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93rd Academy Awards Betting Odds: Nomadland Leads Best Picture Faves

Odds to Win 2021 Academy Awards Have Been Released.

The 93rd annual Academy Awards ceremony to be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles will have a different feel to it. It is expected to take place on April 25 in an all but empty venue, with actors most likely being presented their Oscars virtually.

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The official nominees in each category have yet to be announced, with that expected to happen on January 17, 2021. Oddsmakers, though, are taking a shot in the dark on which films and actors will get nominated and which will win the awards. 

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Picture
FilmOdds
Nomadland+215
Mank+500
The Trial of the Chicago 7+600
News of the World+800
One Night In Miami+800
Da 5 Bloods+900
Minari+1400
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom+1800
Soul+2000
The Father+2500

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Best Picture Odds

Last year, “Parasite” made history as the first film not in the English language to win Best Picture. This year there are three choices from Netflix on the board, including one from Amazon Prime Video.

Nomadland, the Oscar odds betting favorite at +225, will be released next month and stars Frances McDormand, who won the Best Actress award in 2018 for her leading role in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. Nomadland is described as a movie about a woman who embarks on a journey through the American West after losing everything during the recession.

Another movie that is getting a ton of praise is The Trial of the Chicago 7, which has +600 Oscar betting odds to win Best Picture. The film was dropped in September by the streaming service Netflix and is based on the infamous 1969 trial of seven defendants charged by the federal government with conspiracy arising from the countercultural protests in Chicago at the 1968 Democratic National Convention.  

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Director
DirectorOdds
Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)+225
David Fincher (Mank)+265
Regina King (One Night In Miami)+315
Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+450
Spike Lee (Da 5 Bloods)+575

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Best Director Odds

The Best Director award should be very interesting with a ton of notable names on the oddsboard. Regina King, who won an Emmy for Lead Actress in a Limited Series for her role in the show Watchmen, gets her first chance at directing a movie and her Oscar odds at +315 give her a good chance to win. 

Aaron Sorkin (+450) is also a good bet. He is no stranger to the Academy Awards, having been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay for Moneyball and Molly’s Game, and winning for The Social Network. Sorkin wrote the screenplay and directed this film.

However, it’s Chloe Zhao who is the favorite at +225 for her directing work in Nomadland. Zhao had directed a few low-budget films before Nomadland, as well as being pegged to direct the Marvel movie The Eternals. Zhao actually received several accolades, including nominations for Independent Spirit Award for Best Film and Best Director for her 2017 movie The Rider. 

This will not be an easy choice as all five potential nominees have done some great work on these films and will be well represented throughout the other awards.

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Actor
ActorOdds
Anthony Hopkins (The Father)-3000
Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods)+1000
Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)+1800
Gary Oldman (Mank)+2000
Kingsley Ben-Adir (One Night In Miami)+2000

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Actress
ActressOdds
Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)+130
Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday)+500
Frances McDormand (Nomadland)+550
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)+700
Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy)+1000
Kate Winslet (Ammonite)+1000
Michelle Pfeiffer (French Exit)+1000

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Best Actor Odds  

For the Best Actor award, Anthony Hopkins is the +160 favorite to win for his role in The Father. He plays an old man who refuses the assistance of his daughter as he struggles with dementia. Hopkins is a terrific actor, so it makes sense that he’s on the top of the list for now as the top choice.

However, I think the award should be given posthumously to Chadwick Boseman (+1800) for his role in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom. Earlier this year we lost this incredible actor after he succumbed to colon cancer. The movie is expected to be released next week and the critics are already saying that Boseman and Viola Davis steal the film. This is the final film for the actor who brought Black Panther to the big screen. 

I think the Academy will do right by him, just like they did with Heath Ledger back in 2009, and give him the award.

Best Actress Odds

For Best Actress, I am going to stick with Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom lead actress Viola Davis, the favorite to win the award at +130. She plays blues singer Ma Rainey during the 1920s. Davis is an exceptional actress who has been nominated for an Academy Award three times, winning once.

The other name on this board to watch for is Frances McDormand at +550. With Nomadland expected to get a ton of recognition at the Oscars, it’s fair to assume that the leading actress in the movie will be a big favorite to win.

Best Of The Rest:

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Supporting Actor
ActorOdds
Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night In Miami)+325
Mark Rylance (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+450
Yahya Abdul Mateen II (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+525
Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+550
Charles Dance (Mank)+575
David Strathairn (Nomadland)+575
Bill Murray (On The Rocks)+700

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Supporting Actress
ActressOdds
Olivia Coleman (The Father)-2500
Amanda Seyfried (Mank)+850
Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)+1500
Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Women) +2000
Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)+4000
Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)+4000
Saoirse Ronan (Ammonite)+4000

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Original Screenplay
FilmOdds
The Trial of the Chicago 7+275
Mank+280
Soul+425
Da 5 Bloods+475
Minari+600
On the Rocks+750

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Adapted Screenplay
FilmOdds
Nomadland+260
One Night In Miami+325
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom+375
The Father+375
News of the World+750
Hillbilly Elegy+900

Odds as of November 18 at Bovada