cup best bets.

There are nine championship races on Breeders’ Cup Saturday, highlighted by the $6-million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1). There are 12 races in total on the Del Mar card with the first post of 11:55 PT. The first Breeders’ Cup race is the $1-million Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G2) with a post time of 2:50 PT.

Advanced wagering is available at Bovada, which has betting on all the races along with a wide variety of prop bets for each championship race. Breeders’ Cup Future Stars Friday will be telecast on the NBC Sports Network from 5 to 9 PT. On Saturday, the NBC Sports Network has the action from 2:30 to 8 and the Breeders’ Cup Classic will be televised on NBC in a one-hour telecast getting underway at 8.

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We took a good look at the Breeders’ Cup Classic in our 2021 Breeders’ Cup Odds Race Betting Preview, and now let’s take a look at several other races on Saturday’s card that are attractive horse racing betting opportunities.

Long-Shot Possibilities In Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

Caravel did not fire her best last out in Turf Monster (G3) at Philly, racing mid-pack, making a middle move and then weakening in the stretch in a sixth-place finish over good ground as the beaten favorite. She was the beaten chalk two back in the Highlander (G1) at Woodbine, which was her first start since going from the Merryman barn to Graham Motion.

She set the early fractions and got passed just inside the final furlong and battled on well in a third-place finish. She likes her turf firmer and should get it today. Three back at the Spa she won the Caress (G3) at 5½ furlongs and won the Goldwood four back at Monmouth Park, earning a career top speed figure.

She won seven of her first nine career starts and should get a good tracking trip sitting just off the pace. She is better than she showed in her last outing and is going to be a generous price. If Motion sends her here, he has to be confident she is going to put in a much better effort. The filly is currently listed at +2500 in early betting for the Turf Sprint at Bovada and is worth a good look.

Jackie’s Warrior Short Price In The Breeders’ Cup Sprint

Jackie’s Warrior is listed at +110 in early Sprint wagering at Bovada. If you remember, this guy was the chalk in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and came up short. He has been very good since cutting back to one turn but is going to be a very short price in this spot.

Aloha West is getting some buzz this week, putting in good work on October 30 over the main track at Del Mar. Last out in the Phoenix (G2), which was his graded stakes debut, he was next to last early and came with a good late rally to come up just a neck short to Special Reserve. The racing strip looked a bit kind to speed that day, although not a strong bias.

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The colt beat Alw-3 optional claimers two back at Saratoga, earning his first triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure. The colt is going to get some pace to run at and we have seen stalkers or closers win this race the past four years, including here in 2017 when Roy H sat off the pace. His jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. will be patient and if a fast pace develops, this guy should be coming late at a decent price. The colt is listed at +800 on the official morning line and his current price is +900.

Euros Look Tough In Breeders’ Cup Mile

There are five Euro invaders in this year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile, including Master of the Seas and Space Blues, a pair sent out by Charles Appleby. Master of the Seas will be the higher price of the duo sent out by the Appleby barn that has sent out 15 starters in North America this year and has won six races, four of those Grade 1 wins. The colt had a rough trip last out in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1) at Ascot, checking in seventh at 11-1.

He came back off a four-month break two back with a good runner-up finish in the Joel Stakes (G2) going a mile over good to firm ground. The colt was beaten just a nose three back in a tough beat in the 2000 Guineas (G1) at Newmarket back in May. The winner was Poetic Flare, who went on to win the St. James Palace (G1) at Royal Ascot in June and ran second in both the Sussex Stakes (G1) and Jacques le Marois (G1) and in his last outing was third in the Irish Champion Stakes (G1).

The colt picks up Sophie Doyle as William Buick sticks with stablemate Space Blues. This colt should bounce back with a much better effort here with a better trip and firmer ground than he got last out and he is going to end up a decent price. The colt is currently listed at +1000 at Bovada in early Mile wagering.

Can Letruska Get Beat In Breeders’ Cup Distaff?

Letruska has been nearly perfect in 2021, winning six of her seven starts. Her lone loss was a runner-up finish in the Azeri (G2) at Oaklawn Park back in March and she was beaten just a head. She is currently listed at +150 in early Distaff betting at Bovada and could end up even lighter by post time.

Clairiere faces older for the first time and is coming into the race off her best career effort. Last out in the Cotillion (G1), she stalked the early pace, came with a wide run, surged to the front with a good turn of foot and drew away smartly late to win by 2½ lengths under her new rider Ricardo Santana Jr.

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She was a good second to Malathaat two back in the Alabama (G1) and in her earlier starts after winning the Rachel Alexandra, she just did not seem to be reaching her full potential, particularly in the three starts with Irad up. The more aggressive Santana seemed to get her on track, but now of course the jock is mired in the biggest slump of his career after going 0-for at Keeneland.

The price on this gal will be solid and even though she just matched her Beyer Speed Figure last out, I thought she ran a lot better than her runner-up finish in the Alabama. (Her BRIS actually decreased from a 105 to a 96). Three-year-old fillies have won this race in four of the last 10 years. I’ll have a bit more confidence if Asmussen and Santana show some signs of life on Friday here; they have both been chilly. Her price at Bovada is currently at +1200, which looks like solid value.

Tarnawa Looks For Repeat In Breeders’ Cup Turf

Tarnawa was given a tough post position earlier this week but did catch a break on Thursday when Domestic Spending, the second choice in early wagering for the Turf, was declared out of the race with a minor injury. Long shot United was also scratched, moving the defending champ in by two posts and making the competition a bit easier.

Tarnawa paid $11.40 to win last year at Keeneland. She came into last year’s edition having won the Prix Vermeille (G1) and Prix de l’Opera (G1) at Longchamp. This year she comes in off back-to-back seconds, but they were both really good efforts. She was the runner-up in the Irish Champion Stakes (G1) to the brilliant St. Mark’s Basilica, who was winning his fourth straight Group 1.

Last out the mare was a game second in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (G1) over ground she probably did not care for. The Arc has produced a dozen Turf winners and only Enable won the Arc, then the Turf. The outside draw is a bit of a concern as she is going to need to work out a trip. But with two scratches on Thursday, she now moves in a couple of spots. She is talented enough to win again this year but her price is going to end up lighter. She has dropped to +135 in early Turf wagering at Bovada.