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2021 F1 British Grand Prix Odds: Betting Picks and Predictions

F1 British Grand Prix odds favor Red Bull’s Max Verstappen and Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton to win this year’s race.

The 2021 F1 British Grand Prix at Silverstone cannot come quicker. Max Verstappen has won three races on the bounce to stretch his lead to 32 points at the top of the F1 drivers standings. Lewis Hamilton has not had such a barren run in a long time. Silverstone will be the ideal place to turn things around at his home Grand Prix.

Will it be the power of the Red Bull or the craftiness of the W12? Or someone else in the F1 pack? We take a look with a detailed breakdown of the F1 British Grand Prix odds for Silverstone below.

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According to the British Grand Prix F1 odds at BetOnline Sportsbook, Max Verstappen is the favorite to win at Silverstone with odds of -140. Lewis Hamilton (+165), Valtteri Bottas (+1200) and Sergio Perez (+1200) then round off the rest of the likely winners of the British GP.

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2021 F1 British Grand Prix Odds
DriverOdds
Max Verstappen-140
Lewis Hamilton+165
Sergio Perez+1200
Valtteri Bottas+1200
Lando Norris+5000
Carlos Sainz+6600
Charles Leclerc+6600
Daniel Ricciardo+10000
George Russell+10000
Pierre Gasly+10000
Mick Schumacher+25000
Antonio Giovinazzi+50000
Esteban Ocon+50000
Fernando Alonso+50000
Kimi Raikkonen+50000
Lance Stroll+50000
Nicholas Latifi+50000
Nikita Mazepin+50000
Sebastian Vettel+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000

Odds as of July 15 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Previous Race

Max Verstappen. That was the story of the Red Bull Ring across the Styrian Grand Prix and the subsequent Austrian Grand Prix as he cruised to successive wins at the track and his third victory on the bounce to increase his lead on Hamilton at the top of the drivers standings. Hamilton conceded that it was close to impossible to catch Verstappen and Red Bull along the straights with their speed after Styria.

And that proved to be exactly the case in the Austrian Grand Prix as Verstappen won so comfortably that he even had time to pit toward the end, put on new tires and pick up the additional point for fastest lap.

Valtteri Bottas put in yet another solid race in the Mercedes to finish second, while Lando Norris continued his impressive season with a podium finish. Hamilton could only settle for 12 points and a fourth-placed finish after his Mercedes took some damage in the middle of the race. Carlos Sainz in the Ferrari finished fifth to keep their race with McLaren intriguing.

Verstappen in Form or Hamilton at Home?

Max Verstappen (-140) has turned this season around in spectacular fashion. His F1 odds have shortened so quickly and so drastically, which is always indicative of increasing strength and confidence in the power of the Honda engine and an out-and-out stellar Red Bull car. He delivered another outstanding race in the Austrian Grand Prix, with his victory never in doubt.

“It’s incredible, to be honest. The car was on rails. I mean on every tire set we put on, it was really enjoyable to drive,” Verstappen said after his win. “I’m a bit amazed myself how today went; I didn’t expect it to be like this. Incredible job by everyone to deliver something like this. Of course, when you go into the weekend, everybody sees you as the favorite, but it’s never easy to actually always deliver what we did today.”

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There is something amiss with Mercedes and Lewis Hamilton (+165). He did mention that the W12 was just not good enough, in terms of power and “pure pace” in Austria, but there have been signs all along that Mercedes will get stronger for Silverstone. Hamilton has won three of the last five races in Silverstone with his colleague winning the other two.

At home, you will not see Hamilton playing the long game because there is a large gap forming between Verstappen and him, which has now been extended to 32 points. Considering the new F1 sprint this weekend, there are three additional points for the taking. If Hamilton has a solid race, Mercedes might be back in the reckoning.

“Morale in the team is good, we could see the improvement in race pace from last weekend so we are making progress and eventually we will be competing for the win again. But this is so far from over,” Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff said about his car and Hamilton’s quest for another championship.

“I don’t know what is he, 32 points behind Max? That’s a DNF away. And he’s in the hunt again. And if we look at Baku and the potential, and look at the other races, overall, we need to up our game, make less mistakes, and continue to understand the car better and then we are massively in the hunt.”

Left-Field British Grand Prix Predictions

The field for left-field F1 British Grand Prix picks has increased from two to three with Lando Norris continuing to impress this season. Still, the favorites in this category belong to Mercedes and Red Bull. Not surprising at all.

Sergio Perez (+1200) and Valtteri Bottas (+1200) both have the same F1 odds for this British Grand Prix. Perez has won races this season while Bottas has had historical success at Silverstone. Perez has been in blistering speed along certain sections along the straights this season while Bottas has not lagged far behind Hamilton at all. They both have been fantastic at their roles this season, even if Bottas doesn’t quite get the recognition because of his lack of wins in the Mercedes.

Silverstone will be packed for this race. It will also have the highest attendance at a sporting event in England since the unfortunate spread of the coronavirus. That should suit Bottas more than Perez because the Silver Arrows will be the team to support on Sunday, even if Hamilton has a subpar race.

“I think (the previous) track suits their car pretty well, but they’re not slow anywhere else,” Bottas said of Mercedes’ fight with Red Bull. “Silverstone is completely different. There are a lot more high-speed corners and so, we’ll see. We have something planned in terms of new bits for Silverstone. I think after that it will be quiet in terms of new parts but we’ll keep pushing as hard as we can – but we know it’s going to be tough.”

Other than Verstappen, Norris (+5000) has probably been the driver of the season, or rather the standout driver so far. That is because he has taken his McLaren car to a place even his more experienced colleague Daniel Ricciardo (+10000) hasn’t, which is to the podium.

He even earned some praise from Hamilton during their fight for P2 in the early parts of the race in Austria. He might not have the pace or power of the Mercedes or Red Bull but you would not be able to contain his spirit.

History of the British Grand Prix

Silverstone is arguably the most iconic track in the rich history of F1. The track was first laid in 1942 as a road alongside the RAF Silverstone airfield. The first motor race at Silverstone was in 1947. The first Grand Prix was three years later, in 1950, which was also the first race in the Formula 1 world championship round.

Giuseppe Farina won that race in an Alfa Romeo 158. Mercedes have won the last five races in Silverstone, three by Hamilton and two by Bottas. The lap record was set in 2020 by Max Verstappen with a time of 1:27.097.

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There is also no better circuit to start the F1 Sprint, a 30-minute format of racing to decide the starting grid for Sunday’s race as a replacement for the traditional qualifying race format. Qualifying will instead be on Friday to decide the grid for the Sprint.

Race Technicals

Silverstone is a fairly technical circuit. For starters, there is a total distance of 306.2 kilometers of racing, split up into 52 laps. The length of the circuit is 5.89 kilometers. Interestingly, the track seems to have picked up speed, creating a more discernible difference between the faster F1 cars and the rest.

“It is the best track in the world – the faster it gets, the better it gets,” Hamilton said about the track back in 2018. “It’s got to be the best track in the world, it’s really ridiculous – it’s flying a fighter jet around the track.”

There are two DRS detection zones: the first between turns 2 and 3 and the second between turns 10 and 11. In total, there are 18 turns at Silverstone with several stretches of straight road that will aid the Red Bull and Mercedes cars. Drivers will also be cautious of allowing their competitors a tow considering the length of the straights, particularly in the middle of sector 2 and the start of sector 3.

Weather Conditions

It is expected to be a beautiful race with sunny spells. Yes, sunny in Silverstone. There is a 10 percent chance of precipitation but that is likely to reduce as the race draws closer. No rain to assist some of the slower cars then. Watch out for the Red Bull and Mercedes in this race.

British Grand Prix Betting Strategy

This is an interesting pick to make. Verstappen has been in blistering speed this season, as admitted by almost the entire Mercedes garage, including their drivers. There is probably one place this Mercedes team cannot be underestimated, and that is Silverstone. That’s what makes this a tricky choice.

In terms of damage limitation, Mercedes did not do too badly in Austria, even though Verstappen won both races. There are 29 points up for the taking at Silverstone (25 for Sunday’s race winner, three for the winner of the F1 Sprint and one for the fastest lap if the driver is in the top 10 in the standings).

That will be compelling for Mercedes to make their move and not wait around for Red Bull or limit their damage further because this season is, to borrow an F1 analogy, quickly racing away from them.

I might be very wrong about this but I’d be betting on Hamilton for this race. The W12 needs work but there is a sense that Verstappen will need to overcome more than just a quality driver in a terrific car at Silverstone. However, I would also stake some of my investment on Verstappen as a hedge to cover some losses should Hamilton not have the speed he needs to keep the Red Bull at bay.

Prop Bets for the British Grand Prix

There are also plenty of prop betting choices on BetOnline Sportsbook for you to consider if you do not fancy outright betting at a tricky track at Silverstone. Here is a breakdown of a few of them.

Grid Position of Winner: 2nd Place (+225)

This is a fairly technical choice. As Bottas infamously said for a race in Sochi, it might be better not to start in P1 or P2 because of the slipstream a trailing car can benefit from. While the slipstream might not come into effect till later in the race, that can be used at various points in this circuit to create a safe overtaking position.

It could be Hamilton or Verstappen at P1 or P2, but both cars have the ability to overtake. There is also the concept of dirty air to consider but F1 odds of +225 compensate for that level of risk.

To Win Sprint Qualifying: Max Verstappen (-165)

While there is a strong possibility of Hamilton being strong during the race, the Red Bull could be too strong during Friday’s qualifying, which could see Verstappen finish in prime position to start off Silverstone in sterling fashion, with a win in the F1 sprint. Besides, Verstappen is never a bad bet with his level of form and confidence this season.

Top 6 Finish: Lando Norris (-300)

Norris never finished below his starting position until the Austrian Grand Prix, where he finished third in a stellar race. Hamilton said Norris is “such a good driver” when they were vying for P2 in Austria. He is a very good driver, which Zak Brown and the rest of McLaren will attest to. A top-six finish should not be too arduous for a driver of his caliber, especially during McLaren’s home race.

We shall soon return to bring you more information for the next F1 race and some betting picks. Till then, enjoy the action from Silverstone with some smart British Grand Prix betting choices.