Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars (TEN -7.5, O/U 53)
The Titans head to Jacksonville hoping to rebound from an embarrassing loss to the Browns in which their defense surrendered 38 points in the first 30 minutes. As a result, Derrick Henry saw a season-low 15 rush attempts and Ryan Tannehill was forced to play catch-up. Henry should be in line for his typical workload of 25-plus touches against the Jags as Tennessee is projected to play with a lead in this division rematch, currently listed as a 7.5-point favorite.
Jacksonville has lost 11 straight after its Week 1 upset of the Colts but has at least shown some fight in recent losses. Four of the Jaguars’ past five defeats have come by five points or less, and the offense has posted 49 points in Mike Glennon’s two starts under center. This is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair despite it being a rematch of two division foes, with a current total of 53 points.
Our NFL model agrees there will be plenty of scoring in this matchup, projecting a final score of 35.4-21.6 in favor of the Titans. With 57 combined points projected and a total of 53, we have a sizable edge on the OVER in this AFC South matchup. Our model suggests a $110 wager on OVER 53 for an average $100 bettor.
Prediction Machine’s NFL model is 194-149 ATS (56.6%) and 184-166 (52.6%) on O/Us for +32.76 units, or $3,276 of profit since the start of the 2019 season. Head over to predictionmachine.com/pricing and sign up to receive every NFL prediction.
Why will the total go OVER?
How to bet the spread in Titans vs Jaguars:
Prediction Machine’s NFL model projects a final score of 35.4-21.6 in favor of the Titans. With a near 14-point margin of victory projected for Tennessee and the spread currently at 7.5 points, we have a solid edge on the visitors in this one. Our model suggests a $106 wager on TENNESSEE -7.5 for an average $100 bettor.
Need-to-know stats for Titans vs Jaguars:
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Odds Shark Staff Wed, Aug 10, 4:35pm