Ryan Blaney wins his first NASCAR Cup Championship odds.

NASCAR Cup Championship Odds: Ryan Blaney Wins His First Title

With a second-place finish at Pheonix, Ryan Blaney won his first NASCAR Sprint Cup Championship. While Kyle Larson was favored to win prior to the Championship 4 at +150, it was Blaney who's odds were +900 that won.

2023 NASCAR Cup Championship Odds

Odds To Win The NASCAR Cup Championship
DriverCurrent Odds
Kyle Larson+150
Christopher Bell+250
William Byron+300
Ryan Blaney+900
Denny Hamlin+1100
Martin Truex Jr.+1500
Tyler Reddick+2200
Chris Buescher+7500

Odds as of October 27

Should Ryan Blaney have been the favorite to win nASCAR championship?

I didn't have Blaney on my radar. As in I didn't give him much consideration to win. Outside of Larson as the favorite, my two dark horses were Christopher Bell and Willaim Byron.

Blaney has averaged an 8.4 finish at Phoenix but over his last five races at Avondale, Blaney averaged a 4.0 finish. He didn't need to win at Phoenix remember, he just needed to pick up more points than his three other competitors. Which is exactly what he did of course. 

Looking at his three competitors in the Championship race, taking Blaney would have been the right call:

Average Finish Last 5 Races At Phoenix
DriverAverage Finish (Last 5 Races)
Christopher Bell12
Kyle Larson11
William Byron10
Ryan Blaney 4.4

 

Last season I called for Joey Logano to win and took him at +600 which cashed. But I made the wrong call this season. That's fine. It happens.

We'll go into next season with this in mind when the Championship 4 comes about. There's no need to back a champ early in the season, you'll still find plenty of value later on in the season. 

Last 10 NASCAR Cup Champions

Last 10 NASCAR Cup Champions
YearDriverTeam
2023Ryan BlaneyTeam Penske
2022Joey LoganoTeam Penske
2021Kyle LarsonHendrick Motorsports
2020Chase ElliottHendrick Motorsports
2019Kyle BuschJoe Gibbs Racing
2018Joey LoganoTeam Penske
2017Martin Truex Jr.Furniture Row Racing
2016Jimmie JohnsonHendrick Motorsports
2015Kyle BuschJoe Gibbs Racing
2014Kevin HarvickStewart-Haas Racing

 

I know we make championship wins more about the individual (and for good reason – they’re driving the cars), but we can’t forget about the team backing them.

With a Blaney Sprint Cup win this year, Team Penske now has three championships in the last decade. That's the same number as Hendrick Motorsports

NASCAR Cup Championship FAQ

Who is the favorite for the 2023 NASCAR championship?

Kyle Larson currently leads the NASCAR Cup championship oddsboard with odds at +400. William Byron is second at +450. 

Who won the last NASCAR Cup championship?

In 2022, Joey Logano (Team Penske) won the NASCAR Cup championship. It was his second career championship.

Who has won the last five NASCAR Cup championships?

Here is the list of the last five NASCAR Cup champions as well as the car's owner:

  • 2018  - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
  • 2019 - Kyle Busch (Joe Gibbs Racing)
  • 2020 - Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2021 - Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports)
  • 2022 - Joey Logano (Team Penske)
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