Joe Burrow's Bengals favored in our Bengals vs Chiefs AFC championship picks and odds

AFC Championship Odds: Bengals vs Chiefs Rematch

The Kansas City Chiefs’ streak of two straight Super Bowl appearances was broken last year as the Cincinnati Bengals were crowned the 2021 AFC champions, edging the Chiefs 27-24 in overtime in the conference title game. Now, the two will have a rematch in this season’s AFC championship game on Sunday.

Heading into kickoff, the Bengals are slight 1.5-point favorites at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The total, set at 47 points, has gone UNDER in 11 of the last 14 meetings between these teams. The winner will go on to face the NFC champion in Super Bowl 57. 

Check out our Bengals vs Chiefs matchup report for extra information before placing your bets! Find a complete breakdown of updated AFC championship game odds and our best bets below:

AFC Championship Odds

Odds To Win NFL - AFC Championship 2023-24
Kansas City Chiefs+380
Buffalo Bills+525
Cincinnati Bengals+550
Miami Dolphins+800
NY Jets+800
Baltimore Ravens+1000
Jacksonville Jaguars+1400
LA Chargers+1400
Cleveland Browns+2000
Denver Broncos+2500
New England Patriots+2500
Pittsburgh Steelers+2800
Las Vegas Raiders+3500
Indianapolis Colts+5000
Houston Texans+5500
Tennessee Titans+6600

Odds as of June 7th, 2023 08:43am EDT.

Here’s a sneak peek at the AFC championship game betting lines between the Bengals and Chiefs:

AFC Championship Game Betting Lines

Cincinnati Bengals-1.5 (-110)-13047 (-105)
Kansas City Chiefs+1.5 (-110)+11047 (-115)

AFC Championship Odds Favorite: Bengals Favored For Back-To-Back AFC Titles

Cincinnati Bengals (-135)

I mean, betting on the reigning conference champs in the AFC championship is just too good to pass up, right? The Bengals (12-4) topped the AFC North by winning their last eight games of the regular season. 

QB Joe Burrow has been a passing machine, throwing for 4,475 yards in the regular season, fifth most in the league. He tied for second in touchdown passes with 35 and is in the MVP conversation along with AFC counterparts Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. 

Cincinnati, the No. 3 seed in the AFC, hasn’t lost in two months. During the divisional round of the playoffs, the Bengals easily pushed past the Buffalo Bills 27-10. Burrow put up a quick 14 points in the opening quarter and never surrendered the lead while completing 23 of 36 passes for 242 yards through the air. Cincinnati has had Kansas City’s number, downing the Chiefs in seven of their last eight meetings, including a 27-24 victory on December 4.

It’ll be a quarterback showdown, with both teams relying on their passing game. But the Bengals have shown that taking down the top-seeded Chiefs is a feat they’re more than capable of. 

Kansas City Chiefs (+100)

Wagering on Kansas City means a chance to bet on the best quarterback in the league. Patrick Mahomes dominates the passing stats among signal-callers, ranking first in yards (5,250), touchdown passes (41) and QBR (77.6) in the regular season.

But, in case you missed last week’s 27-20 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, Mahomes didn’t play the full game after suffering a high-ankle sprain. The organization has told the media the injury “looked worse than it actually is” and that the 27-year-old is doing OK. He is listed as questionable but is expected to play in the AFC championship game. 

If he is limited in any way, though, it’ll be tough for the Chiefs (14-3), who average a league-best 297.8 passing yards and 413.6 total yards per game. In a contest that could take them back to the Super Bowl, the Bengals won’t show any mercy in taking advantage of Mahomes’ restricted movement. 

AFC Championship History:

It’s been a tale of dynasties in recent years when it comes to the AFC championship game. Three teams have combined to win the last eight AFC championships, with the Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots and Denver Broncos each appearing in multiple Super Bowls in recent years and all winning at least one ring.

Recent History of AFC Champions
YearTeamSuper Bowl Winner?
2021Cincinnati BengalsNo
2020Kansas City ChiefsNo
2019Kansas City ChiefsYes
2018New England PatriotsYes
2017New England PatriotsNo
2016New England PatriotsYes
2015Denver BroncosYes
2014New England PatriotsYes
2013Denver BroncosNo
2012Baltimore RavensYes
2011New England PatriotsNo
2010Pittsburgh SteelersNo

Reading AFC & NFC Conference Odds

When you visit betting sides, you’ll see AFC championship odds laid out like this:

  • Chiefs +180
  • Bills +250
  • Chargers +750
  • Bengals +1000

The team with the lowest odds is the favorite. For instance, if you think the Chiefs at +180 are the team to beat, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $280 – your original $100 comes back along with your winnings of $180.

On the other hand, if you think the Bengals look good at +1000 and believe they’ll inch their way to an AFC championship, that same $100 would give you a payout of $1,100 – your $100 is returned, coupled with your winnings of $1,000.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What Is A Futures Bet?

This is a bet made on events that have yet to happen. It can be argued that all sports betting is on things that haven’t taken place yet; however, a futures bet can be made weeks or even months in advance.

Before the beginning of the NFL season, oddsmakers look at each team’s records, offseason moves and schedule to set their odds. As the games are played and coaches are fired, players succumb to injuries, and squads climb or fall in the standings, the odds will change. Because of these line movements, we suggest taking odds you like as soon as you see them.

AFC Championship Odds FAQ

Can I bet on which teams will win the AFC and NFC conferences?

Yes, you can bet on which teams will win the AFC and NFC conferences. You can find both AFC conference odds and NFC conference odds, plus a handful of other NFL futures, such as which NFL team will win the Super Bowl, divisional titles, and other seasonal and performance awards as well.

Who are the favorites to win the AFC this season?

Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals are the current betting favorites to be crowned as the AFC conference champions. However, it was the Buffalo Bills who entered the 2022 season as +300 favorites over the Chiefs, Chargers and Broncos.

Who won the AFC conference and NFC conference in 2021?

The Cincinnati Bengals won the AFC championship in 2021 with a win over Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. On the other side of the bracket, the Los Angeles Rams won the NFC championship and eventually the Super Bowl.