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NCAA College Basketball: Weekly Best Bets

NCAA College Basketball: Weekly Best Bets

NCAA college basketball is back and as we get closer to conference play, here are the sides and totals I find most profitable on this jam-packed Saturday slate.

After examining dozens of lines, I have narrowed them down to my best bets for Saturday, January 15.

Ohio State @ Illinois: Illinois -5

Simply a bounce back game for the Fighting Illini after an embarrassing loss at home against Maryland as a double digit favorite. With a banged up CJ Walker for the Buckeyes, I really think they are going to struggle to find an offensive rhythm on the road in an early noon start. Illinois is the much better all around team especially on the offensive side of the ball ranking Top 20 in points per game, field goal percentage, three point percentage, and offensive rebounding. Ohio State fails to rank inside the Top 40 in any of those categories. Look for Illinois to easily win 11 of their last 12 at home Saturday afternoon. 


Syracuse @ Pittsburgh : Syracuse -3

This line is a direct result of their matchup just 10 days prior. Pittsburgh won outright as a double digit underdog and this line has adjusted way more than needed. Syracuse other than this past head to head battle has absolutely dominated this matchup. The Orange have won eight out of their last 10 against the Panthers by a winning margin of 8.7 points per game.

Less than a year ago, Syracuse beat Pitt on the road by 23 points in what was an absolute rout start to finish. Additionally we are getting a great price with Syracuse just covering one out of their last five games. Take the discount and lock in Syracuse in a game they should win by double digits. 


Boston College @ Note Dame: Notre Dame -4

Amongst the bottom of the barrel in the NCAA, the Fighting Irish have simply struggled to cover this season. Heading into game 11 just covering twice this season, the public is getting a great opportunity to bet a Notre Dame team that is way better than their record shows. They have had maybe the toughest strength of schedule in the country but have had battles with some of the best.

Losing to Virginia Tech by 4, Ohio State by 5, and North Carolina by 1, this Notre Dame team is well groomed to beat this Boston College lineup. Boston College is in a prime let down spot after absolutely crushing Miami in their last contest as an underdog. Look for Notre Dame to win 10 out of their past 11 against Boston College is convincing fashion. The Irish -4 is my NCAAB best bet of the Saturday slate.


UVA @ Clemson: UNDER 117

As mentioned in my CBB preview for this game, this line looks very low but is extremely justified. Virginia ranks 17th nationally in defensive points per game. Clemson on the other hand is even more impressive, coming in at the number nine spot in points allowed.  

Less than a year ago these two teams combined for 95 points in a game Vegas set the total at 107.  Look for a potential repeat of last years matchup where UVA edged Notre Dame by a score of 51-44. Maybe not to that extreme, but I don’t see either team getting to the 60 point mark Saturday night. 


UCF @ Houston: UCF +9 

This contest features two mediocre teams in the Ohio Valley Conference. I know, very random, but there is an edge. Jacksonville State averages just shy of 75 points per game and they are in the midst of a great offensive stretch, averaging 81 points per game over their last four.

Senior Guard and grad transfer, Darian Adam’s has been a beautiful addition this season averaging just shy of 19% of their teams' points. Jacksonville State should dictate the tempo and control the offensive rhythm. I am a big fan of this OVER seeing that these teams have combined to cash the UNDER in 17 out of their last 21 games.

Specifically, Morehead State hasn’t seen an OVER cash in eight straight games. The total for this contest less than a year ago today was 135. An eight-point edge is too good to pass up. It won’t be pretty, but the OVER should hit rather easily.