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College Basketball: Odds to Win the Big 12 Tournament

Big 12 tournament odds

As conference play is now underway, it’s time to look ahead at conference tournaments and where the value is just a month and a bit away from those championships. The Big 12 currently has three teams ranked in the AP Top 25, led by the No. 7 Kansas Jayhawks (+110), who would be vying for their third conference championship in the last four seasons.

Bovada has Kansas leading the way at +110, followed by Texas Tech at +450, Iowa State at +450, TCU at +750 and Oklahoma and West Virginia at +950 to round out the top contenders on the oddsboard for the Big 12 championship.

Jayhawks are the favorites, but should they be?

Kansas carried an 11-1 record into conference play, earning victories over three ranked squads, with its lone loss coming on the road against its fourth ranked opponent. The Jayhawks topped then-No. 10 Michigan State, then-No. 5 Tennessee and then-No. 17 Villanova by an average winning margin of 4.67, while the lone loss came at then-No. 18 Arizona State 80-76. Now that conference play is underway, Kansas has split its first two Big 12 games, topping then-No. 23 Oklahoma 70-63 and more recently falling at Iowa State 77-60.

However, the biggest loss the Jayhawks have endured is that of junior center Udoka Azubuike for the remainder of the season as he underwent surgery on his wrist due to a ligament issue. The native of Nigeria was third on the team in scoring with an average of 13.4 points per game and led the team with 1.6 blocks per game. The Jayhawks are 3-2 SU when Azubuike is out of the lineup and are averaging just 72.4 points per game compared to 83.11 ppg when he is in the lineup. I think the loss of Azubuike really hurts and Kansas at +110 is completely not worth it.

Can the Red Raiders’ Defense carry them to a championship?

Texas Tech is off to a terrific start on the season heading into the second week of conference play with a 13-1 record, its only defeat coming against then-No. 2 Duke 69-58. That loss was the Red Raiders’ lone match against a ranked opponent thus far and the 69 points that the Blue Devils scored were the fewest they have scored in a game this season. Limiting their opponents’ offense is the path to victory for the Raiders this year as their foes are scoring 53.1 points per game, which is the second-lowest average in college basketball, and that drops to a nation-low 48.1 ppg at home.

Offensively, Texas Tech averages 73.5 points per game to rank 157th out of 353 teams and is led by sophomore guard Jarrett Culver. The Texas native is expected to be a first-round pick in the NBA draft this season and is leading the Red Raiders in points (18.7), rebounds (5.7) and assists (4.1). I think with Kansas dealing with a big injury, Texas Tech at +450 provides the best value with conference play just underway.

Here’s a look at the odds for the Big 12 Tournament:

2018-19 College basketball big 12 odds
Kansas Jayhawks+110
Texas Tech Red Raiders+450
Iowa State Cyclones+450
TCU Horned Frogs+750
Oklahoma Sooners+950
West Virginia Mountaineers+950
Kansas State Wildcats+1025
Texas Longhorns+1400
Baylor Bears+1800
Oklahoma State Cowboys+1800

Odds as of January 7 at Bovada