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Odds to Win the NFC South: Saints Favored But Buccaneers May Crash Party

NFC South Betting Odds March 19 2020

The NFC South division has recently been dominated by the New Orleans Saints and despite a Hall of Fame quarterback joining the party, oddsmakers still have the Saints as odds-on favorites to win the division for the fourth year in a row.

The Saints are -105 favorites to take the NFC South crown but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers may have become their top competition to repeat that feat with former New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady making his way to Florida. The Bucs are at +145 to win the division for the first time since 2007.

Following those two squads are the Atlanta Falcons at +650 and the Carolina Panthers at +2000. Both of those teams saw some roster turnover, most notably at quarterback for Carolina with the release of Cam Newton and the signing of Teddy Bridgewater in free agency.

Read more on the betting odds to win the NFC North and NFC East.

Odds to Win The 2020 NFC South
TeamOdds
New Orleans Saints-105
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+145
Atlanta Falcons+650
Carolina Panthers+2000

Odds as of August 28 at Bovada

Here is a brief divisional betting preview for each team in the NFC South:

New Orleans Saints (-105)

The New Orleans Saints deserve to be the favorite for this division essentially until Drew Brees retires, which won’t be for at least two more seasons after he re-signed in the offseason. It’s hard to wipe away the memories of the past three postseasons with the Saints coming up short but for this betting prop, the Saints have to be the fave.

They essentially are returning the core of a squad that went 13-3 each of the last two seasons and while Brees has looked his age in some games, 2019 showed that New Orleans doesn’t need the quarterback to throw for 5,000 yards to be successful. Although Brees missed six games, the Saints still ranked third in points scored per game and head coach Sean Payton is always mixing up the game plan with backup QB/utility player Taysom Hill.

The Saints will win at least 10 games. The question is whether they will go 5-1 SU in the division again with teams like the Bucs and Falcons gunning for them.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+145)

Three words made the Tampa Bay Buccaneers go from pretender to contender overnight: Tom Freakin’ Brady. The Bucs swung for the fences and added the greatest quarterback of all time to a team desperate to restore a winning culture. But this isn’t 35-year-old Brady or even 40-year-old Brady. It’s the 43-year-old version. The one that looked like he could barely complete a pass over the second half of the 2019 season. That may be the pessimistic way to look at the Bucs so let’s look at the optimistic side.

Brady gets to join a team that has some serious weapons at wide receiver like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, along with an innovative offensive head coach in Bruce Arians. It also doesn’t hurt that the Bucs went out and picked up TE Rob Gronkowski to round out the offense. The former Cardinals coach must be giddy about bringing in a QB who won’t throw 30 interceptions in a season and can actually keep them in ballgames.

If the Buccaneers can clean up their pass defense (bottom five in the NFL), they could be in line for a huge resurgence because their rush defense was sensational in 2019. Tampa Bay allowed the fewest rushing yards in the NFL and was seventh in rushing touchdowns allowed. Not quite the levels that the Patriots were giving Brady in recent years but enough to make +145 odds very enticing.

Atlanta Falcons (+650)

Kind of forgotten in this division since the 28-3 collapse in the Super Bowl (What’s up, Iain MacMillan?), the Atlanta Falcons could quietly be a sneaky team to steal this division back from the New Orleans Saints. First reason: They nearly swept the Saints during the regular season and were a red-zone touchdown away from beating them both times. They also went 6-2 SU over their final eight games, including a come-from-behind road win over the San Francisco 49ers.

The Falcons still own arguably the best receiver combo in the NFL with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley and while they lost Austin Hooper in free agency, they made a shrewd move trading for Hunter Hurst from the Ravens while also adding DE Dante Fowler to complement the defense. Bettors may not feel ready to go out on a limb and back the Falcons but at +650, it may be worth a swing since they’ll get to play a third-place schedule and still have former MVP Matt Ryan at quarterback.

Carolina Panthers (+2000)

Outside of RB Christian McCaffrey, it’s hard to find a bright spot for the Carolina Panthers. They’ve moved on from former NFL MVP Cam Newton while former defensive player of the year Luke Kuechly decided to hang up his cleats and retire due to repeated concussions.

Those two were the heart and soul of a team that was only three years removed from going to the Super Bowl. That being said, QB Kyle Allen was not the long-term answer for the Panthers and now they can rebuild their squad around Teddy Bridgewater, who had a fantastic stint in New Orleans last season filling in for Drew Brees while he recovered from his thumb injury. The concern isn’t on the offensive end for the Panthers, it was the defense.

Carolina allowed a league-worst 31 rushing touchdowns last season while ranking 28th in rushing yards allowed and didn’t sign anyone for the defensive line. They also let Gerald McCoy walk in free agency to the Cowboys, so it’s hard to envision the Panthers getting better before they get worse.

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How to Read NFC South Odds

An important part of sports betting involves understanding how odds are laid out at the sportsbook. You’ll see NFC South odds displayed the same way they are in our table. The team with the minus sign (-) beside its number is the favorite. Plus signs (+) indicate underdogs. In some cases, you will not see a clear front-runner (lack of minus sign) and the squad with the lowest odds is the fave.

Let’s say you’re loving New Orleans at -105. A $100 bet would give you a payout of $195 – you get your $100 back along with your winnings of $95. Conversely, that same $100 on the Panthers at +2000 will give you $2,100 – your original money is returned coupled with your prize of $2,000.

Dogs come with bigger rewards since there is more risk associated. However, it’s best to do your research before betting on them. When oddsmakers set the betting lines, they take into consideration everything from past performance to schedule to roster moves.

Look to our Odds Calculator to show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What is an NFL Futures Bet?

If you were to wager on the chances of a certain team to win the NFC South, that is a futures bet. It is called such because you’re betting on events that will take place weeks or even months in advance. In this case, it’s on a team to take the divisional title. We suggest jumping on odds early if you can. As the season progresses, the lines will move to reflect coaching changes, injuries and teams climbing or falling in the standings.