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NBA Southwest Division: Houston Eyes Three-peat

NBA Southwest Betting Odds October 16, 2019

If it hadn’t been for the outstanding 32-9 home record of the San Antonio Spurs last season, the Houston Rockets would have been a runaway train in the Southwest Division. As it was, the Rockets won their second straight division title with a 53-29 record and a five-game lead over the Spurs. The other three teams in the division all finished 20 games back with identical 33-49 records. Heading into 2019-20, Houston is once again atop the oddsboard to three-peat.

Online sportsbook Bovada has the Houston Rockets as the favorite at -280 to win the Southwest Division followed by the San Antonio Spurs at +400, the Dallas Mavericks at +1100, the New Orleans Pelicans at +1200 and the Memphis Grizzlies at +15000.

Houston Rockets -280

The Rockets put together a strong 2018-19 campaign that saw them go 53-29, win the division and finish fourth in the West. They were eventually knocked off by the Warriors in six games in the conference semifinals. They return the majority of their starting lineup with the only change coming at the point guard position. Chris Paul is out and Russell Westbrook is in, reuniting with James Harden for the first time since they played together in Oklahoma City in 2011-12. I don’t foresee much of a change from last year and Houston should collect 55 or more wins again in 2019-20.

San Antonio Spurs +400

It was Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde for the Spurs last season in their home vs away splits. At home, San Antonio went 32-9, while on the road it went 16-25. What makes the Spurs an interesting team is their depth, as their starting five is good but not great. When they turn to their bench, there isn’t much of a drop-off, which makes them dangerous for the full duration of their games, or if they want to rest players or have injuries. Look for Dejounte Murray to blossom as the starting point guard. Once again, San Antonio will be a tough squad, but I don’t think the Spurs have enough to get to Houston.

Dallas Mavericks +1100

Dallas is likely the most improved team in the Southwest Division – although that may qualify them for a ribbon, it’s not enough for the division title. Already in the preseason, shooting guard Luka Doncic and power forward Kristaps Porzingis are showing some chemistry and should be a dynamic duo this year. The starting five is fairly decent overall, middle of the pack I would say, but depth will be an issue, especially if there is an injury to one of their starters. The Mavs will take a step forward but will likely still be on the outside looking in on the playoffs.

New Orleans Pelicans +1200

New Orleans is going to be a really fun team to watch this year, but don’t expect much in terms of the standings because the West is so tough. The Pelicans added Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram in the trade that saw Anthony Davis go to the Lakers. Additionally, New Orleans landed the high-flying Zion Williamson out of Duke with the first overall pick. On the bench, there are some pieces with Jahlil Okafor, JJ Redick and E’Twaun Moore as well as Nickeil Alexander-Walker from Virginia Tech. This is a fun, up-and-coming team but not one to challenge for the division title.

Memphis Grizzlies +15000

It’s going to be an uphill battle for Memphis this year, but the Grizzlies should have some excitement with second overall pick Ja Morant at point guard. They are an athletic team that won’t be a complete walkover, although finding wins may be tough to do. Also, there are a few depth players to help when the starters are resting, notably Tyus Jones, Jae Crowder and Andre Iguodala. I look forward to seeing Morant connecting with Jonas Valanciunas under the rim, but that’s about it from this Memphis squad.

2019-20 NBA Southwest Division Odds
Houston Rockets-280
San Antonio Spurs+400
Dallas Mavericks+1100
New Orleans Pelicans+1200
Memphis Grizzlies+15000

Odds as of October 16 at Bovada

Understanding NBA Southwest Division Odds

When you visit any basketball betting site, you’ll see futures odds displayed like this:

Houston Rockets -200

Dallas Mavericks +800

At -200, oddsmakers predict that the Rockets have the greatest chance of taking the division. If you’re on board with those odds and wager $100, you’d get a payout of $150 – your $100 comes back, coupled with your winnings of $50. Or, you like to take risks and think the Mavs are going to put on a clinic and storm the Southwest, that same $100 would give you $900 – your original money is returned along with your prize of $800.

Our Odds Calculator will show you what you’d win based on the offered odds and amount you bet.

What is an NBA Futures Bet on Divisional Odds?

Any bet that is placed weeks or months in advance is a futures bet. Here, the action is on a team’s shot of taking the Southwest. You can argue that all bets are done prior to a specific event; however, futures odds are released before the regular season even starts.

Because the action is released early, the lines are subject to change. As games are played, players get injured and squads make trades, oddsmaker’s will shift the odds to reflect that. If you see lines you like, take them early. Getting a team at plus money (+) will get you more value on a winning bet than if you were to get them at minus money (-).