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Odds to Win the AFC East: Bills Favored to Win First Division Title Since 1995

Josh Allen hands the ball off to Devin Singletary in the Buffalo Bills' Week 4 matchup vs the Las Vegas Raiders.

The New England Patriots have been the toast of the AFC East for the better part of two decades, but the Buffalo Bills appear set to establish themselves as the perennial front-runners for the division title.

Sporting a perfect 4-0 record, the Bills have been one of the best teams in the NFL a month into the 2020 season.

Buffalo has clearly garnered the respect of oddsmakers, as the Bills are the heavy -325 favorites to claim the division in 2020 at Bovada. The New England Patriots (+215), Miami Dolphins (+4000) and New York Jets (+25000) are all available in plus money at the shop.

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Odds to Win The 2020 AFC East
TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Buffalo Bills-325+145
New England Patriots+215+110
Miami Dolphins+4000+800
New York Jets+25000+800

Odds as of October 9 at Bovada

Allen Has Taken Bills to a New Level

The Bills sit two games up on the 2-2 Patriots in the race for the AFC East title, and while there’s still plenty of football left, Buffalo is the clear-cut favorite to win the division for a reason.

Buffalo is averaging 30.8 points per game through four weeks, as the offseason addition of Stefon Diggs has added a completely new dimension to this offense. Diggs is tied for the league lead in receiving yards (403) and is the true No. 1 receiver this team has been lacking.

Buffalo’s defense hasn’t played up to its true capabilities so far, but I expect them to truly turn it on in the coming weeks. The Bills are in a great spot to claim their first division title since 1995.

Patriots Need to Rely Heavily on Newton

The Patriots saw what life is like without Cam Newton in a 26-10 setback to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4 as the quarterback duo of Brian Hoyer and Jarrett Stidham proved to be wildly ineffective. The Patriots have the best coach in the NFL in Bill Belichick and can never be counted out, but they look more like a wild-card team right now than a division front-runner.

New England is waiting with bated breath on good news surrounding Newton and his recent COVID-19 diagnosis. If Newton can return in Week 5 against the Denver Broncos, the Patriots should get back in the winning column. Given the heavy chalk on the Bills, the Patriots are the only team that’s offering any value to bet in AFC East futures right now.

Dolphins, Jets Could Be in For Long Seasons

It’s been tough sledding for the Dolphins (1-3) and Jets (0-4) in 2020, and things won’t get any easier going forward for either team with difficult stretches in their schedules coming up.

Tom Brady may finally be out of this division, but Allen looks like the QB to be feared now. The Dolphins have been letting Tua Tagovailoa sit in favor of grizzled veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick, which looks like a wise idea considering the state of the team.

The Sam Darnold-led Jets look like a rudderless ship right now under head coach Adam Gase and should be avoided in all AFC East futures bets. Their season is already over, and the focus now for this team should be Trevor Lawrence and the No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

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Understanding Odds to Win the AFC

When you take a trip to any NFL sportsbook to make a futures bet – more on that later – you’ll notice the odds laid out the same way they are in the above table. Teams with a minus sign (-) preceding their odds are favorites. The rest are underdogs, which you can see because of the plus sign (+). However, when divisions are tight or there are no clear front-runners, the team with the lowest odds is considered the fave.

Let’s say you’re on board with the Bills and believe they have the best chances of winning the AFC East. If you were to lay down $100, you’d get a payout of $245 – you get your $100 back along with your winnings of $145.

On the other hand, that same $100 on the Dolphins would give you a payout of $900 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $800. Bets on underdogs are riskier, which is why you get a bigger reward. Yet, these teams have unfavorable odds for a reason and you shouldn’t bet on them blindly hoping to make some major coin.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What is an NFL Futures Bet?

To wager on AFC East odds, you’d be making a futures bet. This is a bet made on events that are yet to happen. Technically, all sports betting is made on events that take place in time. However, a bet like this could be made weeks or even months in advance. NFL divisional odds are available as early as the preseason and you can bet on them at any moment before the season ends.

If you see odds you like, you should take them early. Oddsmakers move the odds as players succumb to injuries, coaches are fired and teams surge in the standings.