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Michigan Eyes Third Straight Win Over Michigan State

Michigan quarterback Joe Milton (5) leaps forward as Minnesota defensive lineman Boye Mafe (34) tackles him during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 24, 2020, in Minneapolis.

The Michigan Wolverines are 2-0 SU and ATS in their last two games against the Michigan State Spartans after going 2-8 SU and 0-10 ATS in their previous 10 head-to-head meetings. The Wolverines hope their recent success against Michigan State continues when the teams clash again Saturday afternoon.

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines
  • Date/Time: October 31, 12 noon ET
  • Stadium: Michigan Stadium
  • TV Coverage: Fox
  • Opening Odds: Michigan -23.5 | O/U 53.5 (Line History)
  • Michigan State vs Michigan Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

Michigan opened as a 23.5-point favorite and has since been bet up to -25. The total has remained steady early in the week at 53.5 points. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against Michigan, but the Wolverines did win 44-10 in this matchup at home last season.

Michigan State News & Notes

After suffering through a 0-5 SU and ATS midseason slump last year, the Spartans rallied to end 2019 on a high note with a 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS run that included a win over Wake Forest in the Pinstripe Bowl.

Michigan State was hoping to carry that momentum into a strong start to the 2020 season but instead lost outright to the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 38-27 as a 9.5-point home favorite in last Saturday’s season opener.

Junior starting quarterback Rocky Lombardi played fairly well with 319 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, but he also threw two interceptions in the loss. Turnovers were an issue all game long for the Spartans, who lost five fumbles as well. Michigan State will need to get things together in a hurry if it hopes to be competitive against Michigan.

Michigan News & Notes

New quarterback Joe Milton looked sharp in his first start with the Wolverines last Saturday, going 15-for-22 with 225 passing yards and one touchdown strike to go along with 52 rushing yards and one score on the ground.

Michigan didn’t turn the ball over once and coasted to a 49-24 win as a 3-point road favorite against the Minnesota Golden Gophers. After allowing 17 points in the first half, the defense settled in to yield only seven in the second half.

Michigan went on a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS run last season before going 0-2 SU and ATS with back-to-back double-digit losses to the Ohio State Buckeyes and Alabama Crimson Tide. This has been the Wolverines’ story under head coach Jim Harbaugh – always competitive, but never quite good enough to take the next step into national championship contention. Will this season be any different?

Betting Pick: UNDER 53.5 points

Michigan State’s defense was put in a tough spot last week due to all of the turnovers, and Michigan’s defense was solid after a slow start that was understandable following the long layoff. With both teams now settled in, look for the Wolverines to win comfortably in a low-scoring affair that goes UNDER the posted total.

Shark Bites
  • Michigan State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games vs Big Ten opponents.
  • Michigan is 13-1 in its last 14 games at home.
  • The UNDER is 14-6 in Michigan State’s last 20 games.