Geoff Neal is a -210 favorite, and Uros Medic enters as a +170 underdog at bet365 ahead of their welterweight co-main event at UFC Houston on February 21. The event takes place at the Toyota Center.
Neal looks to rebound from a recent knockout setback, while Medic rides back-to-back first-round finishes and aims to solidify himself as one of the division’s most dangerous early-round threats.
This fight serves as the co-main to Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez.
Terms and Conditions
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-522-4700, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD).
21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Bet must settle by and Token expires 3/15/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
21+ and present in OH.
Neal vs Medic Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Geoff Neal | -210 |
| Uros Medic | +170 |
Odds as of February 17 at bet365
Neal vs Medic Betting Trends
- Neal is 1-2 in his last three fights, including a first-round knockout loss to Carlos Prates at UFC 319 (his last fight)
- Medic has delivered back-to-back first-round knockouts, stopping Muslim Salikhov and Gilbert Urbina in exactly 63 seconds each. All nine of Medic’s UFC fights have ended inside the distance.
- Medic has gone UNDER 1.5 rounds in six of nine fights.
Neal vs Medic Prediction
This is a pure striker-versus-striker matchup where pace and composure will determine the outcome. Both men carry real power, but their approaches differ. Neal prefers controlled exchanges, measured pressure, and sharp counter combinations from his southpaw stance. Medic thrives in chaos, pushing early tempo and hunting finishes in the opening minutes.
Neal’s experience against elite competition remains the clearest edge. He has gone rounds with top contenders and understands how to manage distance once he settles into rhythm. If he survives the first five minutes and forces Medic into extended exchanges, his composure and shot selection should take over.
Medic’s path is simple and dangerous. He has seven first-round finishes in the UFC and carries serious power in short combinations. His 60% striking accuracy means clean connections come often when he lets his hands go. Against a fighter coming off knockout losses, that early aggression carries real weight. The key variable is the first round.
If Medic dictates pace immediately and forces Neal backward, the underdog has legitimate knockout equity. If Neal weathers the early storm and turns this into a technical battle beyond Round 1, the favorite’s experience should show. At -210, Neal is the rightful favorite based on resume and durability across higher-level matchups. Now, will he show up to brawl with Medic? Or will Neal play sharp defense and carry this fight later? I'll bet somewhere in the middle, parlaying Neal to win + the OVER 1.5 rounds.
