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Seminoles Look to Take Florida Cup for Fourth Straight Year

The Seminoles will put the Florida Cup back up for contention this week as they re-engage their rivalry with the Gators at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday night. These teams are separated by just two spots in the AP rankings and if the Seminoles are able to extend their three-game winning streak over Florida, it’s likely they will pass the Gators and move a little closer to the top 10.

  • The visiting team is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 9 games on the road against Florida State.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Florida's last 16 games against the Atlantic Coast.

Although Florida holds the all-time edge in its well-documented matchup with the Seminoles, the series momentum has recently shifted in favor of FSU and last year’s fight for the Florida Cup resulted in a 27-7 FSU win.

The Gators opened as underdogs of almost a touchdown but the computer is predicting a much closer contest. Florida has been one of the best defensive teams in the nation and should be able to slow down Deondre Francois and Dalvin Cook enough to stay in this game. A problem for the Gators in this one is that they have not won a game this year when they’ve allowed more than 14 points and have struggled when they’ve given up more than 400 yards of offense.

Both teams have won and covered their last two games but the Seminoles achieved that feat in spectacular fashion as their average margin of victory in those matchups was 34.5. Florida’s defense has allowed just 13 points per game but if FSU’s offense gets rolling, the Gators could be in trouble.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Florida Gators were listed as 5-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at BetOnline and most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark. No total was available early in the week, check out the odds pages here or Bovada for updates.

A 35-33 result in favor of the Seminoles is the prediction by the Odds Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Florida State Seminoles sit at 8-3 (6-5 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Florida Gators are currently 8-2 (5-5 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Florida State is 5-5 OU, and Florida is 3-7 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Florida State vs Florida injuries news.

The game pits the Florida State Seminoles, currently No. 44 in our Odds Shark NCAA Football Power Rankings, against the Florida Gators, who rate No. 29 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Florida State's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 35.64 PPG, against a Florida defense that ranks No. 4 this week at 13 PPG. The Florida State aerial game is averaging 279.36 yards per game, more than the Florida Gators secondary allows through the air, 160 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Florida Gators own the league's No. 71-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 192 yards per game when on the road. Florida State, on the other hand, rates No. 84 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Jordan Scarlett went over the 100-yard mark (108) in his team's latest effort as Florida defeated LSU by a score of 16-10 on Saturday.

In Florida State's last outing, Deondre Francois threw for 315 yards to lead the Seminoles over Syracuse 45-14 at Carrier Dome.

Betting Trends
  • Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
  • Florida is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
  • Florida State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games
  • Florida State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Florida home to Alabama, Saturday, December 3rd