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Free-falling Bears Visit West Virginia in Big 12 Regular Season Finale

The Baylor Bears try to end a brutal five-game straight-up and against the spread slide on Saturday when they wrap up their Big 12 regular season schedule in a date with the West Virginia Mountaineers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. The Mountaineers are 3-2 SU in their past five and have failed to cover in two home games.

Shark Bites
  • West Virginia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games against teams with winning records.
  • Baylor is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of Baylor's last five games after a loss.

The 6-5 Bears dropped their fifth straight decision to a conference rival last week, falling 54-35 to Texas Tech as 4-point road chalk. Baylor has lost three straight on the road during its current slide, all as a betting favorite, but has covered in four of six as a road underdog. The Bears are also 7-1 SU and ATS in their past eight during the month of December.

The 9-2 Mountaineers posted a dominating 49-19 win over Iowa State as 7.5-point road favorites last weekend, after falling 56-28 at home to Oklahoma a week earlier. West Virginia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games against conference rivals. However, the Mountaineers have been a shaky bet at home this season, covering just once in their past six.

Baylor posted a 62-38 win over the Mountaineers as 20.5-point home chalk a year ago. The home team has claimed victory in each of the four all-time meetings between these squads, but Baylor holds a 3-1 ATS edge.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Several shops tracked by Odds Shark (including Bovada) set the point spread at -14.5 for the West Virginia Mountaineers . NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pointed to a potential 48-29 result in favor of the Mountaineers early in the week. That outcome may change during the week, if injuries alter the models, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Betting fans of the West Virginia Mountaineers have seen them go 9-2 and 5-6 ATS so far this season, while the Baylor Bears are at 6-5 and 2-9 ATS. In over under totals betting, the Baylor Bears are 4-7, while the West Virginia Mountaineers are 5-6. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and West Virginia vs Baylor injuries news.

The West Virginia Mountaineers sit at No. 30 in the current College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Baylor Bears are at No. 55 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the West Virginia Mountaineers No. 41-ranked offense (33.36 PPG) against a Baylor Bears defense that ranks No. 85 at 31 PPG. The West Virginia Mountaineers passing attack has averaged 281.64 yards per game, more than the Baylor Bears give up through the air (234.18 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Baylor Bears feature the league's No. 78-rated road run defense, allowing 208.2 yards per game. West Virginia, meanwhile, ranks No. 30 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Zach Smith's 377-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Texas Tech earned a 54-35 win over Baylor on Friday at AT&T Stadium.

Skyler Howard led the way last time out for the Mountaineers, connecting for 330 passing yards and a 49-19 victory over the Cyclones at Jack Trice Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Baylor is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
  • Baylor is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • West Virginia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
  • West Virginia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • West Virginia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 6 games at home