Matchups
Ohio State
Miami-FL
Hurricanes
11 - 2
Ohio State
Buckeyes
12 - 1
December 31, 2025, 7:30 PM EST
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Ohio

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7:30 PM ET
See Matchup
Miami-FL VS Ohio State
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
MIAMI
32.0 +280
OSU
42.6 -355
Spread Pick
+9.5
-9.5
Total Pick
O 42.5
U 42.5
Best ATS
- - - -
- - - -
Best O/U
- - - -
- - - -
UNDER 42.5 Points
FanDuel Logo
-115

The UNDER makes sense because both teams play slow, control possession (33+ minutes per game, over 29 seconds per play), and rely on elite defenses that rank top-6 nationally in scoring. With both quarterbacks avoiding crucial turnovers, this game will be slow and steady.

Read my full Cotton Bowl preview here.

Expert Pick: Josie Costigan

National Championship 2025-26

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Find the best Sportsbook for Ohio

Edge Finder

Overall

MIAMI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OSU Defense
34.0819Points Scored18.15
275.8320Passing Yards1129.08
148.8377Rushing Yards684.46
33:435Time on Field726:29
67.5060Number of Plays154.15
6.2928Yards Per Play23.94

Scoring

MIAMI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OSU Defense
34.0819Points Scored18.15
6.3359First Quarter11.15
10.2530Second Quarter22.46
9.507Third Quarter82.31
8.0037Fourth Quarter12.23

Passing

MIAMI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OSU Defense
275.8320Passing Yards1129.08
31.6760Pass Attempts324.31
23.3318Pass Completions414.54
0.9210Sacks312.54
6.25126Sack Yards10217.23
11.8263Yards Per Pass18.88

Rushing

MIAMI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OSU Defense
148.8377Rushing Yards684.46
35.8367Rush Attempts629.85
4.1585Yards Per Rush62.83

Turn Overs

MIAMI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OSU Defense
0.8379Interceptions900.62
0.332Fumbles1310.54
0.083Fumbles Lost1000.38
0.9217Total Turnovers1051.00
7.58125Penalties1343.85
62.67109Penalty Yards13430.15

Drives & Special Teams

MIAMI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OSU Defense
33:435Time on Field726:29
67.5060Number of Plays154.15
6.2928Yards Per Play23.94
3.0829Punts245.08
44.3541Punt Average12344.75
56.6763Return Yards322.00

Overall

MIAMI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OSU Offense
13.836Points Scored1834.92
190.9229Passing Yards26266.77
86.837Rushing Yards63162.77
26:166Time on Field633:30
61.5820Number of Plays10863.38
4.518Yards Per Play136.78

Scoring

MIAMI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OSU Offense
13.836Points Scored1834.92
2.509First Quarter347.08
2.251Second Quarter2610.54
2.509Third Quarter148.54
6.0857Fourth Quarter258.77

Passing

MIAMI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OSU Offense
190.9229Passing Yards26266.77
31.6786Pass Attempts9128.69
18.8371Pass Completions2922.38
2.8316Sacks80.85
22.42134Sack Yards1335.23
10.1412Yards Per Pass6011.92

Rushing

MIAMI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OSU Offense
86.837Rushing Yards63162.77
29.927Rush Attempts7834.69
2.9010Yards Per Rush434.69

Turn Overs

MIAMI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OSU Offense
1.0039Interceptions140.46
1.2545Fumbles50.54
0.6734Fumbles Lost110.23
1.6725Total Turnovers80.69
4.75118Penalties114.23
41.83113Penalty Yards1840.31

Drives & Special Teams

MIAMI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OSU Offense
26:166Time on Field633:30
61.5820Number of Plays10863.38
4.518Yards Per Play136.78
5.1719Punts41.92
44.83124Punt Average8742.12
18.921Return Yards12334.85

Head To Head

MIAMI
 Stat Type OSU
2-2
 Record
2-2
2-2
 ATS
2-2
2-2
 O/U
2-2
23.75
 Points Scored
21.25
145.25
 Rush Yds
153.75
32.75
 Pass Attempts
22.50
64.12
 Completion %
37.78
225.75
 Passing Yds
123.50
371
 Total Yds
277.25
3.75
 Turnovers
2.00
MIAMI
 Stat Type OSU
1-2
 Record
2-1
1-2
 ATS
2-1
2-1
 O/U
2-1
24.00
 Points Scored
24.33
142.67
 Rush Yds
166.33
35.33
 Pass Attempts
22.33
63.21
 Completion %
34.33
219.33
 Passing Yds
130.00
362
 Total Yds
296.33
3.67
 Turnovers
1.33
Sep 17/11 (1 of 4)
MIAMI
 Stat Type OSU
Home
Away
24
 Points Scored
6
-2.5
 ATS
+2.5
46 o
 O/U
46 u
240
 Rush Yds
174
23
 Pass Attempts
18
69.57
 Completion %
22.22
123
 Passing Yds
35
363
 Total Yds
209
2
 Turnovers
2
Sep 11/10 (2 of 4)
MIAMI
 Stat Type OSU
Away
Home
24
 Points Scored
36
+8.5
 ATS
-8.5
47 o
 O/U
47 u
120
 Rush Yds
181
39
 Pass Attempts
28
56.41
 Completion %
42.86
232
 Passing Yds
233
352
 Total Yds
414
4
 Turnovers
0
Jan 3/03 (3 of 4)
MIAMI
 Stat Type OSU
Home
Away
24
 Points Scored
31
-12
 ATS
+12
48 o
 O/U
48 u
68
 Rush Yds
144
44
 Pass Attempts
21
65.91
 Completion %
33.33
303
 Passing Yds
122
371
 Total Yds
266
5
 Turnovers
2
Aug 29/99 (4 of 4)
MIAMI
 Stat Type OSU
Away
Home
23
 Points Scored
12
+5
 ATS
-5
46.5 o
 O/U
46.5 u
153
 Rush Yds
116
25
 Pass Attempts
23
68.00
 Completion %
47.83
245
 Passing Yds
104
398
 Total Yds
220
4
 Turnovers
4

Team Records

MIAMI
 Record OSU
11-2
 All
12-1
7-1
 Home
7-0
4-1
 Away
5-0
0-0
 Neutral Site
0-1
8-5
 ATS
10-2-1
5-3
 ATS Home
6-0-1
3-2
 ATS Away
4-1
0-0
 ATS Neutral Site
0-1
5-8
 O/U
4-9
4-4
 O/U Home
4-3
1-4
 O/U Away
0-5
0-0
 O/U Neutral Site
0-1
MIAMI
 Record OSU
6-2
 All
9-1
3-1
 Home
4-0
3-1
 Away
5-0
0-0
 Neutral Site
0-1
4-4
 ATS
8-2
2-2
 ATS Home
4-0
2-2
 ATS Away
4-1
0-0
 ATS Neutral Site
0-1
3-5
 O/U
3-7
2-2
 O/U Home
3-1
1-3
 O/U Away
0-5
0-0
 O/U Neutral Site
0-1
MIAMI
 Record OSU
8-2
 All
9-1
4-1
 Home
4-0
4-1
 Away
5-0
0-0
 Neutral Site
0-1
6-4
 ATS
8-2
3-2
 ATS Home
4-0
3-2
 ATS Away
4-1
0-0
 ATS Neutral Site
0-1
3-7
 O/U
3-7
2-3
 O/U Home
3-1
1-4
 O/U Away
0-5
0-0
 O/U Neutral Site
0-1

Gametime Weather

6:30 pm EST Mostly Clear
7ºC / 45ºF
50% Humidity
2% Precipitation
20% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Retractable
Field Image
Arrow Image 9
 mph

Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 10 games.
  • Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
  • Miami-FL is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
  • Miami-FL is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games played in December.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 10 games when playing as the underdog.
  • Ohio State is 14-2-1 ATS in its last 17 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games.
  • Ohio State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games.
  • Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio State's last 12 games played in December.
  • Ohio State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing as the favourite.

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 20, 2025TEXAM10-3W+3/48.5W/U17510327889237326-2
Nov 29, 2025PITT38-7W-6.5/49W/U140276416301992290
Nov 22, 2025VTECH34-17W-17.5/49L/O83335418194201395-1
Nov 15, 2025NCSU41-7W-15.5/54.5W/U21436758123120143-1
Nov 8, 2025CUSE38-10W-28.5/46.5L/O124261385161124285-3
Nov 1, 2025SMU20-26L-8.5/50.5L/U159274433233653881
Oct 25, 2025STAN42-7W-28.5/45.5W/O1992054045589144-2
Oct 17, 2025LOUIS21-24L-10.5/49.5L/U632713341192483673
Oct 4, 2025FSU28-22W-3.5/54.5W/U97241338132272404-3
Sep 20, 2025FLA26-7W-8.5/51W/U18416034480611411
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 6, 2025INDY10-13L-3.5/45.5L/U582643221182223400
Nov 29, 2025MICH27-9W-9.5/43W/U186233419100631630
Nov 22, 2025RUT42-9W-28.5/54.5W/U25417643066811470
Nov 15, 2025UCLA48-10W-33.5/46.5W/O222218440681542220
Nov 8, 2025PUR34-10W-29/49.5L/U17030347392941860
Nov 1, 2025PSU38-14W-17.5/45W/O164316480551452000
Oct 18, 2025WIS34-0W-24.5/41.5W/U983934919549144-1
Oct 11, 2025ILL34-16W-14.5/51.5W/U10616627247248295-3
Oct 4, 2025MINN42-3W-23.5/42.5W/O13334147468941620
Sep 27, 2025WASH24-6W-9.5/53W/U149208357611732341
View Game Logs
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