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Odds on Which Club Jose Mourinho Will Manage Next

With his time at Tottenham coming to an end, odds are out on which club Jose Mourinho will manage next.

The “Special One” wasn’t close to triumphant for Tottenham Hotspur as Jose Mourinho was sacked from his position as manager earlier this month. While interim manager Ryan Mason will take over the club’s first team on a temporary basis, Mourinho will have to look elsewhere for his next managerial position. We take a look at where that might be, along with an analysis on the next Tottenham manager betting odds.

At Bovada, the Jose Mourinho odds for his next position favor Juventus (+600) and his home country Portugal (+600). Meanwhile, the odds for next Tottenham manager are led by Julian Nagelsmann (+250), followed by Brendan Rogers (+400), Eddie Howe (+600), Massimiliano Allegri (+600) and Ryan Mason (+600).

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What Happened with Jose Mourinho?

Mourinho was sacked as Tottenham’s manager 17 months into his stint with the club. He replaced Mauricio Pochettino in November 2019 before carrying Tottenham to sixth in the English Premier League last season. Mourinho’s coaching staff, which included Joao Sacramento, Nuno Santos, Carlos Lalin and Giovanni Cerra, have also been asked to leave the club.

Tottenham chairman Daniel Levy had this to say about Mourinho after his exit: “Jose and his coaching staff have been with us through some of our most challenging times as a club. Jose is a true professional who showed enormous resilience during the pandemic.”

This season, however, Tottenham lost 10 games in the EPL under Mourinho, the first time that has happened in his managerial career. At the time of his sacking, Tottenham had dropped 20 points from winning positions, most in the Premier League this season.

An Unusual Season

By his typically lofty standards, Mourinho endured a terrible 2020-21 season. The campaign started extremely well, though. In December last year, Tottenham beat Arsenal 2-0 to move to the top of the EPL table. Mourinho became only the second Tottenham manager to win his first two north London derbies.

Between that result and Mourinho’s last game as Tottenham manager, Spurs won just seven of 19 games in the Premier League while also losing eight. Then came an unceremonious exit from the FA Cup in the quarterfinals against Everton with a scoreline of 5-4, marking the first time that a club coached by Mourinho had conceded five goals since 2010. Tottenham’s exit from the Europa League with a 3-2 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb set the wheels in motion for Mourinho’s departure.

So, what are the Jose Mourinho odds for his next team? We break it down below.

Which Team Will Jose Mourinho Manage Next?

Mourinho has won the English Premier League three times and the UEFA Champions League twice. That is an impressive body of work so you can expect plenty of boardrooms packed in meetings to find a way to bring Mourinho in despite his relatively unsuccessful Tottenham stint.

Odds for Jose Mourinho’s Next Managerial Job

Which club will Jose Mourinho manage next?
TeamOdds
Juventus+600
Portugal+600
Wolves+800
Porto+800
Any MLS Club+1000
Bayern Munich+1200
Napoli+1400
Celtic+1400
Newcastle+1400
Atletico Madrid+1600
PSG+1600
AC Milan+2000
Crystal Palace+2000
England+2000
Monaco+2000
Real Madrid+2500
Barcelona+3300
Dortmund+3300
Galatasaray+3300
Liverpool+3300
Manchester United+3300
Manchester City+4000

Odds as of April 23 at Bovada

Italian club Juventus (+600) is the front-runner in the Jose Mourinho odds for his next club. Current Juventus manager Andre Pirlo has endured a tough season, with a spot in next year’s Champions League and the Coppa Italia title the best he can hope for. The implied probability that Mourinho moves to Juventus is 14 percent.

Bayern Munich manager Hansi Flick has been linked to Juventus. He was, however, the assistant manager of Germany manager Joachim Low between 2008 and 2014. Flick is expected to take over from Low following the upcoming Euro 2020. That could leave Mourinho with a quality team, which includes compatriot Cristiano Ronaldo, to go after. It makes prudent sense to back Juventus for Mourinho’s next job if he is likely to return to coaching at the club level.

From a club perspective, Wolves (+800) is another interesting choice. There is a strong Portuguese connection between Wolves, Nuno Espirito Santo and Mourinho. Santo hasn’t replicated his success of previous years at Wolves, which could mean Mourinho staying in England, a place he has a strong affinity for.

"I like everything about English football, that’s the main reason to be back and enjoying so much again,” Mourinho said during his second stint with Chelsea. In any case, these are good Jose Mourinho odds if you’re considering a punt with him staying in England.

Will Mourinho Go International?

Mourinho has always been interested in the idea of coaching in shorter tournaments. “Yes, I want to coach a national team, I want to have the experience of a World Cup and European Championship, the emotion of the short competition,” Mourinho said during a news conference earlier in the season. “Is Portugal the one I want? On one side, yes as it is my heart. But it is very difficult to do it with the country you were born in.”

If Fernando Santos was to leave after the upcoming Euro competition, Mourinho could be a natural fit for his home country with a World Cup on the horizon. This Mourinho prop bet puts Portugal at a +600 favorite to be his next destination. If I were to pick one team from this large pool, it would be Portugal simply because the World Cup is one of the biggest sporting competitions in the world, and Mourinho would like to participate in an event of that scale. It fits his personality nicely too.

There might also be interest from England (+2000) if manager Gareth Southgate opts to leave after a potentially triumphant World Cup. That’s unlikely as odds of +2000 suggest, though.

Outside Picks for Mourinho’s Next Team

Mourinho might also consider returning to Portugal to manage Porto (+800), a club with which he won the UEFA Champions League, the UEFA Cup and the Portuguese Cup and the Primeira Liga twice. This wouldn’t be my choice because the odds are lower on account of simple logic with Porto being part of Mourinho’s roots.

A move to the MLS will gather you a handy return of +1000 on your investment. That is an option for Mourinho but he doesn’t have much experience in and around American soccer. If the job market in Europe dries up in the next year or so, these odds will reduce but I’d stay away from an MLS bet at this point.

Bayern Munich (+1200), on the other hand, is a rather compelling choice. Flick will likely move away, either to Germany or Juventus, in the near future, which will leave one of the best teams in the world in desperate need of a manager that has won titles previously. Mourinho has definitely been there, done that. It will require a massive cultural adjustment from both parties to make this transaction happen, though.

Celtic (+1400) is still looking for a permanent successor to Neil Lennon, who left the club in February following a disappointing run both locally and in European leagues.

Who Will Be Tottenham’s Next Manager?

In 58 EPL games during his tenure, Mourinho won 27, drew 14 and lost 17. That said, only four Tottenham managers have had a better points-per-game record in the Premier League than Mourinho’s 1.64 (with the minimum condition of at least 10 matches): Tim Sherwood (1.91), Mauricio Pochettino (1.89), Andre Villas-Boas (1.83) and Harry Redknapp (1.74). That will leave big boots to fill for Tottenham’s next manager.

So, what are the next Tottenham manager betting odds? We analyze below.

Odds for Tottenham’s Next Permanent Manager

Who will manage Tottenham next?
ManagerOdds
Julian Nagelsmann+250
Brendan Rogers+400
Eddie Howe+600
Massimiliano Allegri+600
Ryan Mason+600
Rafa Benitez+800
Nuno Espirito Santo+1200
Scott Parker+1600
Jurgen Klinsmann+1600
Maurizio Sarri+2200
Ralph Hasenhuttl+2200
Erik Ten Hag+2500
Graham Potter+2500
Hansi Flick+2500
Ledley King+2500
Roberto Martinez+2500
Steven Gerrard+2500
Chris Powell+3300
Frank Lampard+3300
Gareth Southgate+3300
Joachin Low+3300
Macelo Bielsa+3300

Odds as of April 23 at Bovada

Julian Nagelsmann (+250) is understood to be heavily favored among sportsbooks in the next Tottenham manager odds market. He has already achieved success with two different Bundesliga teams at the age of 33. In 2016, he was appointed Hoffenheim manager, where he carried his club to the Champions League for the first time in its history.

He then moved to RB Leipzig in 2019. His CV from that stint includes a Champions League semifinal last year. Leipzig is also set to finish second in the Bundesliga this season despite losing its most influential offensive weapon in Timo Werner to Chelsea. There are some interesting picks in that oddsboard for Tottenham’s next manager but none are as compelling as Nagelsmann considering he is Daniel Levy’s first choice. The implied probability for this outcome, according to our calculator, is close to 30 percent.

Brendan Rogers (+400) has built a successful Leicester City team over the last few years to the point where it is a regular contender for a spot in the Champions League. Rogers’ contract is expected to run till 2025, which might make it trickier.

Massimiliano Allegri (+600), the former Juventus manager, has also been linked to Tottenham after a fairly long period away from management. He left the Serie A in 2019 after five straight titles.

Ryan Mason (+600) started his job as Tottenham’s interim manager with a come-from-behind 2-1 win against Southampton in the Premier League. However, Mason might be given some more time as an assistant manager or back to the second team considering he is just 29 years old.

Eddie Howe (+600) led Bournemouth with aplomb during his tenure. He has been biding his time largely as an expert analyst for media publications since his exit from the club. He has experience and an understanding of top-flight English soccer, which makes him a reliable choice at these odds.

Left-Field Picks for Next Spurs Manager

Wolves manager Nuno Espirito Santo (+1200) is another interesting choice because his preferred style of play – methodical and concerted – fits well with this Tottenham squad.

Scott Parker (+1400) has done a commendable job with Fulham although that might not be viewed in that manner should the team return to the Championship after a tough season in the Premier League. He is very much an outside choice, though.

Apart from these choices, you would think that choosing among the rest of the candidates is similar to picking from a hat. It might seem completely random but there is an element of science and analytics to picking the next Spurs manager.

A good rule of thumb in such situations is to analyze teams that are nearing the end of their rope with current management. Then, have a look at how these teams have performed. Patterns start to form and candidates emerge. It’s easy to go chasing the astronomical odds but stay disciplined and these could be lucrative markets.