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Home Team Dominating ATS Between UNC, Miami

ACC Coastal rivals renew acquaintances when the North Carolina Tar Heels visit the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday. The ’Canes have the historical advantage on their side, as the home team has covered in the past four meetings between these two teams.

  • Miami is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in UNC’s last 3 games on the road against Miami.
  • Miami is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home after a loss at home.

It will be important to keep tabs on Brad Kaaya, as he will be held out of practice early in the week to rest up. Though he is fully expected to start Saturday, he took plenty of big hits last week against FSU. The junior has completed 64.6 percent of his passes this season with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions.

Hurricane Matthew and Virginia Tech completely took apart UNC last week, as the Tar Heels lost 34-3 to the Hokies. Tar Heels’ quarterback Mitch Trubisky was completely stymied by VT’s defense, as the junior went 13-for-33 and threw his first two interceptions of the season.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The home Miami-FL Hurricanes were -7-point favorites in this NCAA football battle at Bovada earlier (watch for line movement). No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to be posted shortly.

Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 40.6-27.4 win for the Hurricanes on Saturday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami-FL Hurricanes Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The North Carolina Tar Heels will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 3-3 ATS against the spread this season, while the Miami-FL Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS. North Carolina is 3-3 on the over under betting totals; Miami-FL is 3-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami-FL vs North Carolina injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Miami-FL Hurricanes at No. 24 and the North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 41 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Miami-FL's No. 16-ranked offense, averaging 41.4 PPG, against a North Carolina defense that ranks No. 91 this week at 31.5 PPG. The Miami-FL aerial game is averaging 236.2 yards per game, more than the North Carolina Tar Heels secondary allows through the air, 197.5 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the North Carolina Tar Heels own the league's No. 83-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 202.5 yards per game when on the road. Miami-FL, on the other hand, rates No. 32 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

North Carolina was hammered in its last outing, as Virginia Tech ran up a 34-3 score against them at Kenan Stadium.

The Hurricanes suffered a Week 6 loss against Florida State in their last game, falling 20-19 at Hard Rock Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina's last 9 games
  • North Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Miami-FL is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Miami-FL is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Miami-FL is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Miami-FL is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina

Next Betting Matchups

North Carolina at Virginia, Saturday, October 22nd
Miami-FL at Virginia Tech, Thursday, October 20th