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Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 Odds & Prediction: Moreno Favored In Trilogy

Brandon Moreno (left) is favored in the Moreno vs Figueiredo (right) 3 odds.

The final two fights of the first UFC PPV of 2022 are going to look vastly different as the main event is the heavyweight title fight Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane, while the co-main event will feature the lightest weight class in the promotion with Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo 3.

UFC 270 is taking place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, on January 22. For Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 odds in the co-main event, it is the current flyweight champ, Moreno, who is the betting favorite.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 odds and has listed Moreno as the -175 favorite with the former champ, Figueiredo, set as the +145 underdog. That means you would have to wager $175 on a Moreno win to profit $100, while a $100 bet on a Figueiredo victory would profit you $145.

Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo 3 Odds

FighterOdds
Brandon Moreno-175
Deiveson Figueiredo+145

Odds as of January 20 at Bovada

Looking at the Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 odds, our sports betting calculator tells us Brandon’s odds of -175 translate to an implied win probability of 63.64 percent, while Deiveson’s odds of +145 have an implied win probability of 40.82 percent.

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New to betting on the fights? Check out our UFC betting guide to help get you in the action. Also, keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

Figueiredo vs Moreno 3 Betting Odds Analysis

It is interesting to see how the odds have changed through these three battles. In the first bout at UFC 256 at the end of 2020, Figueiredo, then the champ, was the sizable -335 chalk and Moreno was the +255 underdog. They fought to a draw after Figueiredo had a point deducted.

In the rematch in June 2021 at UFC 263, Moreno was once again the plus-money option, cashing at +185 as he scored a third-round submission victory to become the first Mexican-born UFC champion.

Now, at UFC 270, Figueiredo will enter the cage as the underdog for the fourth time in his career. He was victorious the previous three instances – will he cash again?

Moreno vs Figueiredo Preview

I wrote in the preview for the second fight that Moreno showed tremendous heart in the first bout, surviving the fight en route to the draw. In the second fight, “The Assassin Baby” broke the champion, he was faster, more accurate and showed no signs of slowing down.

Meanwhile, “Deus Da Guerra” looked off from the outset of the fight. He was sluggish, looking for one big punch, not reacting to the pressure from Moreno and ultimately looked like he didn’t want to be there. 

Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 Pick

I was on Figueiredo for the first two bouts of this trilogy but will not be going down that road in the third fight. Yes, maybe it was just a bad night for Deiveson in the rematch but he looked noticeably slower and at 33 years old in the flyweight division, if his speed is off he will lose almost every time to Moreno.

As for the Assassin Baby, he is continually posting training videos with the likes of countryman Canelo Alvarez. We know that he will be prepared for this fight, and he looked so good in the rematch – he was much faster, his hands were sharp and he was explosive. It’s hard to imagine he puts up a dud in the third fight.

Prediction: Brandon Moreno (-175) via knockout