Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Odds & Picks: Rebels Are Trustworthy ATS

They may not get the national attention of the big boys like Kentucky and Tennessee, but Ole Miss just keeps trucking along in the SEC. The 16th-ranked Rebels have won four of their past five games, have covered in every conference matchup so far, and are a 3.5-point home favorite over No. 13 Texas A&M in Oxford on Wednesday night.

Ole Miss (15-3 outright) had a four-game winning streak halted Saturday in a three-point loss at rival Mississippi State, but the Rebels still covered as a 5.5-point underdog. Texas A&M (14-4 outright) has lost two straight to ranked opponents and has failed to cover in three consecutive games, though the Aggies did get star guard Wade Taylor IV back from an undisclosed injury Saturday in a victory over LSU.

Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Odds Today

Matchup Page: Texas A&M Vs Ole Miss, 9:00 PM ET

Odds as of January 22 at Sportsbook

Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Picks Today

Ole Miss -3.5 (-110), UNDER 140.5 (-105) at Sportsbook

The Rebels’ ascent this season shouldn’t come as a surprise—they nearly made the NCAA tournament last year under new coach Chris Beard, and returned three of their top four scorers from that squad. They added Sean Pedulla from Virginia Tech, and the former All-ACC guard leads Ole Miss at 14.2 points per game. The lineup’s potential was evident last week when Ole Miss went to Alabama and won by 10.

Ole Miss owns a cover rate of 70.6 percent, according to data at TeamRankings.com, second-best among SEC teams behind Florida’s 72.2. The Rebels covered seven straight earlier in the season, and have won 12 of their past 15 games ATS. Texas A&M had won nine straight, covering in seven of those, before hitting its recent slide largely related to Taylor’s three-game absence.

While Taylor has yet to rediscover the scoring form that averaged 19.1 points per game last season, Texas A&M is a far more complete team with him in the lineup. The problem is that Ole Miss is a complete team as it stands now—one that’s unbeaten at home, unbeaten ATS in conference play, and unbeaten ATS against ranked opponents. Against a foe still working a key player back into the lineup, those trends are hard to ignore.  

The Rebels’ ability to defend was on vivid display when they held Alabama, the highest-scoring team in the nation, to a season-low in points. Ole Miss ranks fourth in the SEC in scoring defense, while Texas A&M is fourth in opposing field goal percentage. The Rebels have gone UNDER in nine of 11, the Aggies UNDER in seven of 10. Let’s just say this doesn’t shape up as a track meet.

Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Betting Trends