West Region Trends, Computer Predictions

The top-seeded Wisconsin Badgers are 7-1-1 ATS at the sportsbooks in their last nine NCAA Tournament games but 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as double-digit favorites on the betting lines as they prepare to face No. 16 Coastal Carolina in the Round of 64. Here's a look at the complete March Madness betting trends for the West Region of the 2015 tournament bracket.

Also be sure to check out the OddsShark Computer Picks for each game of the NCAA Tournament.

2015 NCAA Tournament West Region Betting Trends

West - Coastal Carolina (16) vs Wisconsin (1)
Coastal Carolina 7-1 SU roll to end the season
Wisconsin 24-2 SU final 26 games of the season
Wisconsin just 2-8-1 ATS past 11 games as double-digit favorites
Wisconsin 7-1-1 ATS past nine tournament games

West - Texas Southern (15) vs Arizona (2)
Arizona ended season on 11-0 SU, 9-2 ATS run
Texas Southern won 11 straight to end the season
Arizona 13-3 ATS past 16 games as a favorite
Arizona covered four in a row this season when favored by 20 or more points

West - Georgia State (14) vs Baylor (3)
Georgia State ended year on 13-2 SU run
Georgia State 0-5 SU and ATS past five games as underdog
3 seeds 19-11 ATS vs 14 seeds since 2007
Baylor 2-0 SU vs 14 seeds, both games went UNDER

West - Harvard (13) vs North Carolina (4)
UNC finished year on 7-3 ATS run
Harvard 1-5 ATS final six games of the season
Harvard just 3-10 SU past 13 games as underdog
UNC 8-2-1 ATS past 11 games as double-digit favorite this season
UNC 1-5 ATS past six Madness games
UNC has not lost as Round of 64 favorite since 1999 (Weber State)

West - Wofford (12) vs Arkansas (5)
Wofford closed year on 15-1 SU run
Arkansas 1-6 SU and ATS in tournament since 1999
Arkansas 10-3 SU final 13 games of season
Arkansas upset past two times favorites in Round of 64 (06 vs Bucknell, 01 vs Hoyas)
12 seeds are 10-5-1 ATS vs 5 seeds past four seasons

West - Mississippi (11) vs Xavier (6)
Xavier 18-3-1 ATS, best mark in Madness since 2004
Ole Miss 10-2 ATS past 12 games as underdogs, including winning four of five SU
UNDER is 8-2 past 10 Xavier games
Xavier 7-1-2 ATS past 10 Round of 64 games
Xavier has been a 6 seed three times since 1998 and lost twice to 11 seeds (2011 Marquette, 1998 Washington)

West - Ohio State (10) vs VCU (7)
VCU 12-3 ATS past 15 tournament games
VCU covered final three games of season, following six-game ATS losing skid in March
Ohio State is 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS past seven games as favorites
Ohio State is 1-5 ATS past six Madness games
Ohio State was upset as favorite in Round of 64 last year (Dayton)
VCU 6-1 ATS past seven Round of 64 games
7 seeds are 5-2-1 ATS past two seasons vs 10 seeds
Only the fifth time since 2008 that a 10 has been favored over a 7

West - Oklahoma State (9) vs Oregon (8)
Cowboys 1-6 SU and ATS past seven games of season
Cowboys 1-5 SU and ATS as favorites
Cowboys have lost four straight tournament games (1-3 ATS)
Oregon 7-1 ATS last eight games of season
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 games when Ducks are underdogs

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Arizona earned the top seed in the 2014 West Region despite a Pac-12 tournament loss and they boast several profitable trends heading into the Madness. They are 6-0 ATS in six recent tourney games and 4-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite. They face Big Sky champion Weber State, who has trended OVER the total in four recent tournament matches

At 14 and 13, there are two teams that are winless in the Madness for the past two decades. Louisiana Lafayette (0-3 SU) faces Creighton, while New Mexico State (0-5 SU) faces San Diego State.

Nebraska, playing for the first time in tourney since 1998, hit the bracket as one of the hottest betting teams (14-3 ATS). They face a talented Baylor team, which is also riding a solid ATS sreak. BYU ended the year on a 10-2 SU run, but the Cougars are just 1-7-1 ATS in first-round games since 2001. They face an Oregon team riding a 8-2-1 ATS streak in its past 11 games.

2014 West Region Betting Trends

1 vs 16
Arizona vs Weber State
Arizona 4-0 ATS past four games as double-digit favorites
Arizona 6-0 ATS past six tournament games
OVER is 5-1 past six Zona first-round games
Weber State OVER is 3-1 in four tournament games since 2003
Weber State won Big Sky title

2 vs 15
Wisconsin vs American
Wisconsin 4-10 ATS past 14 games as favorites
Wisconsin 5-2 ATS past seven first-round games
American won the Patriot League title
American ended year on 5-1 SU run

3 vs 14
Creighton vs Louisiana-Lafayette
Creighton 3-9 SU in the tournament since 1999
Creighton 10-3 ATS as double-digit chalk since December
Ragin Cajuns 0-3 SU in tournament games since 1995, all UNDERs
Ragin Cajuns ended year on 11-2 SU run

4 vs 13
San Diego State vs New Mexico State
UNDER is 13-5 past 18 SD State games
SD State 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past eight games as favorites
New Mexico State ended season on 9-1 SU run
NM State 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS in tourney since 1999
NM State played four straight tournament UNDERs

5 vs 12
Oklahoma vs North Dakota State
Oklahoma 6-1 ATS past seven games overall
North Dakota State 21-3 SU past 24 games
North Dakota State UNDER is 9-2 past 11 games

6 vs 11
Baylor vs Nebraska
Baylor 8-3-1 ATS past 12 games
Nebraska is 14-3 ATS past 17 games
UNDER is 12-4 past 16 Husker games
First time in tourney for Huskers since 1998

7 vs 10
Oregon vs BYU
Oregon 8-2-1 ATS past 11 games
OVER is 5-1 past six Duck tournament games
BYU ended year on 10-2 SU run
BYU 1-7-1 ATS in first-round games since 2001

8 vs 9
Gonzaga vs Oklahoma State
Gonzaga ended year on 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS
Gonzaga 4-9 ATS in tournament since 2007
Oklahoma State won and covered five straight as favorites
UNDER is 7-1 past eight OSU first-round games


The West Region boasts a couple of teams that could win it all and some interesting trends that second-seeded Ohio State could be the best bet. The top seed is Gonzaga, Sportsbooks of 14 straight games. But their trend in tournament games has been OVER the total (8-2 past 10 bracket matches). They face a scrappy Southern team.

New Mexico has been excellent and earned the 3 seed with its Mountain West crown. But the Lobos have struggled ATS at tournament time. Does that make Ohio State, conference champ of the nation’s toughest group in the Big Ten, the favorite? They have been hot lately and they have shown toughness at bracket time, going 13-5 SU in the tournament since 2007.

2013 West Region Betting Trends

Computer Prediction: 84-76 Gonzaga
Gonzaga has won 14 straight SU
UNDER is 14-1-1 past 16 Zags games
Southern 19-3 SU past 22 games
Gonzaga OVER is 8-2 past 10 tournament games

Computer Prediction: 78-73 Panthers
Pittsburgh 6-2 SU & ATS past 8 games away from home
Wichita State OVER 9-3 past 12 games as underdog
Wichita State 12-4 ATS past 16 games overall
Pitt 2-7 ATS past 9 tournament games

Computer Prediction: 77-76 Mississippi
Wisconsin is OVER 6-1 past 7 games as favorite
Mississippi is 9-2 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Wisconsin 5-1 ATS past 6 first-round games
Wisconsin 5-1 ATS past 2 tournaments
Ole Miss first tournament trip since 2002

Computer Prediction: 77-76 Boise State
Boise State 9-2 ATS past 11 games
Boise State 5-0 ATS past 5 as favorite
LaSalle 1-6-1 ATS past 8 games as underdog
Sportsbook faces:
Kansas State never lost as a favorite all season (20-0 SU)

Computer Prediction: 83-79 Belmont
Arizona 2-8 ATS past 10 games away from home
Belmont 17-2 SU last 19 games
Belmont 1-10 SU as underdog since 2009
Arizona 11-4 ATS past 15 tournament games

Computer Prediction: 72-70 New Mexico
New Mexico 7-2 ATS past 9 games overall
New Mexico 9-3-2 ATS past 14 games as favorite
Harvard 6-1 ATS past 7 games as underdog
New Mexico 1-5 ATS past 6 tournament games
New Mexico UNDER is 7-1 past 8 tournament games

Computer Prediction: 80-78 Iowa State
Notre Dame won 7 in a row SU as favorite
Iowa State OVER is 14-1 past 15 games
Iowa State played 11 straight OVERs as underdog
Iowa State is 1-10 SU, 3-8 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Notre Dame 1-7 ATS past 8 tournament games
Notre Dame UNDER is 8-1-1 past 10 tournament games

Computer Prediction: 82-76 Ohio State
Ohio State won 8 in a row (7-1 ATS)
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 Buckeye games
Ohio State is 6-1 ATS past 7 as favorite
Iona won 5 straight to end the season
Iona OVER is 7-1 past 8 as double-digit underdog
Ohio State 13-5 SU in tournament since 2007

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