Harry’s PGA’s Northern Trust Tournament Plays
After a thrilling end to the Wyndham Championship that was won by 42-year-old Jim Herman, the PGA rolls into Boston for the Northern Trust, which marks the beginning of the FedExCup playoffs.
The top 125 ranked golfers will be in action at TPC Boston and then, in case you don’t know how this works, only the top 70 players after this weekend advance to the BMW Championship the following week in Illinois.
The Tour Championship in Atlanta will be the last leg and will feature the 30 players who have the most points at that time. Those players will be fighting for a $10-million prize.
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Before I get into my selections, it must be said that no matter how you get into the top 125, at least you are in. Here are a few tidbits about how some golfers managed to get here.
Breaking Into The Top 125
Shane Lowry (122)
The defending Open Championship winner got here by finishing sixth three weeks ago at the WGC-St. Jude Invitational.
Adam Schenk (114)
Made five straight cuts to stay within the numbers.
Ryan Armour (95)
He was 143rd in June before out of the blue pulling off back-to-back top-10s at the Travelers and the Rocket Mortgage.
Corey Conners (56)
The Canadian missed the cut in the first tournament of the season and then ripped off six straight top-25s.
Abraham Ancer (13)
Ancer continues to improve every year, going from 190 to 60 to 21 to 13 in his first four seasons on tour.
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Rickie Fowler (88)
This marks the worst FedExCup ranking for Fowler in 10 years.
Matthew Wolff (34)
Has four top-25s in his last six tournaments, including a second-place finish at the Rocket Mortgage in Detroit and a fourth a couple of weeks ago at the PGA in San Francisco.
Top 30 Finish Pick
Adam Scott +125
Scott has only played eight tournaments this year, but he does have a victory at the Genesis Open in February. He is fifth on the tour in eagles and is eighth in sand saves. Plus-money odds for a top-30 finish is worth a few bucks on the UNLV graduate.
Head-to-Head Matchup Bets
Patrick Reed -115 over Daniel Berger
This tournament does change courses but for some reason Reed shows up big time in this spot. He won at Bethpage in 2016 and he captured the Northern Trust championship last season at Liberty National.
Billy Horschel -115 over Matthew Fitzpatrick
The Englishman didn’t play well at the PGA and missed the cut. Meanwhile, Horschel came so close to winning and probably should have last week in Greensboro. I fully expect him to come right back and play strong in Boston.
Zach Johnson -125 over Bud Cauley
Both gentlemen played well this past weekend in North Carolina and if not for a couple of lip-outs on the back nine Sunday, Johnson could have been in a playoff against Jim Herman. His strong iron play will get him a victory over Cauley this week.
Harry’s Possible Winners
Billy Horschel Round 1 Leader +6600
Why not Horschel? He was so close last week, and you can just tell how important this is to him. He was focused and just missed that birdie putt on 18 that would have forced a playoff. He is more than capable of coming right back with something like a 65 after Round 1. He has also qualified for seven straight BMW Championships.
Jon Rahm +1500
Rahm’s win at the Memorial in Dublin, Ohio, in July vaulted him into the No. 1 spot in the world.
Collin Morikawa +2500
Morikawa has been unreal this season and is always near the top of the leaderboard in whatever tournament he is playing in. When he won the PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park two weeks ago, he hit a shot that golf fans will never forget, almost recording a hole-in-one on a par 4.
Webb Simpson +3000
Simpson did not make the cut at the PGA but otherwise has been tremendous this season. He played great this past weekend in his home state of North Carolina and has multiple wins for the first time since 2011.
Harry’s Hypotheticals are back at the TPC Boston
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +120 |
| No | -150 |
Kim tied for third last week
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -145 |
| No | +115 |
Phil has qualified for the BMW in all 13 years of the FedExCup
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -115 |
| No | -115 |
His best two finishes were early in the season
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Pat Perez (79th) | -155 |
| Chez Reavie (83rd) | +125 |
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Wyndham Clark (125th) | +225 |
| Rory Sabbatini (120th) | +225 |
| Lucas Glover (115th) | +225 |
| Kyoung-Hoon Lee (110th) | +225 |
