The NASCAR Cup Series moves on from a weekend doubleheader at the Tricky Triangle and 400 miles at the square track known as Indianapolis Motor Speedway to a more conventional oval track this weekend at Kentucky Speedway.
Kevin Harvick, the current points leader in the NASCAR Cup Series standings, has the shortest odds at +400 and I have my predictions for who will win the Quaker State 400 on Sunday.
Sportsbook
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released odds on the Quaker State 400 with Harvick topping the oddsboard. He’s followed closely by Clint Bowyer at +440, Chase Elliott at +550, Denny Hamlin at +550, Kyle Busch at +550, Martin Truex Jr. at +650, Brad Keselowski at +775, Joey Logano at +850, Ryan Blaney at +1000 and Alex Bowman at +1400 to round out the top 10 drivers on the list.
Betting Picks | Top 3 Odds | Group Betting Odds
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| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | +400 |
| Clint Bowyer | +440 |
| Chase Elliott | +550 |
| Denny Hamlin | +550 |
| Kyle Busch | +550 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +650 |
| Brad Keselowski | +775 |
| Joey Logano | +850 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1000 |
| Alex Bowman | +1400 |
| Kurt Busch | +2000 |
| Jimmie Johnson | +2200 |
| Aric Almirola | +2800 |
| Erik Jones | +2800 |
| William Byron | +3300 |
| Matt Kenseth | +5000 |
| Christopher Bell | +5500 |
| Tyler Reddick | +5500 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | +6600 |
| Austin Dillon | +10000 |
| Ryan Newman | +12500 |
| Cole Custer | +17500 |
| Darrell Wallace Jr. | +17500 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +20000 |
| Chris Buescher | +30000 |
| Ryan Preece | +35000 |
| John H. Nemechek | +52500 |
| Ty Dillon | +75000 |
| Corey LaJoie | +100000 |
| Michael McDowell | +100000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +150000 |
| Brennan Poole | +200000 |
| Garrett Smithley | +200000 |
| Josh Bilicki | +200000 |
| JJ Yeley | +300000 |
| Joey Gase | +300000 |
| Quin Houff | +300000 |
| Timmy Hill | +300000 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
Why Is Harvick Favored To Win The Quaker State 400?
It’s hard not to make Kevin Harvick the betting favorite week in and week out in the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season. The 44-year-old has found himself in victory lane four times, tied for the most this season, and has finished in the top five in nine of 16 races, which is also tied for the most in 2020.
However, the 2014 champion hasn’t found much success at Kentucky Speedway in his career, having just one top-five finish over nine starts, though he has six top-10 finishes. He has led laps in just one of those runnings – back in 2016 when he ran a Chevrolet, he led 128 of the 267 laps but finished ninth. If you look strictly at the 2020 season, of course Harvick should have the shortest odds, but I’m not so sure that he’s the bet to make this week.
Betting Picks To Win At Kentucky Speedway
Denny Hamlin +550: I mentioned that Kevin Harvick was tied for more wins and top-five finishes this season. Well, the man he is tied with is Denny Hamlin. While Harvick has struggled at Kentucky, Hamlin has been much more competitive, landing in the top five in four of his nine career starts, including two podium finishes. Additionally, he has led laps in four of his runnings at this track.
Brad Keselowski +775: Since the NASCAR Cup Series added Kentucky to its yearly schedule in 2011, there have been nine races and Keselowski has won three of them. This season, the 2012 series champion has two victories and is fourth in laps led. Keselowski has led multiple laps in seven of the nine runnings at this track and has six top-10 finishes. Look for him to be out front once again.
Erik Jones +2800: Fantastic value for the 2017 NASCAR Cup Series Rookie of the Year at 28:1 to grab his first checkered flag of 2020. Jones has been very competitive at Kentucky throughout his young career, finishing sixth, seventh and third over his three starts. Though he has led just one lap, that came last season when he finished third. With an average finish position of 5.3 at Kentucky and a value of +2800, it’s hard not to take a long shot here.
Top 3 Betting Odds For Quaker State 400
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | EVEN |
| Chase Elliott | +125 |
| Denny Hamlin | +125 |
| Kyle Busch | +150 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +200 |
| Joey Logano | +225 |
| Brad Keselowski | +275 |
| Ryan Blaney | +350 |
| Alex Bowman | +450 |
| Erik Jones | +550 |
| Jimmie Johnson | +550 |
| Kurt Busch | +600 |
| William Byron | +650 |
| Aric Almirola | +900 |
| Clint Bowyer | +1000 |
| Christopher Bell | +1200 |
| Matt Kenseth | +1200 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1400 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | +1600 |
| Austin Dillon | +3300 |
| Justin Allgaier | +4000 |
| Ryan Newman | +4000 |
| Cole Custer | +5000 |
| Darrell Wallace Jr. | +6600 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +6600 |
| John H. Nemechek | +10000 |
| Chris Buescher | +12500 |
| Michael McDowell | +12500 |
| Ross Chastain | +12500 |
| Ryan Preece | +12500 |
| Ty Dillon | +12500 |
| BJ McLeod | +25000 |
| Brennan Poole | +25000 |
| Corey LaJoie | +25000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +25000 |
| Garrett Smithley | +25000 |
| JJ Yeley | +25000 |
| Joey Gase | +25000 |
| Quin Houff | +25000 |
| Timmy Hill | +25000 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
Quaker State 400 Group Betting Odds
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | +225 |
| Kyle Busch | +245 |
| Brad Keselowski | +260 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +260 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +225 |
| Chase Elliott | +235 |
| Joey Logano | +260 |
| Ryan Blaney | +275 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alex Bowman | +225 |
| Kurt Busch | +235 |
| Aric Almirola | +260 |
| Erik Jones | +275 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| William Byron | +225 |
| Clint Bowyer | +245 |
| Christopher Bell | +260 |
| Matt Kenseth | +260 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Matt DiBenedetto | +225 |
| Tyler Reddick | +225 |
| Austin Dillon | +240 |
| Ryan Newman | +300 |
Odds as of July 10 at Sportsbook
