NCAAB

Auburn Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats

Auburn
Tigers
29 - 9
Kentucky
Wildcats
30 - 6
March 31, 2019, 2:20 PM EDT
 | T-Mobile Center

Game Preview

Auburn
Tigers
29 - 9
Kentucky
Wildcats
30 - 6
March 31, 2019, 2:20 PM EDT
 | T-Mobile Center
  • The Kentucky Wildcats have downed the Auburn Tigers twice this season, including by 27 points on February 23. The Tigers, however, are turning into the darlings of the NCAA Tournament and open as just 2.5-point dogs against their conference rival. Kentucky welcomed back PJ Washington in the Sweet 16 while Auburn lost Chuma Okeke – definitely a storyline to watch for. The total for the early game on Sunday opened at 144.5.

    Auburn vs Kentucky Game Center

    Standout Stats

    • Since losing at Kentucky on February 23, the Auburn Tigers are 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS. They were the betting underdog in three of those 11 games, including by 5.5 points to UNC in the Sweet 16.
    • John Calipari’s team has played to the UNDER in 17 of its last 21 games. The Wildcats’ average combined score through three games in the tournament is 120.3. The Tigers have played to the OVER in each of their last four games, with an average combined score of 165.3 in their three NCAA Tournament games.
    • Kentucky has been to the Elite Eight 12 times since 1996, going 7-5 SU and 6-5-1 ATS. The O/U is 7-3 since 1998. The Wildcats pushed the spread in their last appearance in this round, a 75-73 loss to UNC in 2017.
    • Auburn has never been to the Elite Eight. Bruce Pearl got there with Tennessee in 2010, losing 70-69 to Michigan State as a 2-point favorite.
    • Auburn is 10-1 on a neutral court this season. Kentucky is just 5-3.
    • Auburn has the No. 22 offense in the nation while Kentucky has the No. 23 scoring defense.
    • PJ Washington had 24 points in 33 minutes the last time these teams played. He had 13 points in 32 minutes in the first meeting. He returned from injury with 16 points in 26 minutes in the Sweet 16, and that was the difference in the win vs Houston.
    • Chuma Okeke is one of just three Auburn Tigers to average double digits in scoring this season. That could potentially be good news for an Auburn team that uses everybody.
    • Auburn put up 97 points on the No. 15 adjusted defense in the Sweet 16. It’ll get the No. 8 adjusted defense in the form of Kentucky. Auburn has the No. 6 adjusted offense.
    • Kentucky shot over 54 percent in each of the two meetings this season. Auburn shot 46 and 32 percent respectively. Kentucky averaged 47.1 percent in SEC play while Auburn averaged 43.8 percent. I would expect Kentucky’s numbers to be lower than they were in the regular season, given the circumstances.

    My Best Bet for Auburn vs Kentucky

    Take Auburn and the Points +2.5

    I think this game will come right down to the wire and be a lot more like the first game they played this season than the second. The Tigers have been proving people wrong throughout playoff season and I think they’ll do it again here in the Elite Eight.

    It will be important to adjust their focus quickly from the upset of UNC, but this team doesn’t let the moment get too big for them. The blowout loss to Kentucky was a wake-up call and this team has been on a mission ever since.

    With the public on the Wildcats, if you like this pick, wait closer to tipoff to see if you can grab a better number at your book.

Odds

Sunday, March 31 Sun Mar 31


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+2.5
-105
+125
o144.5
-110
-2.5
-115
-145
u144.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+4.5
-108
+200
o142.5
-112
-4.5
-112
-240
u142.5
-108

Edge Finder

78.24
Total Score
79.44
43.54
Field Goal %
48.29
31.79
Three Point %
34.73
73.10
Free Throw %
72.58
40.07
Total Rebounds
39.07
78.24
Total Score
79.44
43.54
Field Goal %
48.29
73.10
Free Throw %
72.58
31.79
Three Point %
34.73
25.35
Three's Attempts
17.53
7.83
Three's Made
5.59
12.46
Offensive
11.92
27.62
Defensive
27.15
40.07
Total Rebounds
39.07
14.68
Assists
16.15
18.50
Fouls
14.32
12.15
Turnovers
11.59
8.11
Steals
6.24

Head To Head

AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
2-8
Record
8-2
4-5-1
ATS
5-4-1
3-7
O/U
3-7
66.90
Score
80.20
29.90
Half Time Score
39.30
38.65%
Field Goal Percentage
49.55%
29.20
Rebounds
41.00
76/209
3 Point Shots
66/169
4.60
Steals
5.10
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
1-2
Record
2-1
1-2
ATS
2-1
1-2
O/U
1-2
69.67
Score
76.00
32.33
Half Time Score
37.67
38.51%
Field Goal Percentage
51.59%
28.00
Rebounds
37.33
29/84
3 Point Shots
20/53
6.67
Steals
4.67
Feb 23/19 (1 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Away
Home
53
Score
80
+8
ATS
-8
143.5 o
O/U
143.5 u
31
Half Time Score
45
32.80%
Field Goal Percentage
54.50%
24
Rebounds
43
8/27
3 Point Shots
11/24
6
Steals
5
Jan 19/19 (2 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Home
Away
80
Score
82
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
146.5 o
O/U
146.5 u
27
Half Time Score
35
46.40%
Field Goal Percentage
54.20%
26
Rebounds
33
13/30
3 Point Shots
6/15
5
Steals
7
Feb 14/18 (3 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Home
Away
76
Score
66
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
156.5 o
O/U
156.5 u
39
Half Time Score
33
36.70%
Field Goal Percentage
46.30%
34
Rebounds
36
8/27
3 Point Shots
3/14
9
Steals
2
Jan 14/17 (4 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Away
Home
72
Score
92
+24.5
ATS
-24.5
172 o
O/U
172 u
39
Half Time Score
51
46.80%
Field Goal Percentage
57.10%
28
Rebounds
40
9/16
3 Point Shots
11/19
1
Steals
3
Jan 16/16 (5 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Home
Away
75
Score
70
+11.5
ATS
-11.5
151 o
O/U
151 u
30
Half Time Score
35
38.20%
Field Goal Percentage
34.70%
38
Rebounds
48
12/26
3 Point Shots
6/18
2
Steals
7
Mar 14/15 (6 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Away
Home
67
Score
91
+24
ATS
-24
138 o
O/U
138 u
29
Half Time Score
47
33.30%
Field Goal Percentage
56.30%
25
Rebounds
39
6/20
3 Point Shots
7/14
2
Steals
4
Feb 21/15 (7 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Away
Home
75
Score
110
+25
ATS
-25
139.5 o
O/U
139.5 u
26
Half Time Score
52
41.70%
Field Goal Percentage
64.70%
22
Rebounds
44
11/19
3 Point Shots
6/17
6
Steals
7
Feb 12/14 (8 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Home
Away
56
Score
64
+7.5
ATS
-7.5
147 o
O/U
147 u
22
Half Time Score
28
32.70%
Field Goal Percentage
30.90%
36
Rebounds
49
2/16
3 Point Shots
5/12
3
Steals
6
Feb 9/13 (9 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Away
Home
62
Score
72
+17.5
ATS
-17.5
135.5 o
O/U
135.5 u
31
Half Time Score
37
43.10%
Field Goal Percentage
43.50%
29
Rebounds
35
7/13
3 Point Shots
6/21
3
Steals
4
Jan 19/13 (10 of 10)
AUBRN
Stat Type KENTY
Home
Away
53
Score
75
+9.5
ATS
-9.5
139.5 o
O/U
139.5 u
25
Half Time Score
30
34.80%
Field Goal Percentage
54.50%
30
Rebounds
43
0/15
3 Point Shots
5/15
9
Steals
6

Team Records

AUBRN
Record KENTY
29-9
All
30-6
15-2
Home
17-1
4-6
Away
8-2
10-1
Neutral Site
5-3
25-6
As Fav
28-5
3-3
As Dog
2-1
20-16-1
ATS
20-16
10-6
ATS Home
9-9
3-7
ATS Away
6-4
7-3-1
ATS Neutral
5-3
20-17
O/U
12-23-1
9-7
O/U Home
5-12-1
4-6
O/U Away
4-6
7-4
O/U Neutral
3-5
AUBRN
Record KENTY
15-7
All
16-4
7-2
Home
8-1
4-5
Away
7-2
4-0
Neutral Site
1-1
13-5
As Fav
15-3
2-2
As Dog
1-1
12-10
ATS
10-10
6-3
ATS Home
4-5
3-6
ATS Away
5-4
0-0
ATS Neutral
0-0
11-11
O/U
7-13
5-4
O/U Home
2-7
4-5
O/U Away
4-5
0-0
O/U Neutral
0-0
AUBRN
Record KENTY
10-0
All
8-2
2-0
Home
3-0
1-0
Away
1-1
7-0
Neutral Site
4-1
7-0
As Fav
8-1
3-0
As Dog
0-1
7-3
ATS
5-5
1-1
ATS Home
1-2
1-0
ATS Away
0-2
5-2
ATS Neutral
4-1
7-3
O/U
2-8
2-0
O/U Home
0-3
0-1
O/U Away
1-1
5-2
O/U Neutral
1-4

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
Cason WallaceGIs "?", Leg

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSFG%FT%3PTM
Mar 29, 2019UNC97-80W+5.5163.50W/O54.5547.0617
Mar 23, 2019KANSA89-75W-2147W/O52.4680.0013
Mar 21, 2019NMXST78-77W-6146L/O45.6166.6712
Mar 17, 2019TENN84-64W+5145W/O40.6280.9515
Mar 16, 2019FLA65-62W-3.5132.50L/U44.6440.0013
Mar 15, 2019S.CAR73-64W-8146W/U44.6885.7113
Mar 14, 2019MIZZU81-71W-9.5133.50W/O45.7678.9512
Mar 9, 2019TENN84-80W+2.5147W/O46.4379.1713
Mar 5, 2019ALA66-60W-3145W/U40.0078.577
Mar 2, 2019MISST80-75W-5.5145.50L/O47.0682.6113
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSFG%FT%3PTM
Mar 29, 2019HOUST62-58W-2135.50W/U47.8373.684
Mar 23, 2019WOFFD62-56W-5.5139W/U40.3885.003
Mar 21, 2019ABILE79-44W-20.5132W/U53.5778.954
Mar 16, 2019TENN78-82L-1.5139.50L/O53.5768.425
Mar 15, 2019ALA73-55W-12.5136.50W/U47.4666.677
Mar 9, 2019FLA66-57W-10.5128L/U41.3081.252
Mar 5, 2019MISS80-76W-5.5137.50L/O55.3670.004
Mar 2, 2019TENN52-71L+3141L/U31.8265.525
Feb 26, 2019ARK70-66W-15.5145L/U50.0068.756
Feb 23, 2019AUBRN80-53W-8143.50W/U54.5575.0011
View Game Logs