With the NBA playoffs in full swing, we’re excited to continue bringing you a selection of NBA expert picks and best bets every week throughout the postseason.
If you would like to make some other bets too, make sure to check out Odds Shark’s breakdown of this year’s NBA Championship odds and MVP odds, or check out our weekly NBA prop bets. You can also see our NBA Computer Picks here.
Odds Shark’s NBA Expert Picks
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
I’m going to be blatantly honest here. I don’t think the Grizzlies have a chance to win this one – but they do have a chance to keep it close. The big news is that Grizzlies star Ja Morant isn’t playing tonight, but that hasn’t been too much of a concern this year. With Morant out, the Grizzlies went 20-5. I get that the playoffs are a different animal, but this team is incredibly talented.
On top of that, the Grizz have done a tremendous job bouncing back after a loss. Memphis is 19-10 ATS following a loss this season. The Grizzlies are also 27-17-1 ATS on the road this year, so they have fared quite well away from home.
The Grizzlies are going to have to play very well on both ends of the floor, but I can see them keeping this one within single digits.
The Pick: Grizzlies +9.5 -110
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks
In a must-win game for the Celtics, I think that they get it done tonight to even up the series at two games apiece. Jaylen Brown and Al Horford were outstanding in Game 3, combining for 49 points, 28 rebounds and nine assists. If they continue to play at a high level, you have to expect Jayson Tatum to play much better than he did in Game 3.
Tatum scored only 10 points and shot a horrific 4-for-19 from the field in a 103-101 loss. I expect a much better performance from the Celtics star in a huge game.
Looking at recent history, the Celtics have had the upper hand in the head-to-head when it comes to covering the spread. In their last 10 meetings, the Celts are 9-1 ATS against the Bucks. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 5-0 ATS in their last five at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.
Tatum should bounce back in a massive way tonight. The spread is just 1 point so rather than taking that point, we will take the Celtics moneyline at EVEN odds.
The Pick: Celtics ML +100
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Odds Shark Staff Thu, Aug 4, 11:20am