FIFA World Cup Group E feels like a group that can be split right down the middle with a cavernous moat in between two pairs. You’ve got two previous and recent World Cup winners in Spain (2010) and Germany (2014), and then on the other side are Japan and Costa Rica.
Neither Japan nor Costa Rica is a bad team. Both have exited the group stage lately and Costa Rica even went to the quarterfinals in Brazil in 2014. So maybe we shouldn’t be so quick to dismiss either side’s ability to qualify out of this group?
According to BetOnline Sportsbook, the best World Cup Group E odds to win the group belong to Spain at -115 while Germany holds the next-best odds at +110. Japan is listed at +1400 and Costa Rica at +3500.
We are here to break down everything World Cup-related to get you ready for the tournament, and that includes breaking down the odds for every group and every game. You can also check out who we think you should bet on to win the World Cup and the Golden Boot.
World Cup Group E Odds: To Win Outright
Odds as of July 22 at BetOnline Sportsbook
World Cup Group E Odds: Odds To Advance From Group Stage
Odds as of July 22 at BetOnline Sportsbook
Group E Odds: Spain (-115)
Spain was the class of its qualifying group with a 6-1-1 record. Their only loss came at the hands of the Swedes, who finished second in UEFA qualifying Group B.
Through their eight qualifying games, Spain scored 15 goals while allowing five for a decent +10 goal differential. More impressive, though, is their European-best 76.88 percent possession rate and 91.5 percent passing accuracy through those eight qualifying games.
Those possession and passing accuracy numbers continued from the qualifier and into Spain’s UEFA League of Nations play, where the Spaniards hold, again, the best possession rate (68.3%) and the best passing accuracy (89.8%) on the continent.
But Spain has struggled to find that sharpness they need in the final third. Their 15 goals through qualifying aren’t impressing anyone. It ranks them 20th in Europe, tied with Switzerland and Norway. That lack of goal scoring is going to be a problem for them in Qatar.
Group E Odds: Germany (+110)
The Germans have gone through a period of rebuilding since that 2014 victory in Brazil. You’ll remember that they failed to qualify for the Group of 16 in Russia in 2018.
Their 2022 qualification campaign was excellent outside of a shocking 2-1 loss to North Macedonia. After that setback, the Germans didn’t look back, going 7-0 while scoring 31 goals and allowing only two.
Through the 2022 World Cup qualifiers, Germany’s 75.8 percent possession rate is second only to Spain and their 34 goals scored are bested only by England’s 38.
This German squad is ready to prove that a group exit in 2018 was a fluke. There’s no doubt they’ll advance out of this group.
I’d back them to even win the group. Spain has its issues breaking down teams that park the bus – see head coach Luis Enrique’s comments after a 1-1 draw to Greece during qualification. Germany doesn’t have that issue with players like Timo Werner, Leroy Sané, Kai Havertz and Serge Gnabry ready to unlock even the most structured defensive line.
Havertz holds the best World Cup Golden Boot odds for a German player at +3300.
Germany at +110 to win the group is a solid bet. A $100 wager would result in a $110 profit.
Find the best Germany World Cup Group E Odds at BetOnline Sportsbook:
Group E Odds: Japan (+1400)
It’s a long shot for the Blue Samurai to win this group. The last time they won their group was in 2002 when they were paired with Russia, Belgium and Tunisia. So the focus for bettors when it comes to Japan in 2022 shouldn’t be on winning the group but on being able to qualify for the Group of 16. Can they be one of the two teams to exit this group?
They did in 2018, but that was a fairly weaker grouping with Colombia, Senegal and Poland. This group won’t be so easy with the two aforementioned front-runners, Spain and Germany. Conventional thought says a team needs at least four points to exit a group. Based on the quality of this group, though, Japan might need at least five points.
Can they go 1-2-0? That’s a draw against the top two (Spain and Germany) and a win over Costa Rica. It’s a tall task and that still might not get them out of the group. They’d have to hope for a better goal differential or that there’s a clear winner between Germany and Spain.
Group E Odds: Costa Rica (+3500)
There’s no chance they win the group, right? Certainly not with the type of quality that’s in Group E, right? Well, remember 2014’s Group D of England, Italy, Uruguay and Costa Rica? A real “Group of Death.” At least one powerhouse would be eliminated in the group stage alongside Costa Rica, right?
Wrong. Both the English and the Italians failed to exit the group stage. Costa Rica actually won the group with wins over Uruguay and Italy and a 0-0 draw with England.
Costa Rica will seemingly have to tap into that type of miraculous display to win the group this time around. Even getting out as one of the top two squads could be tough for them mainly because they don’t score much. Their 13 goals through qualifying were ninth in the weak CONCACAF region.
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