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Joey Logano challenging for favorite status in NASCAR Cup Championship odds

Joey Logano missed a chance to book his ticket to the Round of Eight in the first leg of the Round of 12, finishing second behind Tyler Reddick. But, Team Penske’s Logano can find solace in the 46 points he picked up in Texas. With 3,071 points he sits at the top of the NASCAR Cup Championship by 12 points over Ross Chastain.

Ryan Blaney picked up the second most point with 43 at the AutoTrade EchoPark Automotive 500 in Texas, pushing the number 12 car to fifth in the standings. But that changed nothing with his standing on the oddsboard. Actually, very little has changed in terms, the biggest jump was Joey Logano who jumped from fifth to third on the BETUS oddsboard.

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2022 NASCAR Cup Championship Odds

Odds To Win The NASCAR Cup Championship
Chase Elliott+400
Denny Hamlin+450
Joey Logano+450
Kyle Larson+600
Ross Chastain+800
William Byron+800
Ryan Blaney+900
Christopher Bell+1800
Daniel Suarez+2000
Alex Bowman+5000
Austin Cindric+5000
Chase Briscoe+5000

Odds as of September 27 at Bovada

NASCAR Cup Championship Odds Favorite

Chase Elliott (+400)

Chase Elliott hasn’t done well on average at Texas, and that held again last weekend when he was forced out of the race following some tire issue. He still managed to pick up five points which keeps him just above the drop line with two races to go in the Group of eight.

So you might think, why didn’t his odds drop him out of the favorite position? It’s because of his average record over the remaining races in the postseason. Over the next six races, Elliott has the best average record of the drivers remaining in the postseason. So as the postseason continues, expect Elliott to start putting up more points than his competitors for the NASCAR Cup Championship.

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NASCAR Cup Championship Best Bet

Joey Logano (+450)

Last week I was confused to see Logano at +800 to win. It was good for fifth on the oddsboard. He had the next-best average finish for the remaining drivers on the remaining tracks for postseason drivers.

He’s currently second in points in the postseason with 3,025, 15 back of Elliott for the lead. His average finish through the remaining tracks on the postseason circuit is the same as Elliott’s at 5.71. At +800, Logano is really good value to snag the trophy and net you $800 on a winning $100 bet.

Fort Worth was also one of the better tracks in terms of average finish for Logano. And that continued over the weekend as he finished second behind Tyler Reddick. Putting up those aforementioned 43 points now has him first in the NASCAR playoff standings.

He’s the top driver at the moment in the postseason. And look, of the 12 drivers left in the postseason, Logano has the fourth-best average finish behind Elliott and Denny Hamlin (tied at 1) and then Ryan Blaney at three.

Logano might struggle when the NASCAR playoffs get to Homestead, Florida for the Dixie Vodka 400, but through the rest of the postseason, Logano could very well run the table with an average-finish rank (vs. the rest of the playoff field) of 6th, third, second, eighth (Homestead), second, and first.

Hopefully, you locked in Logano at +800 last week, but maybe you needed one more week of results to lock in that bet. At +450 you’re still looking as good value. A $100 bet returns a $450 profit for you.

NASCAR Cup Championship FAQ

Who is the favorite for the 2022 NASCAR championship?

Chase Elliott currently leads the NASCAR Cup championship oddsboard with odds at +320. Denny Hamlin is second with odds at +500. Kyle Larson is third at +600.

Who won the last NASCAR Cup championship?

In 2021, Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports) won the NASCAR Cup championship. It was his first career championship.

Who has won the last five NASCAR Cup championships?

Here is the list of the last five NASCAR Cup champions as well as the car's owner:

  • 2017 - Martin Truex Jr. (Furniture Row Racing)
  • 2018  - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
  • 2019 - Kyle Busch (Joe Gibbs Racing)
  • 2020 - Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2021 - Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports)