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Odds to Win the NBA Western Conference: Lakers HUGE Faves Over Nuggets

NBA Western Conference Betting Odds February 8, 2020

The NBA Western Conference final matchup is now set and while most had penciled in the Los Angeles Lakers as one of the two teams, the Denver Nuggets were likely not part of many bettors’ plans. The Nuggets completed the upset over the LA Clippers in the second round but are still massive underdogs to take down another squad from Los Angeles.

According to the best basketball betting sites, the Lakers are now -650 favorites to dispatch the Nuggets and move on to the NBA Finals in their quest for a 17th NBA championship, while Denver comes back at +425 after opening the season at +1100 to win the West.

Check out the Eastern Conference final odds between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics here.

The NBA playoff structure in 2020 is unconventional so if you’re new to betting and want to know how to bet on basketball, what NBA futures are, or even how betting works without fans in attendance, click on these links to get you up to speed.

Here are the betting odds on which team will win the Western Conference final, which can also be found on our NBA Series Prices page.

Odds To Win NBA Western Conference 2019-20
TeamOdds
Los Angeles Lakers-650
Denver Nuggets+425

Odds as of September 16 at Bovada

Why The Lakers Will Win

It may be too easy to say the Los Angeles Lakers will win the Western Conference final because of LeBron James and Anthony Davis, but I’m going there. It’s the best 1-2 punch in the NBA and both are matchup nightmares for opposing defenses.

In the postseason in the bubble, the Lakers are second in points scored per game (114.1) and first among the four remaining teams in the playoffs. LeBron and AD are combining for 43.2 points per game and both have been sensational defensively, combining to average 2.6 steals and 2.7 blocks per contest.

Those two all-stars will show up but it’s the supporting cast, which had its doubters, that is lifting the Lakers to prominence. Despite only having two other players average double figures in points, the role guys are hitting big shots when it matters – seven Lakers are averaging 38 percent or better from behind the arc in the playoffs.

At this stage, it really comes down to the defensive adjustments and whether centers JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard can slow down Nikola Jokic and make him work harder to find the open man. If they contain Jokic, the Nuggets will go down hard and fast.

Why The Nuggets Will Win

Even after coming back from two 3-1 series deficits in the 2020 playoffs, it’s still hard to make a valid case for why Denver can topple Los Angeles but we’re going to try. If the Nuggets have any intention of making this a series, they need to let LeBron and Davis get their points and contain the rest of the Lakers roster offensively.

The Nuggets, surprisingly, could be up to that task because one of the key defensive adjustments they made vs the Clippers was not allowing sparkplugs like Lou Williams or Montrezl Harrell to get hot and making Kawhi Leonard and Paul George work for every basket. In the Nuggets’ three consecutive wins, the Clippers averaged only 97.3 points per game and the Williams-Harrell duo never topped 30 combined points in those losses.

If you planned to take the Nuggets to win this series at +425, you might as well wait. The Nuggets were up to +2500 to win the series vs the Clippers when trailing three games to one so the value play is to just wait till Denver is trailing and grab the Nuggets then.


How to Understand NBA Western Conference Odds

At any NBA betting site, you’ll notice futures odds displayed like this:

Los Angeles Lakers +135

Los Angles Clippers +180

Houston Rockets +650

Denver Nuggets +1000

Sacramento Kings +20000

For other betting types, you’ll see favorites indicated with minus signs (-) and underdogs with plus signs (+). When there are no minus signs, the team with the lowest odds is the fave and the rest are dogs. Here, it’s the Lakers that are the faves.

If you were to lay down $100 on the Rockets and they make the NBA Finals,  you’d get a payout of $750 – your original money is returned along with your winnings of $650.

To see how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet, check out our Odds Calculator.

What is a Basketball Prop Bet?

Any wager on the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific player or team milestones that don’t automatically correlate to the outcome of a certain game is a prop bet. Here you’re betting on the odds for an NBA team to win the Western Conference.

When bookmakers set the lines, they aren’t etched in stone. The odds will change as we move closer to the finals and teams move on or are eliminated from contention. If you come across odds you like, we suggest taking them to get the ultimate value on a winning bet. Taking a team at +900 at the beginning of the playoffs is better than getting them at -200 a week before the NBA Finals.