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2021 NFC South Odds: Brady’s Bucs Favored To Win Division Again

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have not won the NFC South crown since 2007. Since then, the New Orleans Saints have won it six times (including the last four), the Carolina Panthers won it four times and the Atlanta Falcons won it three times.

But this season, the Super Bowl champion Bucs are fairly heavy favorites to capture the division after a dominant playoff run to end last season. The other three teams in the division have all undergone major roster shakeups and enter the year with significant question marks at key positions. 

Sportsbook Bovada has the Bucs as -200 favorites in NFC South odds, followed by the Saints (+315), Falcons (+750) and Panthers (+1000).

Read more on the betting odds to win the NFC NorthNFC East and NFC West.

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Bucs Are Big Favorites To Capture NFC South Crown

Odds to Win The NFC South in 2021-22
TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-200-125
New Orleans Saints+315+220
Atlanta Falcons+750+1000
Carolina Panthers+1000+550

Odds as of September 9 at Bovada

NFC South Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-200)

The 2021 Buccaneers are the only team in the modern era to return all 22 starters from their Super Bowl-winning roster the following season. Suffice it to say that bodes pretty well for Tampa’s NFC South odds considering how good the roster is.

Tom Brady returns for his second year in Tampa and there’s no reason to expect anything but an improvement on last season after limited practice time and no real preseason due to COVID-19 last summer. The Bucs sport maybe the best group of receivers in the league, an elite offensive line, three solid tight ends and a stable of decent running backs. This offense is set up for success in Year 2 with Brady.

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The Bucs defense was the real story of their Super Bowl victory, holding Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to just nine points. Overall, the Bucs had the fifth-ranked defense by DVOA last season and, like the offense, it’s fair to expect an improvement.

The young secondary should be able to take a step forward in their development while first-round pick Joe Tryon-Shoyinka should help the pass rush after flashing big-play ability in the preseason. 


NFC South Odds: New Orleans Saints (+315) 

It’s a new era for the New Orleans Saints as they enter a regular season without longtime quarterback Drew Brees at the helm for the first time since 2005.

The Saints have handed the reins to former Bucs first overall pick Jameis Winston to be their opening-day starter.

While he spends a considerable amount of time off the field eating W’s, Winston has spent most of his time on the field taking L’s.

The last time we saw “Famous” Jameis as a full-time starter, he threw 30 interceptions and had 42 total turnovers while taking 47 sacks in 16 starts. He also threw for more than 5,000 yards and 33 touchdowns that season, but it was with far better weaponry than he’ll be working with this season. 

Saints star receiver Michael Thomas will miss at least the first six games of the season and can’t return until Week 8 after being placed on the PUP list with an ankle injury. That leaves Marquez Callaway and Tre’Quan Smith (also dealing with an injury) as Winston’s top weapons outside of All-Pro running back Alvin Kamara.

The offensive line is very good and the defense should be one of the league’s better units, but it’s hard to imagine this offense being particularly efficient given the state of the weaponry and the guy throwing to them. But hey, he had Lasik eye surgery last year. Maybe that will help.


NFC South Odds: Atlanta Falcons (+750)

The Atlanta Falcons had a chance to draft their next franchise signal-caller in this year’s NFL draft with the fourth overall pick and instead passed on Justin Fields and Mac Jones in favor of tight end Kyle Pitts.

Pitts is a unicorn. There’s no doubting his immense talent and potential. But that pick means the Falcons will enter another year with mediocre Matt Ryan at quarterback.

On top of that, the offensive line has multiple holes, the running back group is bottom 10 in the league and the team traded its best player over the last decade, Julio Jones, during the offseason. While Pitts and receiver Calvin Ridley should form a great duo, this isn’t one of the elite Falcons offenses of old.

Oh, and the defense is terrible. The Falcons gave up the fourth-most yards in the league last season and the second-most yards per play. Only two teams allowed more passing touchdowns. This season doesn’t figure to be much different, which is why oddsmakers have them as a long shot in NFC South odds. 


NFC South Odds: Carolina Panthers (+1000) 

The Carolina Panthers also chose to pass on a potential franchise quarterback in the NFL draft and will roll with former New York Jets flameout Sam Darnold as their starter.

To be fair, Darnold is still just 24 years old and probably worth taking a gamble on as maybe the next player to escape the talent-sucking clutches of former Jets coach Adam Gase and make something of his career (See: Tannehill, Ryan). 

Darnold has plenty of toys to work with as star running back Christian McCaffrey returns after an injury-plagued 2020 and joins a stable of weapons that also includes D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson and promising rookie Terrace Marshall. 

But even if Darnold CAN figure out how to play quarterback again, the Panthers defense is young, raw and, most importantly, bad.

Brian Burns is a problem for opposing offenses rushing off the edge and top-10 pick cornerback Jaycee Horn should immediately bolster the back end, but there are simply not enough good players up and down the defensive side of the ball. That and questions about Darnold are why the Panthers are +1000 in NFC South odds.

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How To Read NFC South Odds

An important part of sports betting involves understanding how odds are laid out at the sportsbook. You’ll see NFC South odds displayed the same way they are in our table. The team with the minus sign (-) besides its number is the favorite. Plus signs (+) indicate underdogs. In some cases, you will not see a clear front-runner (lack of minus sign) and the squad with the lowest odds is the fave.

Let’s say you’re loving Tampa Bay at -200. A $100 bet would give you a payout of $150 – you get your $100 back along with your winnings of $50. Conversely, that same $100 on the Panthers at +1000 will give you $1,100 – your original money is returned coupled with your prize of $1,000.

Dogs come with bigger rewards since there is more risk associated. However, it’s best to do your research before betting on them. When oddsmakers set the betting lines, they take into consideration everything from past performance to schedule to roster moves.

Look to our Odds Calculator to show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What Is An NFL Futures Bet?

If you were to wager on the chances of a certain team to win the NFC South, that is a futures bet. It is called such because you’re betting on events that will take place weeks or even months in advance. In this case, it’s on a team to take the divisional title. We suggest jumping on odds early if you can. As the season progresses, the lines will move to reflect coaching changes, injuries and teams climbing or falling in the standings.