Former UFC women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm will make her first appearance in the Octagon in almost 20 months when she takes on Ketlen Vieira in the main event at UFC Fight Night 206.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Vieira is scheduled for Saturday, May 21, with prelims set to get underway at 7 p.m. ET. Despite her long layoff, Holm opened the week perched as a strong favorite on the UFC Vegas 55 odds.
You can check out UFC odds among other betting markets at Sportsbook:
Holly Holm vs Ketlen Vieira Betting Notes
Holm has been idle since extending her current win streak to two fights with a unanimous-decision victory over Irene Aldana at UFC Fight Island 4 back in October 2020, and will be aiming to make it three in a row for the first time since her first three UFC matchups.
Vieira is coming off a unanimous-decision win over Miesha Tate at UFC Vegas 43 last November but has not tallied consecutive victories in over four years.
Holm vs Vieira Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has published a full slate of UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Vieira odds. Holm currently leads the way as a lofty -260 favorite, while Vieira lags as a +200 underdog.
That means you must wager $260 on Holm to generate winnings of $100, while a successful $100 bet on Vieira will produce a payday of $200.
Holm’s short -260 odds translate to an implied win probability of 72.22 percent, while Vieira’s odds represent an implied win probability of just 33.33 percent, according to our sports betting calculator.
UFC sports betting fans considering taking a flier on the biggest underdog on the UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Vieira odds should look to the lone heavyweight matchup on Saturday’s main card, as Parker Porter (+400) tangles with Jailton Almeida.
A women’s strawweight fight has the tightest odds of the evening with Tabitha Ricci sporting -135 odds as she gets set to battle Polyana Viana, who is pegged at +105.
Holm vs Vieira Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Women’s Bantamweight – Holly Holm (-260) vs Ketlen Vieira (+200)
- Welterweight – Santiago Ponzinibbio (+110) vs Michel Pereira (-140)
- Middleweight – Chidi Njokuani (-250) vs Dusko Todorovic (+200)
- Women’s Strawweight – Polyana Viana (+105) vs Tabatha Ricci (-135)
- Middleweight – Eryk Anders (+165) vs Park Jun-Yong (-210)
- Prelims
- Middleweight – Joseph Holmes (-210) vs Alen Amedovski (+165)
- Heavyweight – Jailton Almeida (-600) vs Parker Porter (+400)
- Lightweight – Omar Morales (-140) vs Uros Medic (+110)
- Bantamweight – Jonathan Martinez (-235) vs Vince Morales (+185)
- Featherweight – Chase Hooper (+150) vs Felipe Colares (-180)
- Women’s Strawweight – Elise Reed (-165) vs Sam Hughes (+135)
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- Date/Time: May 21, 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Where to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Vieira Best Bets
We are coming off a 4-2 performance with last weekend’s UFC Fight Night best bets. Now is the time to build on that momentum with our best bets for UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Vieira, including picks for the main event.
Main Event Odds & Pick
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Holly Holm | -260 |
| Ketlen Vieira | +200 |
Holly Holm (-260) will be eyeing another title shot in the wake of back-to-back unanimous-decision wins that have cemented her position as the No. 2 contender in the UFC women’s bantamweight rankings.
Ketlen Vieira (+200) has alternated between losses and wins over her past four Octagon appearances, but maintains control of the No. 5 spot among UFC women’s bantamweight contenders.
- Holm has claimed victory in four of six outings since enduring a career-high three-fight losing streak.
- Considering that four of her five recent defeats have come in title fights, and the fifth loss came against the top pound-for-pound fighter in the UFC today (Valentina Shevchenko), “The Preacher’s Daughter” has firmly established herself as a middle-of-the-road fighter.
- That has been reflected in the odds she has sported in recent fights, with Holm winning four straight as betting chalk and falling to defeat in her past three when pegged as a betting underdog.
- A world champion in three weight classes during a decade-long run as a pro boxer before making the jump to MMA, Holm is an accomplished striker.
- That was evident in her win over Irene Aldana last time, landing a career-high 154 significant strikes during their five-round clash while also taking down Aldana five times.
- Going the distance is nothing new for Holm, who has seen eight of her 12 UFC clashes go the full length. However, she has earned the win just once in five UFC clashes that have gone a full five rounds.
- Holm’s last three fights were Irene Aldana (win – unanimous decision), Raquel Pennington (win – unanimous decision) and Amanda Nunes (loss – TKO head kick & punches).
- Vieira aims to regain lost consistency when she enters the Octagon on Saturday for her second straight main event appearance.
- “Fenomeno” needed a full five rounds to eke out a unanimous-decision win in a fairly even clash with Miesha Tate at UFC Fight Night 198, and has now seen six of eight UFC clashes get decided by the judges.
- Things didn’t go as well for her in her previous outing, a three-round unanimous-decision loss to Yana Kunitskaya at UFC Vegas 19 in which she failed to make weight.
- Vieira was badly outclassed by the hard-hitting Russian, who landed 47 significant strikes to Vieira’s seven, and maintained control for over five minutes during the fight despite getting taken down three times.
- This will mark the first time that Vieira is pegged as a clear betting underdog in six Octagon appearances. The 30-year-old Brazilian has sported average odds of -207, including her first-round KO loss to Aldana at UFC 245 when she sported -230 odds.
- In addition to holding black belts in judo and Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Vieira is also an accomplished wrestler and former Brazilian national wrestling champion.
- Vieira’s last three fights were Miesha Tate (win – unanimous decision), Yana Kunitskaya (loss – unanimous decision) and Sijara Eubanks (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Holly Holm (-260); OVER 4.5 rounds (-240)
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Michel Pereira Odds & Pick
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Santiago Ponzinibbio | +110 |
| Michel Pereira | -140 |
Michel Pereira (-140) aims to strengthen his case to join the UFC welterweight rankings with a fifth straight victory when he takes on Santiago Ponzinibbio (+110) in Saturday night’s co-main event.
Pereira is coming off a unanimous-decision win over Andre Fialho at UFC 270, while Ponzinibbio aims to atone for a split-decision loss to Geoff Neal at UFC 269 that marked his second defeat in three trips to the Octagon.
- Ponzinibbio has hit a wall since enjoying a seven-fight win streak that featured three finishes inside five minutes.
- In addition to his recent loss to Neal, The “Argentine Dagger” found himself on the wrong end of a first-round KO in his date with Li Jingliang at UFC Fight Island 7, and needed a comeback effort to eke out the decision in an entertaining slugfest with Miguel Baeza at UFC Vegas 28.
- In addition to sporting impressive punching power, Ponzinibbio also trained as a kickboxer from a young age. However, he has also forced opponents to tap out in six of his 28 career victories.
- Despite his recent uneven results, Ponzinibbio has maintained the No. 14 spot in UFC welterweight rankings.
- Ponzinibbio’s last three fights were Geoff Neal (loss – split decision), Miguel Baeza (win – unanimous decision) and Li Jingliang (loss – KO punch).
- Pereira has made steady progress since making his UFC debut three years ago with a spectacular first-round KO win over Danny Roberts at UFC Fight Night 152. However, the road has not always been smooth.
- “Demolidor” missed weight before suffering a sloppy unanimous-decision loss to Tristan Connelly as massive -450 chalk at UFC Fight Night 158. He then followed up by getting disqualified for delivering an illegal knee in a UFC Fight Night 167 date with Diego Sanchez in a fight he was on pace to win.
- It has been all clear sailing since, with the 28-year-old Brazilian demonstrating plenty of discipline in four straight wins. Pereira clearly outstruck opponents in all but one of his recent wins, with his narrow unanimous-decision win over Khaos Williams getting sealed on the strength of a pair of successful takedowns.
- Pereira’s last three fights were Andre Fialho (win – unanimous decision), Niko Price (win – unanimous decision) and Khaos Williams (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Michel Pereira (-140); OVER 2.5 rounds (-170)
Dusko Todorovic vs Chidi Njokuani Odds & Pick
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dusko Todorovic | +200 |
| Chidi Njokuani | -250 |
Middleweight Dusko Todorovic (+200) aims to win two in a row for the first time since making his UFC debut two years ago.
Undefeated in three straight outings, Chidi Njokuani (-250) impressed with a stunning first-round KO win over Marc-Andre Barriault in his UFC debut three months ago at UFC Fight Night 200.
- Todorovic has displayed flashes of his tremendous punching power in his two UFC wins to date, capped by a first-round finish of Maki Pitolo at UFC Vegas 44 that marked his fifth career win inside five minutes.
- However, “Thunder” has also struggled in a pair of defeats. He was knocked down twice on his way to a first-round TKO loss to Punahele Soriano at UFC Fight Island 7.
- He also struggled to defend against the takedown while dropping a unanimous decision to Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Vegas 28.
- Todorovic’s last three fights were Maki Pitolo (win – TKO), Gregory Rodrigues (loss – unanimous decision) and Punahele Soriano (loss – TKO punches).
- Newcomer Njokuani (-200) turned heads in his UFC debut with a sensation knockout win just 16 seconds into his clash with Marc-Andre Barriault.
- “Bang Bang” has now finished opponents in three straight contests. That includes a TKO win over Mario Filipe de Sousa in his 2021 Dana White’s Contender Series appearance, during which he outstruck Sousa by a 65-13 margin while also establishing control for 6:49.
- Njokuani’s run of successful finishes follows a run of 11 fights in which he went the distance seven times. However, two of his three most recent defeats have come inside five minutes.
- Njokuani’s last three fights were Marc-Andre Barriault (win – knockout), Mario Filipe de Sousa (win – TKO elbows at DWCS) and Cristhian Torres (win – TKO knee and punches at LFA 91).
