Serghei Spivac is a slight underdog Saturday vs Ciryl Gane

Gane vs Spivac Odds & Picks: Polar Bear Hungry For Another Mauling

The UFC travels to France Saturday, when top heavyweight contenders Ciryl Gane and Serghei Spivac will settle their differences in a five-round main event.

This card marks the promotion's first return to Accor Arena since September 2022, when the Frenchman Gane knocked out Tai Tuivasa in a thrilling main-event showdown on home soil. 

Manon Fiorot vs Rose Namajunas will also fight in the co-main event Saturday. 

Fresh off his loss to Jon Jones at UFC 285, Gane is a -175 favorite over Spivac (+145).

Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac Odds

Gane vs Spivac Odds
Ciryl Gane-175
Sergei Spivac+145

Odds as of September 1

Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Gane's -175 odds (63.63% implied chance) pays out $157.14. The same $100 on Spivac at +145 odds (40.82% implied chance) pays out $245.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Spivac

With the card taking place in Europe, prelims begin at 12 p.m. ET. The main card begins at 3 p.m.

View the entire UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Spivac odds & main card here.

  • Date/Time: September 2, 12 p.m. ET
  • Location: Paris, France
  • Arena: Accor Arena
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Cable Provider

Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac Tale Of The Tape

FighterCiryl GaneSerghei Spivac
Record11-2 (8-2 UFC)16-3 (7-3 UFC)
Avg. Fight Time14:438:01
Sig. Strikes Per Minute5.083.79
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute2.252.84
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes0.615.05
Takedown Accuracy21%65%
Takedown Defense45%70%

Gane vs Spivac Betting Preview: Who Will Win?

Not long ago, Gane opened as a narrow favorite vs Jones. Now he's barely favored vs seventh-ranked Spivac. Life comes at you fast. 

How To Bet Gane

Gane can stand and box with the best. Unfortunately, "Bones" took him down on the first try, then dragged him down again for a tidy submission win. All of a sudden, "Bon Gamin" didn't look like the future champion he was billed to be.

There's little doubt Gane is the quicker, slicker striker in this matchup vs Spivac. For that reason alone, I don't hate a wager on Gane inside the distance. But the 33-year-old could be in trouble once things hit the mat. 

All told, if you don't want to bet Gane straight up at his current odds, go with him to win inside the distance. Spivac has never done five rounds, and  "Polar Bear" has seen his last four fights end before the final horn.

How to bet Spivac

Spivac is the exact definition of a heavyweight mauler. He's big, rough and unafraid to shoot a takedown and grind it out. More often than not, Spivac's opponents cede to his ground-and-pound batterings, opening up a window for him to win by submission or TKO.

Gane is vulnerable on the ground, and that's obviously a key element to any bet on Spivac. I'm quite high on the Moldovan, so I love a bet on him to win straight-up. 

For the greedy folks out there, place bets on Spivac to win by submission or by decision. 

Gane vs Spivac Pick

Let's do some contrarian betting! The public still favors Gane, just not as highly as it did before the Jones fight. I've watched Spivac closely, and he's very dominant on the ground. And while Gane can crush the Moldovan in a kickboxing match, his grappling weaknesses and 45% takedown defense scare me away.

Sometimes square pegs fit into square holes. This bet is too logical to deny. 

Pick: Spivac to win (+145)

Back to Top