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Odds to Win the AFC South: Texans and Titans Set To Do Battle

AFC South Betting Odds DeShaun Watson December 9 2019

The NFL’s AFC South Division has seen a lot of ups and downs in 2019 with some teams left for dead and some resurrecting themselves. The one team that has had some letdowns but is still in control of its own destiny is the Houston Texans, who sit as -145 favorites to win the AFC South for the fourth time in five years.

However, the Texans can’t be viewed as a lock despite being odds-on faves, because the resurgent Tennessee Titans are on a roll with wins in six of their last seven games and face the Texans twice over the last three weeks of the season.

The Titans currently sit at +110 to take the division and win the AFC South for the first time since 2008.

Why The Texans Will Win The Division

The Houston Texans sit in the driver’s seat to take the AFC South because they have an easier remaining schedule. While they have to face the Titans twice in the final three games, those games are the bread to the Buccaneers sandwich that Houston gets to chomp on in Week 16.

The Texans have been a hard team to figure out because, over their last four games, they stomped on the Patriots and knocked off the Colts but were manhandled by the Ravens and Broncos. The loss to the Broncos was especially troubling because it was at home vs a rookie quarterback and Houston’s defense was thoroughly outclassed.

On paper, the Texans have the horses on offense to punk any team in the NFL, which was in evidence when they beat up on the Pats and Chiefs, but they will only go as far as their X factor, QB Deshaun Watson, takes them.

Watson’s first crack at the Titans this season will be in Tennessee in Week 15 so if he rallies the troops and they steal the win in Nashville, it would be a shock to see Houston fall short of the division crown.

Why The Titans Will Win The Division

The one team that was written off midway through the season but is now a living walking Undertaker GIF is the Tennessee Titans. QB Ryan Tannehill is having a career year in Nashville and is making them quickly forget about now-backup QB Marcus Mariota.

Since making the move to Tannehill (seven games), the Titans have been on a helluva run with wins in six of their last seven and the offense has exploded. In that span, Tennessee is averaging 31.4 points per game while scoring 30 or more in four straight. Quarterback performance usually has a natural correlation to a team’s success but the fact remains that RB Derrick Henry is the team’s MVP.

Henry has typically been a slow starter and this season has been no different. But in the last seven games, he leads all running backs in touchdowns (nine) and rushing yards (827). He’s a bowling ball in the trenches and pairing him with Tannehill and a strong defense makes Tennessee a tough out for any opponent.

I don’t love their odds at +110 and while the Texans get an easier game in Week 16 vs the Bucs, the Titans are tasked with knocking off the New Orleans Saints. Luckily, they get to face the Saints at home but if they upset New Orleans, the Titans can pull off a miracle considering their odds were down to +700 in Week 8 to win the division.

Odds to win the 2019 AFC South division
Houston Texans-145
Tennessee Titans+110
Indianapolis Colts+10000

Odds as of December 9 at  Bovada

Reading AFC South Odds

When you visit your sportsbook of choice, you’ll see AFC South championship odds laid out like they are in the above table. The team with the lowest odds is the favorite. For instance, if you think the Colts at +140 are the team to beat, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $240 – your original $100 comes back along with your winnings of $140.

On the other hand, if you think the Titans look good at +700 and believe they’ll slowly inch their way to an AFC South championship, that same $100 would give you a payout of $800 – your $100 is returned, coupled with your winnings of $700.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

It’s important to keep in mind that underdogs (in this case, the team with the highest odds) are that way for a reason. Oddsmakers don’t mess around with futures lines – more on that below – because they know how important this kind of bet is to bettors and betting sites alike.

What is a Futures Bet for the AFC South?

This is a bet made on events that have yet to happen. It can be argued that all sports betting is on things that haven’t taken place yet; however, a futures bet can be made weeks or even months in advance.

Prior to the beginning of the NFL season, oddsmakers look at each team’s past records, off-season moves and schedule to set their odds. As the games are played and coaches are fired, players succumb to injuries, and squads climb or fall in the standings, the odds will change. Because of these line movements, we suggest taking odds you like as soon as you see them.