Like most of the other groups at the FIFA World Cup, there’s a clear favorite in Group F. Belgium is the top side according to World Cup Group F odds at -195 to win the group. They’re also the favorites to qualify out at -900.
The next-best odds to win and to qualify out of the group belong to Croatia at +240 and -200, respectively.
We are here to break down everything World Cup-related to get you ready for the tournament, and that includes breaking down the odds for every group and every game. You can also check out who we think you should bet on to win the World Cup and the Golden Boot.
World Cup Group F Odds: To Win Outright
Odds as of July 22 at BetOnline Sportsbook
World Cup Group F Odds: Odds To Advance From Group Stage
Odds as of July 22 at BetOnline Sportsbook
Group F Odds: Belgium (-195)
Belgium is the second-ranked side in the world after Brazil. Roberto Martinez’s men went through qualification dropping points only twice, in 1-1 draws to the Czech Republic and the Welsh.
The Belgians have the talent to compete deep into this tournament. From the back, they have Thibaut Courtois between the sticks. Courtois has backstopped Real Madrid since 2018-19, picking up 59 clean sheets (49.5%), and holds an impressive .768 save percentage with Los Blancos.
Down the middle, Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne pulls the strings. Compared to midfielders who’ve played at least 2,931 minutes across Europe’s big five leagues, De Bruyne is in the 99th percentile for progressive passes/90, touches in the attacking penalty area, shot-creating actions and expected assists.
Up front, Romelu Lukaku is the main threat. And while Lukaku didn’t have a particularly productive campaign with Chelsea last year, scoring only eight goals in 26 games, he scored 47 from 2019 through 2021 for Inter Milan. Lukaku’s slower pace of play didn’t fit what Chelsea was building, but Belgium knows how to use the big man, who has 69 goals in 86 appearances for the Belgians.
Lukaku has the sixth-best World Cup Golden Boot odds at +1600.
That’s a lot of top-quality players who are all part of the same core with their eyes firmly set on going deeper into this tournament than in 2018 when they were beaten by eventual champion France in the semifinals.
Find the best odds for Belgium at the World Cup at BetOnline Sportsbook:
Group F Odds: Croatia (+240)
Croatia is the 15th-ranked side according to FIFA’s world rankings. The runners-up in 2018 enter this tournament with the hope they can get back to the final and win it this time. Before they do that, their first task is exiting the group stage.
On paper, the odds are in their favor. The Croatians not only hold the second-best odds to win the group (+240) but they have the second-best odds to qualify at -200.
Croatia held the seventh-best possession number in European qualification (66.3%) and the seventh-best shot accuracy rating in Europe with 6.5 shots on target per 90.
This could be the last time we see some of Croatia’s more experienced players at a World Cup event, like Real Madrid’s Luka Modric, who will turn 37 in September. The Croatians have an older squad but old doesn’t mean bad, it means experienced.
Remember, Croatia was the runner-up in 2018 after a clean 3-0-0 group stage sweep over Argentina, Iceland and Nigeria. Then it was a 4-3 penalty win over Russia in the quarterfinals before a 2-1 extra-time victory over England.
Group F Odds: Morocco (+1100)
This is the first time Morocco has qualified for back-to-back World Cups since the 1990s when they made World Cup ‘94 in the U.S. and World Cup ‘98 in France.
In 2018, the Moroccans went 0-1-2 in a group with Spain, Portugal and Iran.
Defensively, Morocco was strong in 2018, allowing no more than two goals in a single group game. That strong defensive game was key to Morocco’s 2022 qualification campaign. In six second-round matches, they allowed a single goal. Just one.
If Morocco is to have any success through the group stage of the 2022 World Cup, that defensive line will have to hold strong.
Group F Odds: Canada (+1400)
Canada is the only team in this group that wasn’t part of the 2018 World Cup in Russia. It’s the Canucks’ first World Cup since 1986. For many Canadians, this is the first time they’ll see their national men’s squad at this prestigious tournament.
Through qualification, Canada was the class of the CONCACAF region, going 8-4-2 through the third round of matches. John Herdman’s men scored the most goals in the region with 49. Their blend of speed and pressing is well executed.
Getting out of the group is going to be difficult. Canada is +435 and +235 to pick up at least a point against Belgium and Croatia, respectively. Betting both outcomes with $100 would return a $670 profit.
The Canadians would then have to break down a strong Moroccan side and hope for good results elsewhere to qualify out of the group. It’s not entirely unlikely but it will be very tough.
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