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NASCAR Cup: Hamlin, Elliott Share Top Odds Heading Into Finale

NASCAR Cup Championship Odds

After a season that was halted midway through due to the coronavirus, we have reached the finale with 35 races down and one to go. We have just four drivers vying for the championship and it is Chase Elliott and Denny Hamlin who share the shortest NASCAR Cup odds.

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed Hamlin and Elliott at +240, followed by Joey Logano at +260 and Brad Keselowski at +300 on the NASCAR Cup championship oddsboard.

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NASCAR Cup Championship Odds

Denny Hamlin+240
Chase Elliott+240
Joey Logano+260
Brad Keselowski+300

Odds as of November 5 at Bovada

Harvick Failed To Reach Championship 4

It’s hard not to talk about Kevin Harvick even though he is no longer in contention to win the championship. Harvick was the favorite for most of the season, had the most wins, most top-fives and most top-10s, was the only driver to not have a “DNF” and led the most laps. However, he finished outside the top 10 in two of the three races in the Round of 8 and failed to advance.

Which Of The Championship 4 Should You Back?

I have been talking all season about the value in Chase Elliott. Now the value is gone as he’s the co-favorite with Denny Hamlin. As well, in a one-race, winner-take-all situation, anything can happen. Among the Championship 4 drivers, only Hamlin and Logano have victories at Phoenix Raceway, the site of the finale, and both have won twice there.

Keselowski has finished 10th or worse in seven of his last nine runnings at the track so I would essentially count him out to win the championship. 

Elliott, while he hasn’t won at Phoenix, took the pole there in March and led the most laps but finished seventh, so he definitely has more value than Keselowski.

Logano won that March race but had finished outside the top 10 in five of the previous six before that victory.

Hamlin won last year’s November race at Phoenix after topping the field in led laps, a feat he’d also managed four runnings prior at the track, though he crashed and finished 35th in that race. Hamlin has finished in the top five in three of the last five runnings there.

Overall, in order of value to win the 2020 NASCAR Cup championship, I’d rank them: Hamlin (+240), Logano (+260), Elliott (+240) and Keselowski (+300).