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93rd Academy Awards Betting Odds: Nomadland Leads Best Picture Faves

Odds to win the 2021 Academy Awards have been released. Get the latest Academy Awards odds here!

The 93rd annual Academy Awards ceremony to be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles will have a different feel to it. It is expected to take place on April 25 in an all but empty venue, with actors most likely being presented their Oscars virtually.

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The official nominees in each category have yet to be announced, with that expected to happen on March 15. Oddsmakers, though, are taking a shot in the dark on which films and actors will get nominated and which will win the awards. 

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Picture
The Trial of the Chicago 7+275
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom+1000
One Night in Miami+1200
Promising Young Woman+2000
The Green Knight+2000
Da 5 Bloods+3300
Judas and the Black Messiah+3300
News of the World+3300
The Father+3300

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Best Picture Odds

Last year, “Parasite” made history as the first film not in the English language to win Best Picture. This year there are three choices from Netflix on the board, including one from Amazon Prime Video.

Nomadland is now the heavy Oscar odds betting favorite at -130 to win the best picture. It will be released next week and stars Frances McDormand, who won the Best Actress award in 2018 for her leading role in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. Nomadland is described as a movie about a woman who embarks on a journey through the American West after losing everything during the recession.

Another movie that is getting a ton of praise is The Trial of the Chicago 7, which has +275 Oscar betting odds to win Best Picture. The film was dropped in September by the streaming service Netflix and is based on the infamous 1969 trial of seven defendants charged by the federal government with conspiracy arising from the countercultural protests in Chicago at the 1968 Democratic National Convention.  

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Director
Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)-450
David Fincher (Mank)+950
Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+1400
Regina King (One Night In Miami)+2000
Paul Greengrass (News of the World)+2000
Florian Zeller (The Father)+2000
Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)+2200
Lee Daniels (The United States vs Billie Holliday)+2800
Sam Levinson (Malcolm & Marie)+2800
George Wolf (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)+3000
Spike Lee (Da 5 Bloods)+3000
Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah)+3500
Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman)+4500
Francis Lee (Ammonite)+4500
Ron Howard (Hillbilly Elegy)+4500
Christopher Nolan (Tenet)+6000

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Best Director Odds

The Best Director award should be very interesting with a ton of notable names on the oddsboard. Regina King, who won an Emmy for Lead Actress in a Limited Series for her role in the show Watchmen, gets her first chance at directing a movie and her Oscar odds at +2000 give her a good chance to win. 

Aaron Sorkin (+1400) is also a very good value bet. He is no stranger to the Academy Awards, having been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay for Moneyball and Molly’s Game, and winning for The Social Network. Sorkin wrote the screenplay and directed this film.

However, it’s Chloe Zhao who is now the huge betting favorite at -450 for her directing work in Nomadland. Zhao had directed a few low-budget films before Nomadland, as well as being pegged to direct the Marvel movie The Eternals. She actually received several accolades, including nominations for Independent Spirit Award for Best Film and Best Director, for her 2017 movie The Rider. 

This will not be an easy choice as all five potential nominees have done some great work on these films and will be well represented throughout the other awards.

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Actor
Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)-500
Anthony Hopkins (The Father)+600
Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)+750
Gary Oldman (Mank)+1400
Steven Yeun (Minari)+1400
Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods)+1500
John David Washington (Malcolm & Marie)+2500
Kingsley Ben-Adir (One Night In Miami)+3000
Colin Firth (Supernova)+4500
Tom Hanks (News of the World)+4500

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Actress
Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)+160
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)+175
Frances McDormand (Nomadland)+375
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)+800
Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy)+1800
Michelle Pfeiffer (French Exit)+2000
Nicole Beharie (Miss Juneteenth)+2500
Zendaya (Malcolm & Marie)+2500
Sophia Loren (The Life Ahead)+2800
Anya Taylor-Joy (Emma)+3300
Kate Winslet (Ammonite)+4000
Meryl Streep (Let Them All Talk)+4000
Meryl Streep (The Prom)+4000
Rashida Jones (On The Rocks)+5000

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Best Actor Odds  

For the Best Actor award, Anthony Hopkins is a strong choice at +600 odds to win the Best Actor Oscar for his role in The Father. He plays an old man who refuses the assistance of his daughter as he struggles with dementia. Hopkins is a terrific actor, so it makes sense that he’s on the top of the list for now as the top choice.

However, I think the award should be given posthumously to Chadwick Boseman, who is now the betting favorite in this category at -500 odds for his role in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom. Earlier this year we lost this incredible actor after he succumbed to colon cancer. The movie is expected to be released next week and the critics are already saying that Boseman and Viola Davis steal the film. This is the final film for the actor who brought Black Panther to the big screen. 

I think the Academy will do right by him, just like they did with Heath Ledger back in 2009, and give him the award.

Best Actress Odds

For Best Actress, I am going to stick with Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom lead actress Viola Davis, the favorite to win the award at +160. She plays blues singer Ma Rainey during the 1920s. Davis is an exceptional actress who has been nominated for an Academy Award three times, winning once.

The other name on this board to watch is Carey Mulligan at +175 for her leading role in Promising Young Woman. Mulligan has gotten a ton of praise for her depiction of this role. She plays a woman by the name of Cassie who is wickedly smart, tantalizingly cunning, and is given a chance to right the wrongs from her past.

Best Of The Rest:

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Supporting Actor
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)+110
Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night In Miami)+200
Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+450
Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)+1100
Chadwick Boseman (Da 5 Bloods)+1200
Stanley Tucci (Supernova)+2000
Mark Rylance (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+2800
Bill Muray (On The Rocks)+3300
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+3300
Lucas Hedges (French Exit)+3500
David Strathairn (Nomadland)+4000
Frank Langella (The Trial of the Chicago 7)+4000
Charles Dance (Mank)+5000
Coleman Domingo (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)+5000

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Supporting Actress
Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)+300
Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)+320
Olivia Coleman (The Father)+325
Amanda Seyfried (Mank)+350
Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)+350
Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman)+2000
Helena Zengel (News of the World)+2200
Candice Bergen (Let Them All Talk)+3000
Nicole Kidman (The Prom)+3000
Saoirse Ronan (Ammonite)+3500
Marisa Tomei (The King of Staten Island)+4000
Toni Collette (I’m Thinking of Ending Things)+4000

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Original Screenplay
The Trial of the Chicago 7+150
Promising Young Woman+325
Malcolm & Marie+700
Judas and the Black Messiah+1800
Da 5 Bloods+2000
On The Rocks+3300
Never Rarely Sometimes Always+4500
Ordinary Love+4500
Palm Springs+4500

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada

Odds To Win Academy Award For Best Adapted Screenplay
One Night In Miami+450
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom+800
The Father+850
News of the World+1400
Hillbilly Elegy+1800
The United States vs Billie Holiday+2200
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm+3000
I’m Thinking of Ending Things+3500
French Exit+4000
The Life Ahead+4000

Odds as of February 12 at Bovada