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Odds to Win the AFC South: Colts Ready to Gallop to the Top

AFC South Betting Odds Darius Leonard March 20 2020

The NFL’s AFC South division has been ruled recently by the Houston Texans, winning it in four of the last five seasons, but the Indianapolis Colts are tabbed as the favorite to take the divisional crown in 2020 according to oddsmakers.

Online sportsbook Bovada has the Colts listed at +135 to win the AFC South for the first time since 2014. Not far behind the Colts are the Tennessee Titans, who are fresh off an appearance in the AFC championship game and are +175 to win the division.

Bovada

After the Titans are the Texans at +280 but a trade of WR DeAndre Hopkins may have soured bettors on their chances to repeat as divisional champs. The last squad on the oddsboard is the Jacksonville Jaguars, who seem to have regressed back to the status quo after winning the AFC South in 2017.

Read more on the betting odds to win the AFC North, AFC West and AFC East.

Odds to win the 2020 AFC South division
TeamOdds
Indianapolis Colts+135
Tennessee Titans+175
Houston Texans+280
Jacksonville Jaguars+2000

Odds as of May 7 at Bovada

Indianapolis Colts (+135)

The Indianapolis Colts deserve to be the favorite to win the AFC South division at this stage of the offseason mainly because they got the second-best quarterback in the free-agent market in Philip Rivers. The Chargers dumped their longtime quarterback and the Colts had no problem taking on the 38-year-old QB because in the NFL, 38 is the new 28.

In all seriousness, Rivers should be an upgrade over Jacoby Brissett because while Jacoby had his bright spots, the reality is that he had accuracy issues in key moments and the Colts clearly didn’t trust him to be their starter. But another bonus for Indy is they now have the best backup QB in the NFL. It’s also worth noting that before Brissett suffered a knee injury, the Colts were well on their way to winning the division.

When you look at the rest of the Colts roster, you see a team that is primed to win now. They have Pro Bowlers at key positions, a stout offensive line and a workhorse running back in Marlon Mack that will make them a tough team to beat. As long as Rivers doesn’t become a turnover machine and throw 20 interceptions again, the Colts will win the AFC South.

Tennessee Titans (+175)

Fresh off a playoff run that was a sight to behold, the Tennessee Titans could very well challenge for the AFC South crown but their hopes likely all come down to QB Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill will be a quarterback case study until the end of time considering the way that he was revitalized in Tennessee and the Titans rewarded him with a huge contract after it looked like his career was all but over.

Now, with Tannehill re-signed and RB Derrick Henry back on the franchise tag, it’s easy to get excited about the Titans’ chances to win the division. However, just because they won two playoff games vs the Patriots and Ravens doesn’t mean bettors should forget how they won. Those two wins were almost in spite of Tannehill because he only managed 160 passing yards total in those games and it was the defense that shut those teams down.

The Titans could very well come out like gangbusters in 2020 but bettors should be cautious and maybe take a wait-and-see approach before investing big on Tennessee.

Houston Texans (+280)

It was an offseason for the ages for the Houston Texans and GM/head coach Bill O’Brien managed to anger the entire NFL with his foolish trade of WR DeAndre Hopkins. It wasn’t the trading of Hopkins but more about what the Texans got in return that seemed like a boneheaded move.

Now, the Texans are relying on QB Deshaun Watson to elevate his play even more, which could be difficult with his receiving options. Guys like Will Fuller and Keke Coutee were injury-prone and could barely stay on the field in 2019. Yes, they did get a running back in David Johnson from the Cardinals who could become the second coming of Arian Foster or flame out within a season. Time will tell.

Then there’s the defense that used to be the overwhelming strength of the Texans but now is a shell of itself with key players aging or slowed by injury. JJ Watt, who has played a full season once in the last four years, is now 30 years old and can’t be counted on to wreak havoc. These odds should be closer to +400. It’s shaping up to be another year of ineptitude in Houston.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2000)

The Gardner Minshew era has officially arrived in Jacksonville with the Jaguars dealing QB Nick Foles to the Bears and handing the keys to the second-year signal-caller. Minshew had moments in 2019 when he looked like a potential Pro Bowler but other games when it looked like he couldn’t start in the Arena Football League.

Minshew may end up progressing into a decent quarterback but even he may not be able to overcome the incompetence in Jacksonville as the once-feared defense is now hollow with all the transactions they’ve made in the last year. Jalen Ramsey, Calais Campbell, AJ Bouye and Dante Fowler are just some of the key players that pushed this team to the AFC championship game but they’ve all been dealt away for future draft picks.

There is still the possibility that the Jaguars turn the tide but there’s a reason Jacksonville is listed at +2000 and pegged to have the worst record in the NFL in 2020. Fade until further notice.


Reading AFC South Odds

When you visit your sportsbook of choice, you’ll see AFC South championship odds laid out like they are in the above table. The team with the lowest odds is the favorite. For instance, if you think the Colts at +135 are the team to beat, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $225 – your original $100 comes back along with your winnings of $135.

On the other hand, if you think the Texans look good at +280 and believe they’ll slowly inch their way to an AFC South championship, that same $100 would give you a payout of $380 – your $100 is returned, coupled with your winnings of $280.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What is a Futures Bet for the AFC South?

This is a bet made on events that have yet to happen. It can be argued that all sports betting is on things that haven’t taken place yet; however, a futures bet can be made weeks or even months in advance.

Prior to the beginning of the NFL season, oddsmakers look at each team’s past records, off-season moves and schedule to set their odds. As the games are played and coaches are fired, players succumb to injuries, and squads climb or fall in the standings, the odds will change. Because of these line movements, we suggest taking odds you like as soon as you see them.