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2021 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds: Verstappen Favored

F1 Hungarian Grand Prix odds favor Red Bull’s Max Verstappen

After a thrilling race in Silverstone, the F1 calendar moves to another iconic venue in Budapest for the Hungarian Grand Prix. By winning the British Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton closed the gap at the top of the drivers’ and constructors’ standings to single digits. That leaves both teams with plenty to race for come Sunday at the Hungaroring.

See Odds Shark’s Best Grand Prix Betting Sites

According to the F1 odds at BetOnline, Max Verstappen is the favorite with odds of -120. Hamilton (+135) is next on the F1 odds board followed by Red Bull’s Sergio Perez (+1400), Mercedes’ Valtteri Bottas (+1400) and Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc (+2000). 

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2021 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds
Max Verstappen-120
Lewis Hamilton+135
Sergio Perez+1400
Valtteri Bottas+1400
Charles Leclerc+2000
Lando Norris+3300
Carlos Sainz+4000
Daniel Ricciardo+6600
Pierre Gasly+10000
Fernando Alonso+20000
George Russell+25000
Sebastian Vettel+25000
Antonio Giovanazzi+50000
Esteban Ocon+50000
Kimi Raikkonen+50000
Lance Stroll+50000
Mick Schumacher+50000
Nicholas Latifi+50000
Nikita Mazpein+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000

Odds as of July 29 at Bovada

Previous Race

The first lap at Silverstone was arguably the best lap of racing in a long while. Verstappen started at P1 after winning the F1 Sprint while Hamilton, who had finished P1 while qualifying, had to settle for a second-placed finish in the sprint. That set up a delectable battle for the leader of the race. Hamilton made several moves on Verstappen, which were expertly defended, before contact at Copse resulted in a nasty crash for this season’s driver leader. Verstappen went flying into the barriers, which resulted in a 10-second penalty for Hamilton.

After the resumption of the race after a red flag, it was Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc that was in prime position to win the race, particularly after Hamilton had to serve his penalty in the pits. Not many in the grandstand were discounting the power of Hamilton in his home race. Mercedes’ garage, which also had Tom Cruise as a guest, were certainly not giving up. Eventually, Hamilton passed Leclerc in the lap 50 of 52 to spark wild celebrations across Silverstone. Bottas finished third to round off the podium spots while McLaren had a 4-5 with Lando Norris and Daniel Ricciardo finishing well above expectations.

Hamilton Or Verstappen?

Let’s start with Hamilton (+135) because there is a bit of momentum there. He had a fantastic race at Silverstone, which brought him back in the race for the drivers’ standings. He has historically enjoyed the Hungaroring as well: he has won at this race eight times. That is the joint most at a single track ever, along with Michael Schumacher’s success in the French Grand Prix. He is still not the favorite in the F1 odds because there is still a lot of work to be done to make that W12 compatible for racing against Verstappen.

“I’ve been giving my all this past week, been in the factory, just giving it absolutely everything trying to uncover performance with the guys and I’m so proud of everyone for just continuing the work even though we’ve had a bit of a deficit,” Hamilton said. “I always try to be measured in how I approach battling with Max, he’s very aggressive. And then today, I mean, I was fully alongside him and he didn’t leave me enough space.”

Verstappen (-120) will begin as the favorite in the F1 odds for the next few races. The Red Bull has been in sensational speed along the straights in the second part of this season already. In fact, even Hamilton and the Mercedes garage have often conceded that Verstappen and Red Bull are a dangerous combination.

Verstappen was taken out in the first lap in controversial circumstances in the first lap of Silverstone. Dr. Helmut Marko even called for Hamilton to be suspended for a race. That was the mood in the Red Bull camp, and that worsened with Sergio Perez even unable to get in the points. Verstappen called that Hamilton incident “unsportsmanlike” in the aftermath of his celebrations at Silverstone. There is no better way to put those emotions behind him than a win in Hungary.

“The aggressive 17-year-old F1 rookie Max Verstappen that Hamilton is referring to is not the Max Verstappen of today, just as Hamilton is not the same driver he was when he entered the sport,” Red Bull team principal Christian Horner wrote in his Red Bull column after Silverstone. “Both drivers are of course uncompromising in their driving style, but they are both highly skilled drivers with a great deal of experience. The reality is that Hamilton has met his match in a car that is now competitive, and I agree that both drivers need to show each other respect, but Hamilton was the aggressor on Sunday.”

Left-Field F1 Betting Predictions for Hungarian Grand Prix

Perez (+1400) started from the pits in 20th place on Sunday. He could not even finish in the points. He was able to pick up the fastest lap to ensure Hamilton did not receive the additional point, which was Red Bull’s biggest takeaway from their worst weekend this season. Perez has already won a race this season, along the coast of the Caspian Sea in Baku. So, do not discount Perez yet.

“The Hungaroring is a very unique track and it’s very similar to Monaco with high levels of downforce – it’s a very technical track,” Perez said ahead of the race. “I’m looking forward to having a strong weekend at the last race before the summer holidays, that’s the only way we can have a good holiday, making sure we have a strong weekend in Budapest.”

Bottas (+1400) is next on the F1 odds board with identical odds as Perez. He had some damage to his car, which limited his ability to take on Leclerc in Silverstone before eventually being asked to allow Hamilton through. I would actually stay away from Bottas in my betting slip because he has under-delivered, in terms of winning races this season. Even though he is a solid contender as always for the podium, Bottas remains unlikely to win.

Leclerc (+2000) drove spectacularly well at Silverstone but his Ferrari just did not have enough down the stretch to stave off a resurgent Hamilton. A lot of credit to him for keeping his nerves in tough moments when Hamilton and Verstappen were sparring and he benefited with a bitter-sweet P2.

Lando Norris (+3300) is the only driver to have collected at least one point in every race this season. That is a sensational stat because that is so hard to do against some of these drivers in these winding, curving technical circuits. While he remains unlikely to win the race, you can always take a look at some prop bets for Norris.

History of the Hungarian Grand Prix

The Hungarian government initially considered repurposing the Nepliget park circuit in Budapest but that option was not taken. The development of the Hungaroring began in 1985, with the first grand prix held just nine months later, in 1986. Nelson Piquet won this track’s first F1 race. The lap record was held in 2020 by Lewis Hamilton with a time of 1:16.627.

Race Technicals

Hungaroring is a very different circuit to many on the F1 calendar. For starters, apart from the main straight, between turns 14 and 1, there are hardly any considerable straights in this circuit. There will be 306.63 kilometers of racing in Hungary, split into 70 laps. The distance for each lap is 4.381 kilometers. There are 14 turns in total with just the solitary DRS detection zone, between turns 13 and 14.

There are several winding turns on this circuit, some U-shaped and others V-shaped. The track closely resembles a carting track, where several of these drivers started their racing careers. This also means that there will unlikely be a tow for drivers, unlike a track like Baku or Sochi. There will be overtakes, there could even be a few unclassified drivers but that all makes for compelling viewing.

Weather Conditions

The official report three days out from the race is there will be sun and clouds with separated thunderstorms. There could be some rain, albeit only for a shorter duration of time, which will keep the teams jittery because they may need several sets of tires, including the wet and the dry slicks. It has been a while since there was some rain in an F1 race just to add to the drama. Budapest is not a bad place, particularly at this stage of the season.

Betting Strategy For the Hungarian Grand Prix Odds

This is another tricky one. The reasons are fairly technical in nature. The Red Bull is far too strong along the straights. Of that, there is not much doubt. However, the Mercedes’ comes back into contention because the Hungaroring is not exactly the straightest circuit in the F1 calendar. There will be plenty of downforce, which makes this a track similar to the streets of Monaco, where Max Verstappen cruised to a win.

This will be a battle between Verstappen and Hamilton for the race winner. And Verstappen will not give Hamilton an inch, and vice versa. In a sport of such fine margins, often dictated by tenths of a second, there is a bit too much risk if you are backing the favorite because the underdog is not really so. This comes down to how you’d like to consume the race, but there is a case to be made to bet on both drivers in a manner that ensures you can still profit should either win, which is highly plausible at this stage.

See Odds Shark’s Best Hungarian Grand Prix Betting Sites

Prop Bets For Hungarian Grand Prix Odds

There are some props that could look better in your betting slip because it might not necessarily come down to such fine margins.

Safety Car: Yes (-138)

A safety car is usually brought on should there be some debris on track after a crash or a racing incident. That is often dictated by the track. For example, the difficulty of overtaking in Monaco is extremely high, which reduces the probability of the safety car being used.

That is very similar here but if you are an avid F1 bettor, you will notice that these odds have massively shortened as a result of that lower likelihood. That is what makes this selection compelling. There should be a couple of moves made in this curvy track, and if a car ends up in a barrier, the safety car will be brought out.

Double points finish: Ferrari (-300)

The Scuderia Ferrari has been consistent without being too flashy. Leclerc has enjoyed multiple pole positions already this season, including in the streets of Monaco and Baku. The Hungaroring is fairly similar to Monaco. Leclerc is also high on confidence after a scintillating drive in Silverstone.

“I feel like it can be a strong race for us, I don’t think we will be at the level of performance as we’ve seen in Monaco, but I hope we can at least be on top of the midfield which is the reality of where we’re fighting this year. It’s a very difficult track, very technical, you need to be very, very smooth. So this is the most important target for this weekend and I think we are quite confident we can achieve that,” Leclerc said.

Carlos Sainz might be the only sticking point between the bettor and a comfortable win in this market. However, he has already shown so much promise for his new team after a solid run for McLaren last year. He has to finish in the top 10 in Hungary, which is also extremely likely as long as he does not make contact with another driver.

F1 will take a short break after the Hungarian Grand Prix as the teams move into summer break before the Belgium Grand Prix towards the end of August. Odds Shark will return shortly before that race to update you with the newest F1 odds and predictions.