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Odds to Win MLS Cup: Los Angeles FC Favored to Win Title

Predicting who will win the MLS Cup has always proven highly difficult for sports bettors since its inaugural year in 1996. It hasn’t gotten any easier, with the most recent seven seasons featuring six different winners.

In the 2019-20 season, it was the Seattle Sounders’ turn to bring home the MLS Cup as they beat highly fancied Toronto FC 3-1. In fact, the Sounders are the only side over the last seven seasons to have won the championship twice.

Who will win it during this extended season? Let’s take a look at the current odds. To learn more about wagering on MLS, check out our How to Bet on MLS article.

Odds to win the 2020-21 MLS Cup
Los Angeles FC+400
Seattle Sounders+800
Toronto FC+800
Atlanta United+1000
Philadelphia Union+1200
New York City FC+1200
Columbus Crew+1600
L.A. Galaxy+1600
Sporting Kansas City+1600
Montreal Impact+2500
New England Revolution+2500
Portland Timbers+2500
Minnesota United+2800
New York Red Bulls+2800
Orlando City+2800
FC Dallas+4000
Real Salt Lake+4000
San Jose Earthquakes+5000
Colorado Rapids+6600
Houston Dynamo+6600
Chicago Fire+10000
DC United+10000
Inter Miami+15000
FC Cincinnati+25000
Nashville SC+25000
Vancouver Whitecaps+25000

Odds as of September 8 at Bovada

The Favorites

Los Angeles FC is the clear favorite at +400, but should they be? The favorite has historically often walked into some problems along the way and Los Angeles shows signs that they could repeat the pattern.

Despite having both Carlos Vela and Bradley Wright-Phillips to rely on, it is talented Uruguayan left winger Diego Rossi they often lean on, and he has helped fire them to fourth place in the Western Conference so far. The reason Los Angeles FC is so fancied is that they have two games in hand on the surprise leaders, Sporting Kansas City. That and they smashed L.A. Galaxy 5-2 in the Los Angeles “El Trafico” derby.

Despite that, we’d say that both of last season’s MLS Cup finalists, Seattle and Toronto FC, are better placed in terms of experience to win at double the odds (+800). The Sounders are currently second in the Western Conference, with two games in hand on the leaders. They’ve also got by far the best defensive record in the division for a side in a playoff position, having only let in seven goals so far during the regular season.

Toronto FC are probably still kicking themselves for throwing it away last season, losing the MLS Cup final 3-1 to the Sounders after a controversial opening game skewered their hopes. We think Toronto, fueled by a sense of injustice, could be the best bet at +800 with 20-year-old Ayo Akinola sure to be dangerous, having already proven his credentials by scoring twice against D.C. United back in July when Toronto FC resumed regular-season action.

Other Tipped Teams

Three other sides come in at pretty short odds, but of the trio, we like only one of them. While Atlanta United (+1000) and New York City FC (+1200) are both languishing on the fringes of the playoff places in the Eastern Conference, we think the Philadelphia Union at odds of +1000 could be the best bet of this talented trio of teams.

The Union, as they are known, have some highly sought-after players in their ranks, among them Brenden Aaronson and Mark McKenzie. Of the two, it’s the 19-year-old Aaronson who has made the most headlines and piqued the interest of European clubs. Given it could be the last season for a couple of Philadelphia’s players, perhaps the perfect send-off would be for the Union to win their first-ever MLS Cup.

The Outside Chances

We could easily make a case for the outside chances of MLS dark horses Minnesota United and Orlando City, both of whom have made good starts to the season and are available at +2800 via Bovada. Both sides, however, are gazing up at the Columbus Crew in the overall table, with the 2008 MLS Cup winners available at +1600 even though Caleb Porter’s side has won six of their nine games so far and lost only one.

Porter has a history that includes winning the MLS Cup, too, having done so with the Portland Timbers in 2015. We think that gives the Crew an edge over the competition in the latter stages of the playoffs, and with the team highly likely to make the postseason, it could be a very interesting December for Columbus and sports bettors if they invest correctly.

With a packed schedule until the end of the regular season, fitness and form are sure to be vital as the MLS sides compete for the greatest prize of all. We’d choose Toronto FC at +800, the Philadelphia Union at +1000 and the Columbus Crew at +1600 in a bid to get the best value out of the return of the MLS Cup.