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Heisman Trophy Odds: Lawrence Plummets, Trask Rises To The Top

The revolving door atop the 2020 Heisman Trophy odds continues as Florida QB Kyle Trask is now the betting favorite while preseason favorite Trevor Lawrence, who was also last week’s favorite, has fallen to fourth.

With just three weeks remaining in the regular season, it’s an open field at the top of the Heisman odds in a race that could come down to the final games of the year.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released its weekly Heisman Trophy odds, with Kyle Trask listed as the favorite at -145 followed closely by Justin Fields at +275, Mac Jones at +300, Trevor Lawrence at +1200, and Zach Wilson at +2000 to round out the top five on the oddsboard.

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Who are the Heisman Odds Favorites?

PlayerOdds
Kyle Trask (Florida)-145
Justin Fields (Ohio State)+275
Mac Jones (Alabama)+300
Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)+1200
Zach Wilson (BYU)+2000
Najee Harris (Alabama)+5000
DeVonta Smith (Alabama)+5500
D’Eriq King (Miami)+10000
Ian Book (Notre Dame)+10000
Spencer Rattler (Oklahoma)+15000

Odds as of November 24 at Bovada

New to betting on college football? Be sure to take a look at our CFB betting guide to help you get in the action. Also, keep an eye on our college football odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

Does The Shortened Season Matter For Fields?

Ohio State signal-caller Justin Fields had a strong 2019 campaign that saw him complete 67.2 percent of his 354 pass attempts with a remarkable 41:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio – two of those picks came in a narrow 29-23 loss to Clemson in the CFP semifinal.

It doesn’t appear, from an odds perspective at least, that a shortened Big Ten campaign will hinder Fields’ chances of winning the coveted trophy. Through four games, the junior QB has been outstanding, completing 79.6 percent of his passes for 1,208 yards, 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. He fell to No. 3 on the oddsboard after the OSU vs Maryland game was postponed but the Buckeyes topped Indiana last week, putting Fields back on track.

The Buckeyes knocked off then-No. 18 Penn State in their second game and had No. 10 Indiana last week as the only ranked opponents on their slate. If Ohio State runs the table, and it certainly looks like it will, there’s no reason to think that Fields won’t be one of the finalists on January 5 at the Heisman Trophy ceremony.

Mac Jones Remains In The Hunt

After climbing to the top spot on the oddsboard three weeks ago, Mac Jones is now third after returning last week with a 63-3 beatdown of Kentucky in which the QB threw for 230 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.

Heading into the season, Jones’ Heisman Trophy odds were +2500 and they are now +300. Of course, an Alabama QB is going to get some love in the Heisman Trophy odds because the team has a good chance to go undefeated year in and year out and more recently the Tide have transitioned from being only a defensive powerhouse to racking up the points as well.

He would be the first Alabama QB to win the coveted trophy and his stats are proving him worthy. Jones has completed 77.1 percent of his 201 pass attempts for 2,426 yards with 18 touchdowns and two interceptions. He also shredded Georgia, possibly the best defense in college football, for 417 yards with four touchdowns and a pick. Although Jones is impressive, I don’t really think he’s the one to win the award this year.

Did Coronavirus End Lawrence’s Heisman Hopes?

Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence has just one loss on his college record, leading the squad to a national championship in his true freshman season and falling in the national title game in 2020.

I had said the only thing that might hurt Lawrence’s chances to win the Heisman Trophy was playing in the ACC, which isn’t exactly a powerhouse conference. Well, I didn’t consider the coronavirus – Lawrence tested positive for COVID-19 ahead of Clemson’s Week 9 matchup vs Boston College. 

The QB missed that game and Clemson’s 47-40 double-overtime loss to Notre Dame. The last Heisman winner to miss a game was Charlie Ward in 1993 and the last to miss multiple games was Charles White in 1979.

Prior to his illness, Lawrence showed why he is the projected No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. The junior quarterback completed 70.7 percent of his 191 pass attempts with an average of 9.6 yards per completion while tossing 17 touchdown passes to just two interceptions in six decisive victories. 

Lawrence was expected to suit up for the Tigers at Florida State last week but that game was canceled due to a coronavirus breakout. With just two games remaining on the schedule and Lawrence not playing in over a month, his chances of winning the Heisman Trophy may have gone down the drain.

Is Kyle Trask The One To Watch?

I wrote about Kyle Trask to open the season, but I wondered if a couple of potential losses to Georgia and LSU might hinder his chances. Well, the Gators got past Georgia as Trask threw for 474 yards and four touchdowns. He has steadily been climbing the oddsboard and finally finds himself at the top as the favorite. 

Trask leads the nation with 31 passing touchdowns (five more than second-place Zach Wilson), has just three interceptions and has the fifth-most passing yards with 2,554. He has thrown for at least four touchdowns in all but one game this season, including six against both Ole Miss and Arkansas.

This is an incredible year for the Heisman Trophy race between Lawrence, Trask, Fields and Jones, and I could really see any of the four winning the trophy. Players have missed games due to the coronavirus and shortened schedules and it’s anyone’s guess down the stretch between these candidates. My guess right now is Trask because he’s been the most explosive and entertaining, but it really is a coin flip.

Heisman Trophy Historical Odds

By now, everyone is aware that LSU Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow won the Heisman Trophy in 2019 and was selected first overall by the Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL draft. But did you know his odds to win the award prior to the start of the season were +4000?

That’s the best part of betting on this prop. Players can be huge underdogs before the season starts and emerge from nowhere to take the spotlight. At some sportsbooks, Burrow wasn’t even listed as a Heisman candidate until after LSU’s second game.

Here at Odds Shark, we have compiled the opening and closing odds for every Heisman winner dating back to 2009, when Alabama’s Mark Ingram took home the hardware. These odds are courtesy of sportsoddshistory.com.

Here are the opening/closing betting odds along with the preseason favorite for the Heisman Trophy since 2009:

Heisman Trophy Odds History
YearWinnerPreseason OddsClosing OddsPreseason Favorite (Odds)
2019Joe Burrow+4000-12500Tua Tagovailoa (+250)
2018Kyler Murray+3000+700Tua Tagovailoa (+400)
2017Baker Mayfield+700-1800Sam Darnold (+500)
2016Lamar Jackson+10000-1350Deshaun Watson (+450)
2015Derrick Henry+2500-465Trevone Boykin (+650)
2014Marcus Mariota+425-1500Marcus Mariota (+425)
2013Jameis Winston+600-15000Teddy Bridgewater (+450)
2012Johnny ManzielN/A-1000Matt Barkley (+300)
2011Robert Griffin III+2800-1000Andrew Luck (+325)
2010Cam NewtonN/A-450Mark Ingram (+450)
2009Mark IngramN/A-250Tim Tebow (+225)

Making a Futures Bet

A futures bet is a wager made on events or milestones that will happen in time. The Heisman bet is a form of futures betting because you are making a pick based on an outcome determined at the end of NCAA football season. The trophy is given out in mid-December and if you want to get a bigger payout, it’s best to lock in your bets sooner rather than later so you can take advantage of better odds. The closer it gets to Heisman voting, the more the odds will change.

How to Read Heisman Trophy Odds

The above chart features the odds for each top player in college football. At your sportsbook of choice, the betting lines would look something like this:

Trevor Lawrence +275

Justin Fields +400

Bo Nix +2600

This means that Lawrence is the favorite since he has the lowest odds and the highest chance of winning the prop, according to oddsmakers. If you were to bet $100 on Lawrence and he won, you would get a payout of $375 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $275.

On the other hand, if you strongly believe that Bo Nix is going to outdo himself at Auburn and give the performance of a lifetime, a winning $100 bet on him would yield $2,700 – your $100 comes back along with your prize of $2,600.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

Handicapping Your Heisman Bet

We have the goods to ensure that you can make smart picks. Check out our college football pages to give you the edge over other bettors:

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