A stress-free wire-to-wire victory at the John Deere Classic saw J.T. Poston punch his ticket into the 150th Open Championship next week at St. Andrews.
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Originally planning to play in the Barbasol Championship, where he fell in a playoff last season, Poston will instead now book a flight to Scotland and will be in the field for this week’s Genesis Scottish Open.
A co-sanctioned event between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, the field will be split in half as 78 players from each circuit will travel to North Berwick, Scotland.
The Renaissance Club designed by Tom Doak will play host for the fourth consecutive year as recent U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick, like Poston at the Barbasol Championship, lost in a playoff here last season.
It is not the Englishman who headlines the oddsboard, though, as nine of the top-10 players in the Official World Golf Rankings will play in preparation for the fourth and final major championship next week.
As expected, it is crowded at the top of the oddsboard at Sportsbook with three of the best players in the world sharing the honor of being named tournament favorite.
Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas are all listed at +1200 to win the Genesis Scottish Open. Not far behind the Masters champion, 2021 U.S. Open Sportsbook and reigning PGA Championship victor is Xander Schauffele at +1600 who captured the Travelers Championship in his last start out at TPC River Highlands.
According to our odds calculator, the three men at the top each have a 7.7% chance to come through for yet another victory on the PGA Tour. In one of the strongest fields of the season, some of the biggest names in the game will rise to the top of the leaderboard in what is sure to be an exciting 2022 Genesis Scottish Open.
Who Is Favored To Win This Year’s Genesis Scottish Open?
Odds as of July 5 at Sportsbook
Course and Tournament Information
The Renaissance Club was designed by Tom Doak and has only hosted the Genesis Scottish Open the last three seasons. Because of this, we are able to understand the property better than most across the pond despite it not playing as a traditional golf course.
On the coast of Scotland, The Renaissance Club boasts wide fairways, massive greens and difficult run-off areas where players will struggle to simply get up and down.
Measuring just about 7,300 yards and playing to a par 71, The Renaissance Clubs features an unorthodox mix of four par 5s, five par 3s and nine par 4s. While some may be inclined to weigh tee to green aspects heavier due to some unknown variables such as potential weather, golf in Scotland has often rewarded some of the best scramblers in golf.
Think of Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler and Jordan Spieth all of whom have won in this country. Due to this, around the green presence will be crucial to success just as driving distance will be as the three members of last year’s playoffs were all adequately long off the tee.
2022 Genesis Scottish Open Picks
Matt Fitzpatrick To Win +2000
Last seen raising the U.S. Open trophy at The Country Club, is it too much to suggest Fitzpatrick can notch his second PGA Tour victory in as many starts? I am willing to say it is not as the Englishman has vaulted himself inside the top 10 of the Official World Golf Rankings and is among the top names to consider from a betting perspective on a weekly basis.
Losing in playoff to Lee last year, Fitzpatrick once again proved to have a liking for The Renaissance Club as he has finishes of T-2, T-42 and T-14. In each of those starts, Fitzpatrick was terrific on the greens which can be difficult to decipher given not only the size but the slope and undulation.
Since then, he has added significant distance off the tee and may be enough to propel him to the top spot at the Genesis Scottish Open. Fitzpatrick has gained strokes off the tee in eight consecutive starts.
At the U.S. Open, the 27-year-old posted +1.27 strokes gained off the tee per round, +1.46 strokes gained approach per round and +1.49 strokes gained around the green per round. Any performance in this neighborhood will secure another victory and with it, all the momentum heading into the Open Championship.
Will Zalatoris To Win +2800
Twice a runner up in major championships this season, like Fitzpatrick, Zalatoris has not been seen since the U.S. Open. Unable to convert a birdie opportunity on the 72nd hole to force a playoff, he left the Boston area with a sour taste in his mouth, but with even more motivation to breakthrough for his first title on the PGA Tour.
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One of the best ball strikers in the world, Zalatoris played in the Genesis Scottish Open last season and acquitted himself nicely. He finished T-26 and posted +0.43 strokes gained off the tee per round and +0.98 strokes gained approach per round. He fell short on and around the greens as he often did last year. That said, Zalatoris has become a completely retooled player in 2022.
Gaining strokes in the short game categories of around the green and putting in five of his last six starts on the PGA Tour, Zalatoris is beginning to change the narrative surrounding his game. Couple this improvement both chipping and with putter in hand with his immaculate iron play and long drives and Zalatoris’ first PGA Tour win may very well come at the Genesis Scottish Open.
Corey Conners To Win +5000
The 30-year-old surprisingly missed the cut at the U.S. Open as he was terrific both off the tee and on approach. Gaining more than two strokes in each statistical category in only two rounds at The Country Club, the Canadian should be in a nice position to bounce back this week at The Renaissance Club.
I like that Conners has already played this course before despite missing the cut last season. It was mostly due to shortcomings on the greens as well as on approach, a rarity when it comes to a player of Conners’ caliber. He posted +0.46 strokes gained around the green per round and +0.23 strokes off the tee per round, so there were highlights despite the short week.
Take away his disappointment in recent major championships and Conners has been terrific. He has four straight top-21 finishes including a solo sixth at the RBC Canadian Open, so his game is clearly in a nice spot ahead of the Genesis Scottish Open.
Tyrrell Hatton To Win +6600
The Englishman flashed some serious form during the spring months of the PGA Tour season and has since gone cold. At one point making 13 consecutive cuts between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, Hatton has fallen flat after performing poorly at the RBC Canadian Open.
He has since notched a T-56 finish at the U.S. Open and then missed the cut last week at the Irish Open. Despite this lull in his form, The Renaissance Club should be the perfect opportunity to buy low on the 30-year-old.
In two prior appearances, Hatton has finished T-14 and T-18. Last year he gained strokes in each statistical category and knowing how good he can be, this price feels like a steal.
Chris Kirk To Win +10000
Given the top-heavy nature of this field and the depth among the betting favorites, I am hesitant to wager on too many longshots. However, I will indulge on Kirk as he quietly finished in a tie for seventh in his last tournament at the RBC Canadian Open.
Kirk gained strokes in each statistical category and was the latest in what has been a fantastic summer on the PGA Tour. Before his play in Canada, the former Georgia Bulldog had finished T-53 at the Memorial Tournament, T-15 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and T-5 at the PGA Championship.
The 37-year-old will be making his Genesis Scottish Open debut this week, but his lack of history should not be of any concern given how well he has been playing the last two months.
What Happened In Last Year’s Genesis Scottish Open?
Unlike 2020 when play was heavily affected by weather, last year’s Genesis Scottish Open presented ideal conditions. This should be kept in mind when looking back at historical statistics as the 2020 version of this event was played in October and featured zero players from the PGA Tour due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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While Aaron Rai bested Tommy Fleetwood, last year it was a different story as some of the premier players all had chances to claim victory. Justin Thomas, Ian Poulter and Lucas Herbert all put forth final round charges, but ultimately came up just short of a three-man playoff. In extra holes, Min Woo Lee defeated Matt Fitzpatrick and Thomas Detry thanks to a birdie on the Sportsbook hole.
This triumph marked the biggest of Lee’s career as he was simply terrific in the final round as he came from behind thanks to a 7-under 64 to finish at 18 under for the tournament.
On the week, the Australian ranked first in birdies, 10th in par-4 scoring, fourth in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in strokes gained around the green and 20th in strokes gained putting, proving this may in fact play into the hands of the best scramblers in the field.