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Odds To Win Big 12 Tournament: Toss-Up Between Kansas and Baylor

The Kansas Jayhawks and coach Bill Self, pictured, are leading Big 12 college basketball odds.

The Kansas Jayhawks are looking for their 18th consecutive Big 12 Conference regular-season championship in the upcoming NCAA college basketball season, so it makes sense they would be the favorites to win it again in 2021.

The Jayhawks sit as +150 favorites to win the Big 12 regular-season championship and be the 1 seed going into the Big 12 Conference tournament. They have the slight edge over the Baylor Bears in this college basketball futures market with the Bears at +155 to finish with a better regular-season record than the Jayhawks.

However, in Big 12 Conference tournament odds, the teams flip with Baylor as the +165 favorite, edging out Kansas at +170. For historical reference, Baylor has never won the Big 12 regular-season championship OR the Big 12 Conference tournament.

Both teams are near the top of the 2021 March Madness tournament odds and will likely be factors in how that tourney plays out once conference tournaments are complete. 

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Let’s break down the Big 12 regular-season odds and conference tournament odds below:

2021 College Basketball: Big 12 Regular-Season Odds

2020-21 College basketball: big 12 Regular-Season odds
Kansas Jayhawks+150
Baylor Bears+155
West Virginia Mountaineers+500
Texas Tech Red Raiders+650
Texas Longhorns+650
Oklahoma Sooners+3000
Oklahoma State Cowboys+3300
Iowa State Cyclones+9000
TCU Horned Frogs+12500
Kansas State Wildcats+35000

Odds as of November 23 at Bovada

Why Kansas Is Favored in Big 12 No. 1 Seed Odds

The Kansas Jayhawks deserve to be the favorite for the Big 12 regular-season championship mainly because of pedigree. They’ve won 17 straight Big 12 regular-season titles to get the No. 1 seed for the Big 12 Conference tournament and have an impactful freshman recruit in SG Bryce Thompson coming to Lawrence. He’ll join a backcourt that’s returning Marcus Garrett and Ochai Agbaji and while those two showed flashes last season, neither of them was a great shooter from the floor and only Agbaji averaged more than 10 points.

That’s why head coach Bill Self has to be a little worried comparing this team to those of previous seasons because Kansas usually brought in one or two nationally ranked prospects to add to its core. It could be tough to make up for the exit of SG Devon Dotson and C Udoka Azubuike, who combined to average 31.8 points per game, with just Thompson arriving in Lawrence.

Which Big 12 Team Will Win the Conference Tournament?

2020-21 College basketball: big 12 Tournament odds
Baylor Bears+165
Kansas Jayhawks+170
West Virginia Mountaineers+500
Texas Tech Red Raiders+600
Texas Longhorns+650
Oklahoma Sooners+2000
Oklahoma State Cowboys+2200
Iowa State Cyclones+8000
TCU Horned Frogs+10000
Kansas State Wildcats+30000

Odds as of November 23 at Bovada

At this point, Baylor looks to be the most attractive option to end the Jayhawks’ supremacy in Big 12 basketball and is No. 2 in the AP preseason poll to win the 2021 March Madness tournament. Baylor is returning its starting backcourt of Jared Butler and MaCio Teague, who were dominant while Baylor flirted with the top AP NCAA ranking for portions of last season.

Butler and Teague are only going to be better this season and after combining to average 29.9 points per game and shoot 37 percent from behind the arc, they will be a potent duo to contend with in the Big 12.

The only team that makes me second-guess Baylor or Kansas is the Texas Longhorns at +650. Head coach Shaka Smart has been getting some solid recruits since 2015 who can grow with the program and aren’t typical one-and-done prospects. Players like Andrew Jones, Matt Coleman and Courtney Ramey are all returning to the Longhorns and each averaged double-digit scoring last season.

Another reason to get hyped about Texas is the arrival of SF Greg Brown, who looks to be a matchup nightmare. Brown was the ninth overall recruit coming out of high school and has the wingspan and handles to be a monster in the Big 12. He and the returning guards make the Longhorns worth watching for the first time since Kevin Durant was on the squad in 2006.