The UFC Fight Nights continue to roll on as this week’s card has a pivotal fight in the women’s strawweight division. In the main event, Mackenzie Dern takes on Marina Rodriguez with the winner likely to be about one fight away from a title shot.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Rodriguez is this Saturday, October 9, at the UFC Apex Performance Center in Las Vegas. In Dern vs Rodriguez odds, the fifth-ranked Dern is favored over the sixth-ranked Rodriguez.
Dern has been on a tear recently, winning four straight bouts, three by submission. This stretch comes on the heels of her first professional defeat in October 2019.
Similarly, Rodriguez was saddled with her first defeat, a split decision to former champion Carla Esparza, in July of last year but has rebounded with back-to-back wins in 2021 heading into this fight.
Dern vs Rodriguez Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Dern vs Rodriguez odds with Mackenzie listed as the -175 favorite and Marina the +145 underdog. The betting line for the main event means that you would have to wager $175 to profit $100 with a Dern victory, while a $100 winning bet on Rodriguez would net you $145.
Another way to examine the odds is using our sports betting calculator. There you can see that Dern’s -175 odds represent an implied win probability of 63.64 percent and Rodriguez’s +145 line offers an implied win probability of 40.82 percent.
If you’re looking for the biggest favorite on the card for a parlay piece, search no further than the heavyweight prelim bout with Alexandr Romanov (-700) favored over Jared Vanderaa (+450). Conversely, if you want more value, the tightest betting line of the night comes in the main event between Dern and Rodriguez.
Dern vs Rodriguez Betting Odds & Fight Card
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Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez Odds & Prediction
Marina Rodriguez (+145) is looking for her first-ever three-fight winning streak in the UFC, after having a two-fight streak ended with a draw back in 2019. As for Mackenzie Dern (-175), her ongoing four-fight win streak is the longest in the Octagon for her; she had won two in a row before her first defeat.
Prediction: Marina Rodriguez (+145) via decision
Randy Brown vs Jared Gooden Odds & Prediction
Two fighters looking for back-to-back wins face off in the co-main event. Jared “Nite Train” Gooden (+185) dropped his first two bouts in the UFC but picked up his first win in July with a first-round knockout. Meanwhile, Randy “Rudeboy” Brown (-230) had his two-fight winning streak snapped in mid-2020 but returned to the win column in April of this year.
Prediction: Randy Brown (-230) via decision
Tim Elliott vs Matheus Nicolau Odds & Prediction
Tim Elliott (+160) has a crack at winning three fights in a row for the first time in over five years when he walks to the cage on Saturday. Looking to prevent that from happening and in turn extend his own three-fight winning streak is Matheus Nicolau (-200).
Prediction: Matheus Nicolau (-200) via submission
Sabina Mazo vs Mariya Agapova Odds & Prediction
On the heels of a loss as a -1400 favorite, Mariya Agapova (+150) has seen her odds plummet in her return to the cage but is hoping for a better outcome. Also coming off a defeat in her last appearance is Sabina “Colombian Queen” Mazo (-185), who looks to get back to the winning ways she enjoyed prior to the loss.
Prediction: Sabina Mazo (-185) via knockout
Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn Odds & Prediction
When Phil “Megatron” Hawes (-335) walks to the Octagon on Saturday, he does so with a lengthy seven-fight winning streak. Hoping to end that streak and get on one of his own is Deron Winn (+255), who is searching for back-to-back wins for the first time in his UFC career.
Prediction: Phil Hawes (-335) via knockout
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Rodriguez Best Bets
|Women’s Strawweight – Marina Rodriguez||+145|
|Welterweight – Randy Brown||-230|
|Flyweight – Matheus Nicolau||-200|
|Women’s Flyweight – Sabina Mazo||-185|
|Middleweight – Phil Hawes||-335|
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