CFL Week 4 picks and odds

CFL Week 4 Preview & Picks: Canada Day Weekend Predictions

The CFL is heading into Week 4 with the 111th Grey Cup waiting to be hoisted in November. Join me all season long as I deep dive into every game to give you my weekly expert picks. 

Current Record: 5-6 (-2.36 Units)

Celebrate Canada Day weekend tuning into some Canadian football! Week 4 highlights feature like the Montreal Alouettes visiting the Toronto Argos, each looking to protect their spotless records. Jump to the game you're interested in or browse through all my picks:

Elks vs. Lions (-7.5)

Alouettes (-3.0) vs. Argos

Bombers (-3.5) vs. Stampeders

Ticats vs. REDBLACKS (-1.0)

CFL Week 4 schedule & odds

CFL Week 4 Schedule & Betting Odds
DateFavored TeamPoint Spread OddsUnderdog TeamOVER/UNDER
Thurs. June 27th, 10 PM ETBC Lions-7.5 (-110)Edmonton Elks53.5 (-105)
Fri. June 28th, 7:30 PM ETMontreal Alouettes-3.0 (-108)Toronto Argonauts50.5 (-112)
Sat. June 29th, 7:00 PM ETWinnipeg Blue Bombers-3.5 (-105)Calgary Stampeders47.5 (-112)
Sun. June 30th, 7:00 PM ETOttawa REDBLACKS-1.0 (-108)Hamilton Tiger-Cats51.5 (-108)


edmonton elks vs BC Lions: Elks +7.5 (-110)

The Elks (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS) are so close, yet so far away. Having yet to reach the win column, Edmonton's last two losses have been by a merely three-points. A last second field goal destroyed their chances of upsetting the Argos in McLeod Bethel-Thompson's return to BMO Field.

The Lions (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) are treading upwards, rolling into the week on a two-game streak and fresh off upsetting the Blue Bombers. 

We've got two quarterbacks who don't hold back this week. Vernon Adams Jr. has already eclipsed the 1,000 passing yards mark and MBT hit the endzone four times in Week 3 and is completing 73% of his tosses. 

Notably, nine of 12 games this season have been decided within the final three minutes of the fourth quarter, including all three of Edmonton's games this year. 

montreal alouettes vs toronto argonauts: alouettes -3.0 (-110)

Three sacks, two forced fumbles and one interception last Thursday, this Montreal (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) defense is just too darn good to not bet on. Coming off a dominant 47-21 win over Ottawa, the Als held the Redblacks to one measly point at halftime. That 11-game streak dating back to last September is also hard not to consider.

Cameron Dukes is a real treat for Toronto (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS). The 25-year-old has collected five touchdowns in his two starts with no errors. Yet, while the Argos average a league-high 37 PPG, they haven't gotten a taste of the Alouettes' aggressive defense. Not to mention, Montreal's offense can certainly keep up, scooping up 11 touchdowns to top the CFL. 

Why wouldn't I trust the Als' defense after what they've shown me so far? 

Winnipeg blue bombers vs calgary stampeders: OVER 47.5 (-112)

Truthfully, I don't care how many Grey Cup's the Bombers (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) have played in throughout the last five years. They haven't given me any indication this year that siding with them is worth the risk. 

According to our CFL database, Calgary (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) has only hosted Winnipeg as underdogs six times since 2002, going 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS in that span. 

The Stamps are coming off a bye week and Jake Maier is eager to keep his 79.7 passing completion inflated and pile onto his four touchdowns. Meanwhile, Zach Collaros has yet to even hit the endzone. Weird -- I know. 

I don't see this winless dread lasting for Winnipeg for much longer, though I'm still not considering them a threat this year. That two-point defeat to the Lions last week must've stung, so with an annoyed Bombers group and well-rested Stamps core, I'll take the OVER.

hamilton tiger-cats vs Ottawa REDBLACKs: over 51.5 (-108)

Yup, the pick 'em game is obviously the hardest game to make a pick for. 

Hamilton (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) has dropped four of its last five meetings at Tim Hortons Field when hosting opponents from the East. Even worse, the Ticats have failed to cover in six of their last seven at home when facing divisional rivals. 

While Hamilton is coming off frustrating back-to-back losses to Saskatchewan, Ottawa (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) was humiliated by Montreal. The total here is predicting a dumpster fire and I don't really disagree, both are allowing over 33 PPG. 

A quick glance at Bo Levi Mitchell's six touchdowns perks my ears up, until I notice his five interceptions, too. The veteran signal-caller will likely take advantage of the Redblacks allowing the second-most 339.5 passing yards. 

I'm sensing a lot of turnovers and an active scoreboard for the final game of the longweekend.

How To Bet On CFL Betting Odds:

While you can bet on spreads and point totals, one of the easiest ways to bet on CFL betting odds is through a moneyline. This moneyline bet means you simply pick which side you think will win between the favorite (signaled with a minus sign) and the underdog (signaled with a plus sign).

A CFL moneyline of +200 means that you would win $200 on a successful $100 wager. That’s also equivalent to fractional odds of 2/1, decimal odds of 3.00 and implied odds of 33.33%. A negative moneyline of -200 means that you would have to wager $200 in order to win $100 on the favorite.

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