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FIFA World Cup Soccer Odds: France the Favorite to Repeat

France Leads Odds to Win the 2022 World Cup.

The next FIFA World Cup of soccer is going to be like no other and not just because it takes place between late November and Christmas 2022 in Qatar. The fact that the World Cup will take place at temperatures of around 80 degrees Fahrenheit is one thing, but little is known about Qatar by many footballers and the country itself has virtually no top-class football heritage.

With the Khalifa International Stadium – Qatar’s first World Cup stadium and the world’s largest air-conditioned open-air arena – completed several years ago, the race may be on to build the infrastructure to live up to the hype of a “Winter World Cup.” But the only race we’re concerned about is on the pitch and in the futures markets.

We’ve headed to sports betting site Bovada for the latest FIFA World Cup soccer odds and while many of the teams you might expect to be present are priced up as you’d anticipate, there is some great value on offer if you know your stuff.

Who are the FIFA World Cup Betting Favorites?

Here are some of the most promising teams and their current World Cup 2022 winner odds:

Odds to Win 2022 World Cup

Odds as of November 30 via Bovada

Swerving the Cup Holders

There are two years to go until World Cup 2022 kicks off, but already there are four countries who find themselves as big favorites to win the whole thing in FIFA odds.

The latest World Cup soccer odds have France (+500) as the current favorite, and the reigning world champions are followed in the odds by three teams who are so close they are almost joint second favorites. Brazil (+700), Spain (+750) and Germany (+800) all have plenty of backers in the World Cup betting odds, but which of the four favorites has the current edge for punters?

World Cup betting odds are notorious for overrating the side that won the previous World Cup, which flies in the face of both history and logic. No country has retained the famous trophy in modern history – it has happened only in 1938 (Italy) and 1962 (Brazil) when players lifted the Jules Rimet trophy. These days, it’s the Silvio Gazzaniga trophy, although it’s almost never referred to as such, FIFA going with the plain old “FIFA World Cup Trophy” since 1974.

Never retained, should we therefore ignore France? Well, in a word, yes. In 1998, France won the trophy for the first time in their home country. Four years later, however, they lost out at the group stage without scoring a goal, losing to Senegal and Denmark along the way. This time around, they won in Russia in 2018, before travelling to a hot country ... you’re seeing the pattern, we hope.

In World Cup betting odds terms, Les Bleus are completely untouchable at odds of +500 and should be avoided probably until halfway through a difficult group phase if their World Cup history is anything to go by. 

Who Will Win the World Cup?

Of the trio of competing sides, we’d go with Brazil at odds of +700, with a team full of Premier League superstars such as Ederson, Gabriel Jesus, Richarlison and Roberto Firmino. The heat will not put off the record World Cup holders, who currently have five World Cup wins, one more than Germany (including as West Germany).

Brazil hasn’t won the World Cup since 2002 and if they go more than 20 years without winning it, it could really be bad news for the country as a whole. The reverse would be true with victory, however, and for a country that is not the most stable it has ever been in some ways, winning the World Cup would be a hugely unifying achievement.

Both Germany (+800) and Spain (+750) will threaten the latter stages at their peak, but we foresee issues for Spain, with Sergio Ramos past his best two years out from the first game and nowhere near being replaced. The same can be said for Gerard Pique, who suffered an injury on the weekend that will put him out for a quarter of the time we have to wait for the World Cup.

Germany will always be a threat at World Cups due to its excellent tournament record, but they have only ever won one World Cup that wasn’t on European soil, and that was the 2014 World Cup in Brazil where all their players seemed to be at their absolute peak. It’s hard to see that lining up so well for them again, so we’d swerve them for now, but if they reach the semifinals, their strong record at closing tournaments out could well come into play.

Outside Chances

It would be very easy to look at countries such as Belgium (+1100) and Argentina (+1200) to win the World Cup if it was taking place tomorrow, but it’s not happening for two years. While Kevin De Bruyne and Lionel Messi are imperious right now, when the two men are 31 and 35 respectively, they might not have quite the same influence as they currently enjoy.

Many will be betting on England at odds of +2000, too, but we’d like to wait a while before tipping a side that has only ever reached the quarterfinals outside Europe – when the World Cup was in Mexico in 1970 and 1986. Netherlands (also +2000) are piquing our interest with a young side and the best central defender in the world, while Denmark could be building something special if their recent form is anything to go by.

We would humbly submit, however, that Turkey (+10000) might be the surprise package of the tournament with young Leicester players Cengiz Ünder and Çağlar Söyüncü looking like they’ll be at their absolute peak during the 2022 World Cup.

With a long way to go, getting good-value futures market bets in on the World Cup winner odds is crucial, and with Bovada’s current prices offering something for everyone, that’s exactly what we’ll do, updating you on the prices later in the International football season.