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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Northern Trust

Patrick Reed of the United States plays his tee shot on the 12th hole during the second round of the 100th PGA Championship at the Bellerive Country Club on August 10, 2018 in St Louis, Missouri.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Northern Trust.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Justin Rose +1600

Rose has accomplished everything in the professional golf world outside of a FedExCup trophy. That could change this week. The Englishman, who has a major, two World Golf Championships and a gold medal already, has never been in better form entering the playoffs.

Rose has played Ridgewood twice, notching a T-15 in 2010 and a T-30 in 2014. The competition is stiff, but Rose has the game to go toe to toe with anybody and has only gotten better with age.

My second favorite pick: Patrick Reed +5000

Whether you like him or not, you have to admit Reed has a habit of coming through in big events. The 2018 Masters champion has been up and down since slipping on the green jacket at Augusta National, yet the value on him to win the Northern Trust is too good to pass up at +5000.

Reed won this tournament in 2016 when it was hosted at Bethpage Black and notched a T-9 at Ridgewood in 2014. Expect “Captain America” to round into form at the right time with the Ryder Cup approaching.

My third favorite pick: Paul Casey +6600

At 41, it’s safe to say Casey has had a solid, yet unspectacular career so far. Casey’s 13 wins on the European Tour tower over his two triumphs on the PGA Tour, however he always seems to be within striking distance when the lights are at their brightest.

Casey went T-31 at Firestone and missed the cut altogether at Bellerive, so it’s understandable if you’re fading him this week. He’s gone T-7, T-12 and T-22 in his three trips to Ridgewood, so I’m banking on his comfortability at the course leading to a high finish on Sunday.