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2021 Wyndham Championship: Odds to Win and Expert Picks

Webb Simpson leads 2021 Wyndham Championship Odds

It’s officially crunch time on the PGA Tour as players head to Sedgefield Country Club for the last regular-season tournament of the year. With the top 125 players gaining entry into the FedExCup playoffs, this week’s Wyndham Championship provides intriguing storylines before players even set foot on the property.

Sedgefield Country Club will welcome 156 players as we return to our regularly scheduled programming of having a cut come Friday evening. After a couple weeks of no-cut events, it’s refreshing to get back to the norm at the Wyndham Championship.

Debuting in 1938, this championship has had a rather rocky history. While Sedgefield Country Club was the original host, Forest Oaks Country Club played the part for more than three decades in the back end of the 1900s and the early parts of the 2000s. After restoring Donald Ross’s design in 2007, the Wyndham Championship returned to Sedgefield Country Club and has been there ever since.

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As such, we have plenty of information to use in analyzing which players we believe will thrive this week in Greensboro, North Carolina. With names such as Webb Simpson, Patrick Reed and Si Woo Kim breaking through for their first PGA Tour titles here, another first-time winner could be lurking in the shadows.

The Wyndham Championship betting odds have been posted at Bovada with Webb Simpson, a decade removed from his Wyndham Championship victory, leading the way at +1200, with an implied probability to win of 7.69 percent. If successful, a $100 bet on him would net you $1,200 profit. He’ll have to contend with a number of great players such as Hideki Matsuyama, who nearly won last week at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, falling just short in a three-man playoff.

Here’s a look at the golfers with the best odds to win the 2021 Wyndham Championship at Bovada:

Who is Favored to Win the 2021 Wyndham Championship?

2021 Wyndham Championship Odds
Webb Simpson+1200
Hideki Matsuyama+1400
Louis Oosthuizen+1800
Patrick Reed+2200
Brian Harman+2800
Jason Kokrak+3300
Russell Henley+3300
Sungjae Im+3300
Will Zalatoris+3300
Brandt Snedeker+4000
Kevin Na+4000
Si Woo Kim+4000
Tommy Fleetwood+4000
Adam Scott+5000
Bubba Watson+5000
Charl Schwarztel+5000
Erik Van Rooyen+5000
Gary Woodland+5000

Odds as of August 9 at Bovada

To learn more about wagering on the links, check out our How to Bet on Golf page. Looking to put some money down? Our Best Golf Sites article will help you find the sportsbook that’s right for you. 

How Will Players Deal with the FedExCup Playoffs Looming?

The pressure is on as players have four rounds remaining to claim their spot in the FedExCup playoffs. Eleven players ranked from 120 to 140 in the FedExCup standings are teeing it up this week, including the likes of Adam Scott, Matt Kuchar, Rickie Fowler, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose and Francesco Molinari.

While those big names may have other qualifying results to fall back on, others may not be as lucky. Ryan Armour, Patrick Rodgers and Bo Hoag all sit inside the top 125 for the time being, but there are a number of other players who would love nothing more than to steal their spots in the first playoff event.

Scott Piercy, who nearly came through at the Barracuda Championship last week, is the odd man out at the moment at 126th in the standings. A strong start at the Wyndham Championship should be enough for the four-time PGA Tour winner to punch his ticket to New Jersey. However, as it has done in the past, the pressure from the FedExCup playoffs has derailed candidates’ hopes and players will need their minds in the present if they want to play next week.

Course and Analysis:

Having been a longtime stop on the PGA Tour, we have plenty of information that we can put to use for the Wyndham Championship. Measuring just north of 7,100 yards, Sedgefield Country Club has long rewarded accuracy over length. While length is typically an advantage, clubbing down off the tee, having less club into greens, it won’t be a considerable edge as it is most weeks.

Instead, players will need to split fairways with regularity and utilize precise iron play in order to effectively dismember this Donald Ross design. So that essentially leads us down the road of ball-striking as that was how past champions found their way into the winner’s circle.

In fact, in last year’s Wyndham Championship, the top three on the leaderboard all lost strokes around the green, further validating that ball-striking reigns supreme this week. Couple that with catching a hot putter just as Jim Herman and J.T. Poston did and you have found the skill sets needed for Sedgefield Country Club.

2021 Wyndham Championship Odds and Expert Picks:

Rickie Fowler (+5000 to win):

I am buying the narrative and will continue to go to the well with Fowler. While it was a bit surprising to see him forgo the Barracuda Championship last week, all that tells me is that he has put all his eggs into one basket, with that being the Wyndham Championship.

Sitting on the outside looking in, Fowler needs a strong week in order to gain entry into next week’s Northern Trust. While such an outcome may seem far-fetched at first glance, I am here to provide some optimism. After sharing the first-round lead at the 3M Open, Fowler faltered a bit on Friday and fell down the leaderboard.

He made the most of the beginning of his moving day, converting birdie opportunity after birdie opportunity, getting to 6 under for the day at one point. However, late bogeys and a triple-bogey 8 on the par-5 18th left Fowler out of contention.

That may muddy the water a bit when it comes to people’s opinion of him this week, but not mine. He’s been making consistent strides toward his former self over the past couple of months. While the iron play has improved, the putter has now started to come around, and that’s a combination I am willing to wager on at the Wyndham Championship.

Branden Grace (+6600 to win):

This number is wrong, plain and simple. Perhaps still reeling from a surprising missed cut at the Open, Grace shouldn’t be north of +5000, let alone +8000 at some places, in a field of this caliber. After breaking through for an emotional victory at the Puerto Rico Open in February, the South African has continued his strong play into the summer months.

A top-five finish at the Memorial was followed up with successfully qualifying for the U.S. Open where he captured another top-10 finish. A lethal combination of strong iron play and strong putting that has led Grace to success this season should theoretically do the same this week at the Wyndham Championship. While he doesn’t have the best history at Sedgefield Country Club, I am willing to overlook that based on the current form.

Mackenzie Hughes (+6600 to win):

Hughes has quietly turned into a bit of a big-game hunter this summer. The Canadian only possesses one career victory on the PGA Tour, yet he is making a habit of being there come Sunday. With near misses at the U.S. Open and even the Open to some extent, Hughes should be worthy of consideration this week at the Wyndham Championship.

While he did have an up-and-down Olympic Games, I’m willing to wager this week he’ll be up to the Sedgefield Country Club challenge. Typically reliant on his putter, Hughes has posted positive Strokes Gained: Approach numbers in three of his last four PGA Tour starts.

This includes +1.5 SG: Approach at Detroit Golf Club, another Donald Ross design, where Hughes finished in a tie for 14th. If he can improve on that number and gain somewhere in the neighborhood of five strokes, then the rest of his bag is capable of allowing him to capture his second PGA Tour victory.

Mito Pereira (+6600 to win):

I’m not sure there has been a hotter golfer on the planet this summer than the Chilean. After a three-win promotion courtesy of the Korn Ferry Tour, all Pereira has done is compete week in and week out on the PGA Tour.

That stretch of strong play extended to the Olympic Games, where he narrowly missed out on medaling and finding his way onto the podium. Posting +8.56 SG: Tee-to-Green for the week in Tokyo, Pereira was just an average putting performance away from an even better result.

He has since played in the Barracuda Championship where he finished inside the top 40. Between the course and the format, I never fancied his chances at Old Greenwood. That won’t be the case at Sedgefield Country Club as it boasts some similar features to TPC Twin Cities, where he finished in a tie for sixth just a few weeks ago.

Hank Lebioda (+8000 to win):

The last time we saw Lebioda, he withdrew during the 3M Open due to family complications. Having attended to those, the Florida State product returns to the PGA Tour for the Wyndham Championship where he will be making his third appearance. In the first two, he made the cut in both but garnered rather pedestrian results.

Last year, Lebioda posted +8.4 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green at Sedgefield Country Club only to give the majority of that back on the greens. That likely won’t be the case this season as Lebioda has been the best putter on the PGA Tour over the past couple of months.

With performances of +5.8, +6.1, +5.1 SG: Putting in his last three starts, Lebioda has parlayed a hot flat stick into three top-10 finishes. While it is always a difficult venture to hope for continued success on the greens, I believe Lebioda deserves a vote of confidence at the Wyndham Championship.

Here’s a helpful outline of some of the different betting options for the Wyndham Championship to help you decide which wager(s) would be best for you.

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Golf is unique for many reasons, but one of them is the significant number of betting props available.

Sportsbooks are offering odds on things like whether there will be a hole-in-one, OVER/UNDERs on the winning score for the eventual champion and odds on golfers to make or miss the cut, to name a few. Similar to other sports, props are a fun way to enhance your betting experience.

Live Betting

Live betting is an exhilarating way to watch golf. If the player you placed a pre-tournament bet on is out of the running at any point during the event, you can easily get back in the game by wagering on another golfer as the days go by.

If there are only a few men in the hunt on the final day, the odds likely won’t be significantly high, but your chances of winning are.

Depending on your sportsbook, you should be able to access live betting options during most PGA Tour tournaments.

These pages will help you handicap your golf bets:

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