MLS Cup Odds - Columbus Crew

MLS Cup Odds: The Right Time To Bet On Columbus Crew

MLS Cup Odds still heavily favor Inter Miami at +175. LAFC is second on the MLS Championship odds board at a distant +500.

Miami's 36% implied chance of winning is significantly better than the field with LAFC holding a 17% implied chance of winning the MLS Cup. But maybe it's the right time to back defending champions Columbus who's odds recently fell from +800 to +1100. Here are the top 10 odds for the 2024 MLS Cup.

2024 MLS Cup Odds

Odds to Win 2024 MLS Cup Odds
TeamOdds
Inter Miami+175
LAFC+500
LA Galaxy+900
Columbus Crew+1100
FC Cincinnati+1100
Real Salt Lake+1200
NY Red Bulls+2000
Vancouver Whitecaps+2200
NYCFC+2500
Houston Dynamo+3500

Odds as of July 23

MLS Cup Odds: It's Miami's Title To Lose

Following an embarrassing 6-1 loss to FC Cincinnati, Inter rebounded with a 3-1 win over TFC and a 2-1 dub over the Chicago Fire. The two wins off the bounce have reinstalled sportsbooks' confidence in the Herons with their odds shortening to +175 from +185 a week ago.

Inter Miami MLS Cup Odds Movement
February 1April 1June 1Latest Odds
+267+321+195+175

 

The upcoming All-Star break is massive for Miami. With only two Leagues Cup games between the time of writing and August 23rd, the break allows their old superstar core of players like Busquets, Alba, Suarez and Messi to rest. And for Lionel Messi to heal that nasty ankle injury from the Copa America Final.

Remember that before joining Argentina at the Copa, Messi had scored 11 goals and had 11 assists in 11.5 games. He also made 40 passes into the penalty area in those 11.5 games (3.5 per match). He was one of the most dangerous players in the league and is a large reason for Inter Miami's league-leading 53 points.

 

MLS Cup Odds Value Bets

While Miami is the rightful favorite, let's look at some value further down the oddsboard.

LAFC

Over the last two months, the Falcon's odds have shortened dramatically. And for good reason. Since mid-May, LAFC has been on a tear with a 10-1-2. The only blemish was a 5-1 thrashing at the hands of the Columbus Crew.

LAFC MLS Cup Odds Movement
May 15June 3June 17Latest Odds
+1038+625+625+500

Last year's MLS Golden Boot winner Denis Bouanga has been key to this push with 10 goals and six assists in that 13-game run. 

Don't forget LAFC's insane +19.2 expected goal differential (xGD). The next best xGD (NY Red Bulls) is +12.1. That's close to half of LAFC's. LA is playing a different type of football than the rest of the league.

Columbus Crew

Columbus only won three games from their opening eleven. It was a rough start to their championship defense. But since mid-May, the Crew has gone 10-2-1 with losses to Inter Miami and Atlanta United.

That recent loss has pushed the Crew's odds back from +800 a week ago to +1100.

I get that a loss to Atlanta who'd gone 0-4-1 previously isn't a good look. But Atlanta scored both goals off corners just a few minutes apart. The Crew had only allowed three goals from set pieces in their 22 previous games. Columbus still won the xG battle (1.8 to 1.6). This loss shouldn't have sent their odds spiraling down as much as it did. 

This might be the right time to back the defending MLS Cup champions.

Last 10 MLS Cup Champions

Last 10 MLS Cup Champions
YearChampions
2014LA Galaxy
2015Portland Timbers
2016Seattle Sounders
2017Toronto FC
2018Atlanta United FC
2019Seattle Sounders
2020Columbus Crew
2021New York City FC
2022LAFC
2023Columbus Crew

For the fan of competitiveness, the MLS has been a dream with no back-to-back winners over the last 10 years. Sure, the Seattle Sounders have won it twice in the previous decade, but those championships were separated by three years. This is a league where any team can win in any year.

Who Has The Most MLS Cups

Who Has The Most MLS Cups
TeamChampionships (Last Title)
LA Galaxy5 (2014)
DC United4 (2004)
Columbus Crew3 (2023)
Seattle Sounders2 (2019)
Sporting Kansas City2 (2013)

 

The Galaxy have been the class of the league for a long time with nine MLS Cup final appearances and five wins. But it's been 10 years since their last title. A time when Landon Donovan was still at his peak and Robbie Keane was still spry enough to score 19 goals. 

Teams That Have Never Won The MLS Cup

This list is quite long with 14 teams that have never won the MLS Cup. But as you'll see some of these clubs are still quite young! They've got to learn to walk before they learn to win. Unless you're Inter Miami and you're owned by David Beckham who can bring in players like Lionel Messi. 

Teams That Have Never Won The MLS Cup
TeamFirst MLS Season
Austin FC2020
CF Montreal2011
Charlotte FC2021
FC Cincinnati2018
FC Dallas1993*
Inter Miami2019
Minnesota United2016
Nashville SC2019
New England Revolution1993*
New York Red Bulls1993*
Orlando City2014
Philadelphia Union2009
St Louis City SC2022
Vancouver Whitecaps2010

*One of the original 10 teams

Back to Top