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NASCAR Odds And Predictions: Harvick Leads Charge At Kentucky

The NASCAR Cup Series moves on from a weekend doubleheader at the Tricky Triangle and 400 miles at the square track known as Indianapolis Motor Speedway to a more conventional oval track this weekend at Kentucky Speedway.

Kevin Harvick, the current points leader in the NASCAR Cup Series standings, has the shortest odds at +400 and I have my predictions for who will win the Quaker State 400 on Sunday.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released odds on the Quaker State 400 with Harvick topping the oddsboard. He’s followed closely by Clint Bowyer at +440, Chase Elliott at +550, Denny Hamlin at +550, Kyle Busch at +550, Martin Truex Jr. at +650, Brad Keselowski at +775, Joey Logano at +850, Ryan Blaney at +1000 and Alex Bowman at +1400 to round out the top 10 drivers on the list.

Betting Picks | Top 3 Odds | Group Betting Odds

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Odds to Win Quaker State 400
Kevin Harvick+400
Clint Bowyer+440
Chase Elliott+550
Denny Hamlin+550
Kyle Busch+550
Martin Truex Jr.+650
Brad Keselowski+775
Joey Logano+850
Ryan Blaney+1000
Alex Bowman+1400
Kurt Busch+2000
Jimmie Johnson+2200
Aric Almirola+2800
Erik Jones+2800
William Byron+3300
Matt Kenseth+5000
Christopher Bell+5500
Tyler Reddick+5500
Matt DiBenedetto+6600
Austin Dillon+10000
Ryan Newman+12500
Cole Custer+17500
Darrell Wallace Jr.+17500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+20000
Chris Buescher+30000
Ryan Preece+35000
John H. Nemechek+52500
Ty Dillon+75000
Corey LaJoie+100000
Michael McDowell+100000
Daniel Suarez+150000
Brennan Poole+200000
Garrett Smithley+200000
Josh Bilicki+200000
JJ Yeley+300000
Joey Gase+300000
Quin Houff+300000
Timmy Hill+300000

Odds as of July 10 at Bovada

Why Is Harvick Favored To Win The Quaker State 400?

It’s hard not to make Kevin Harvick the betting favorite week in and week out in the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season. The 44-year-old has found himself in victory lane four times, tied for the most this season, and has finished in the top five in nine of 16 races, which is also tied for the most in 2020.

However, the 2014 champion hasn’t found much success at Kentucky Speedway in his career, having just one top-five finish over nine starts, though he has six top-10 finishes. He has led laps in just one of those runnings – back in 2016 when he ran a Chevrolet, he led 128 of the 267 laps but finished ninth. If you look strictly at the 2020 season, of course Harvick should have the shortest odds, but I’m not so sure that he’s the bet to make this week.

Betting Picks To Win At Kentucky Speedway

Denny Hamlin +550: I mentioned that Kevin Harvick was tied for more wins and top-five finishes this season. Well, the man he is tied with is Denny Hamlin. While Harvick has struggled at Kentucky, Hamlin has been much more competitive, landing in the top five in four of his nine career starts, including two podium finishes. Additionally, he has led laps in four of his runnings at this track.

Brad Keselowski +775: Since the NASCAR Cup Series added Kentucky to its yearly schedule in 2011, there have been nine races and Keselowski has won three of them. This season, the 2012 series champion has two victories and is fourth in laps led. Keselowski has led multiple laps in seven of the nine runnings at this track and has six top-10 finishes. Look for him to be out front once again.

Erik Jones +2800: Fantastic value for the 2017 NASCAR Cup Series Rookie of the Year at 28:1 to grab his first checkered flag of 2020. Jones has been very competitive at Kentucky throughout his young career, finishing sixth, seventh and third over his three starts. Though he has led just one lap, that came last season when he finished third. With an average finish position of 5.3 at Kentucky and a value of +2800, it’s hard not to take a long shot here.

Top 3 Betting Odds For Quaker State 400

Odds to Finish Top 3 At Quaker State 400
Kevin HarvickEVEN
Chase Elliott+125
Denny Hamlin+125
Kyle Busch+150
Martin Truex Jr.+200
Joey Logano+225
Brad Keselowski+275
Ryan Blaney+350
Alex Bowman+450
Erik Jones+550
Jimmie Johnson+550
Kurt Busch+600
William Byron+650
Aric Almirola+900
Clint Bowyer+1000
Christopher Bell+1200
Matt Kenseth+1200
Tyler Reddick+1400
Matt DiBenedetto+1600
Austin Dillon+3300
Justin Allgaier+4000
Ryan Newman+4000
Cole Custer+5000
Darrell Wallace Jr.+6600
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+6600
John H. Nemechek+10000
Chris Buescher+12500
Michael McDowell+12500
Ross Chastain+12500
Ryan Preece+12500
Ty Dillon+12500
BJ McLeod+25000
Brennan Poole+25000
Corey LaJoie+25000
Daniel Suarez+25000
Garrett Smithley+25000
JJ Yeley+25000
Joey Gase+25000
Quin Houff+25000
Timmy Hill+25000

Odds as of July 10 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Quaker State 400 Group Betting Odds

Odds to Win Group 1 At Quaker State 400
Kevin Harvick+225
Kyle Busch+245
Brad Keselowski+260
Martin Truex Jr.+260

Odds as of July 10 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Odds to Win Group 2 At Quaker State 400
Denny Hamlin+225
Chase Elliott+235
Joey Logano+260
Ryan Blaney+275

Odds as of July 10 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Odds to Win Group 3 At Quaker State 400
Alex Bowman+225
Kurt Busch+235
Aric Almirola+260
Erik Jones+275

Odds as of July 10 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Odds to Win Group 4 At Quaker State 400
William Byron+225
Clint Bowyer+245
Christopher Bell+260
Matt Kenseth+260

Odds as of July 10 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Odds to Win Group 5 At Quaker State 400
Matt DiBenedetto+225
Tyler Reddick+225
Austin Dillon+240
Ryan Newman+300

Odds as of July 10 at BetOnline Sportsbook