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The Buffalo Bills ended decades of rule by New England in the AFC East in 2020 and followed that up with another division crown last season. Now the Bills enter the 2022 season as the biggest betting favorite to win their division in the AFC and the second-heaviest favorite in the league.

The Bills have legitimate Super Bowl aspirations this season and deserve to be the favorites in AFC East odds, but the rest of the division is filled with intrigue, upside and exciting new faces.

Online sportsbook Bodog has the Bills as -225 favorites in AFC East odds with the Miami Dolphins (+450), New England Patriots (+500) and New York Jets (+2200) trailing. 

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Check out all of Odds Shark’s NFL odds content to see who sportsbooks think will win the other divisions. And make sure to also head to our NFL Betting Sites page, or read up on who our experts think will win the Super Bowl or NFL MVP award.

Who Leads AFC East Betting Odds?

Odds to Win AFC East in 2022
Team Odds
Buffalo Bills -225
Miami Dolphins +450
New England Patriots +500
New York Jets +2200

Odds as of July 13 at Bodog

AFC East Odds: Buffalo Bills (-225)

The Bills were clearly the best team in the division last season despite winning it with just one more win than second-place New England, but we think there could be an even bigger gap this season.

The Bills have one of the best rosters in the league and had virtually no glaring holes in the roster heading into the draft other than cornerback, which they patched with a first-round pick in Florida’s Kaiir Elam. Elam joins maybe the best defensive backfield in the league and the strength of the Bills defense, but the Bills’ biggest splash came up front with the signing of future Hall of Fame linebacker Von Miller to bolster the pass rush.

Offensively, Josh Allen is the focal point for one of the most potent passing games in the league with superstar receiver Stefon Diggs as his go-to guy. The Bills also added slot man Jamison Crowder and fifth-round pick Khalil Shakir to the receiving corps to play alongside Diggs and budding talent Gabriel Davis.

It would be surprising if any team other than Buffalo won this division, and we see the Bills being as close to a lock as it gets prior to training camp.

Miami Dolphins (+450)

It’s a bit surprising to see the New England Patriots outside the top two in AFC East odds, but oddsmakers clearly believe in the direction of the new-look Miami Dolphins. 

The changes in South Beach begin with a new coach in the young and charismatic Mike McDaniel, who falls off the Kyle Shanahan coaching tree into Miami. McDaniel should inject some life into this offense and make things a little easier for QB Tua Tagovailoa scheme-wise. 

It also won’t hurt that the Phins brought in Tyreek Hill from Kansas City this offseason. Hill’s run-after-catch ability should help Tua immensely and pair reasonably well with 2021 top pick receiver Jaylen Waddle. 

Miami also added Terron Armstead from New Orleans as their new starting left tackle and handed out contracts to running backs Chase Edmonds, Sony Michel and Raheem Mostert. 

The defense should be solid with one of the better secondaries in football and solid talent up front. 

The question for Miami is whether Tua can take a step forward and look more like the player they expected to get with the fifth overall pick in 2020. 

We like the moves Miami made but we aren’t ready to say they’re worth betting on to beat out the Bills for the division crown.

New England Patriots (+500)

These aren’t the golden-years Patriots, but we’re still a little surprised they are below the Dolphins in AFC East odds after finishing 10-7 last season, just one game behind the Bills.

Bill Belichick’s team has some warts with a pretty significant lack of high-end offensive playmakers being the major issue, but this will again be a well-coached team with a good defense and offensive line.

The major question mark for this team will be about its upside. Mac Jones will enter his second season at quarterback, but many people believe his “safer” style and mediocre arm limit his ceiling as a passer. If he stays good and not great, how far can we really expect the Pats to go? It’s more likely they try to grind teams into the ground with the run game while playing solid defense, but we’re not sure that’s a recipe for success in the NFL anymore.

The Pats also lost top cornerback J.C. Jackson in free agency, which will sting.

New York Jets (+2200)

While many question the upside of a quarterback like Mac Jones, there is nothing but upside for Jets QB Zach Wilson, who could not possibly be worse than he was in his rookie year.

Drafted second overall last season, 13 spots ahead of Jones, Wilson managed just nine touchdowns and threw 13 picks in 13 starts with a 28.2 QBR. It was a tough year for the young QB, but the Jets have gone out of their way to surround him with enough talent to give him a chance to succeed.

After drafting receiver Elijah Moore in the second round last season and signing receiver Corey Davis, the Jets used the 10th overall pick this year on receiver Garrett Wilson and the 36th overall pick on running back Breece Hall and signed tight end C.J. Uzomah away from the Bengals. There are still question marks on the young offensive line, but the Jets have assembled a fantastic collection of talent at the skill positions around Wilson.

On defense, the Jets used the fourth overall pick on corner Sauce Gardner and another first on pass rusher Jermaine Johnson to add to an offseason crop that also included signing safety Jordan Whitehead to a big contract.

The Jets still have some depth problems and a couple of holes on defense, but their season will largely hinge on how Wilson develops. We expect they will try to keep the ball out of his hands as much as possible by running a lot and controlling the clock, but Wilson is still going to have to play better for the Jets to have their first winning season since 2015.

We aren’t betting on them in AFC East odds but they are an interesting team to watch.

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Understanding Odds To Win The AFC

When you take a trip to any NFL sportsbook to make a futures bet – more on that later – you’ll notice the odds laid out the same way they are in the above table. Teams with a minus sign (-) preceding their odds are favorites. The rest are underdogs, which you can see because of the plus sign (+). However, when divisions are tight or there are no clear front-runners, the team with the lowest odds is considered the fave.

Let’s say you’re on board with the Bills and believe they have the best chances of winning the AFC East. If you were to lay down $100, you’d get a payout of $162.50 – you get your $100 back along with your winnings of $62.50.

On the other hand, that same $100 on the Dolphins would give you a payout of $425 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $325. Bets on underdogs are riskier, which is why you get a bigger reward. Yet, these teams have unfavorable odds for a reason and you shouldn’t bet on them blindly hoping to make some major coin.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What Is An NFL Futures Bet?

To wager on AFC East odds, you’d be making a futures bet. This is a bet made on events that are yet to happen. Technically, all sports betting is made on events that take place in time. However, a bet like this could be made weeks or even months in advance. NFL divisional odds are available as early as the preseason and you can bet on them at any moment before the season ends.

If you see odds you like, you should take them early. Oddsmakers move the odds as players succumb to injuries, coaches are fired and teams surge in the standings.