NCAAF

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes

Northwestern
Wildcats
8 - 4
Ohio State
Buckeyes
11 - 1
December 01, 2018, 8:00 PM EST
 | Lucas Oil Stadium

Game Preview

Northwestern
Wildcats
8 - 4
Ohio State
Buckeyes
11 - 1
December 01, 2018, 8:00 PM EST
 | Lucas Oil Stadium
  • Flying high off a massive win against rival Michigan in The Game in their regular-season finale, the Ohio State Buckeyes now eye their third Big Ten championship in five years and a potential berth in the College Football Playoff – a berth that looked to be out of the question just a couple of weeks ago. Ohio State opened as a 14-point favorite against the West Division champion Northwestern Wildcats and the total had climbed to 61 as of Tuesday afternoon.

    SHARK BITES
    • Northwestern is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs Ohio State (avg. losing margin: 30.83).
    • Ohio State is 0-3 ATS in its last three games after an ATS win.
    • Northwestern is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games vs its conference.

    Northwestern vs Ohio State Big Ten Championship Game Center

    Haskins Has Proved That No Defense Can Stop Him

    Putting points on the board has not been a problem for Ohio State this season. Dwayne Haskins has set Ohio State single-season school records in completions (314), pass attempts (455), passing touchdowns (42), passing yards (4,081), completion percentage (69%) and total offense (4,130).

    He was second only to Gardner Minshew in passing yards this season, had five more touchdown passes than runner-up Will Grier, and torched the FBS’ top defense from Michigan for 396 passing yards, six passing TDs and 62 points in The Game.

    That’s not good news for Northwestern’s No. 79 pass defense that allowed 238 yards per game on average this season. Against comparable competition (although nobody is comparable to Dwayne Haskins at this juncture), the Wildcats gave up 343 yards in the air and another 121 on the ground vs Notre Dame and also 329 passing yards vs Michigan State.

    Northwestern is 111th in Yards Per Game

    Gaining yardage has not been the forte of this Northwestern team that has gotten by with above-average defensive play in winning the West Division of the Big Ten. Top receiving option Flynn Nagel is listed as questionable for the Big Ten championship after missing the season finale and that will make things even tougher on Clayton Thorson as he looks to go mano-a-mano with Haskins.

    The Wildcats are near the bottom of the FBS in terms of points per game as well, scoring just 23.7 points on average. That’s the No. 108 scoring offense in the nation, worse than such teams as Ball State, East Carolina and Bowling Green.

    My Bet for This Game

    I am quite confident taking the 14-point favorites from Ohio State playing indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. This is the first time that Northwestern has ever played in the Big Ten championship while the majority of this Ohio State team was here last year in the exact same building with the exact same stakes.

    The emphasis on winning will be underscored by an emphasis on winning big for the Buckeyes. They will need a dominant performance plus some help from Alabama and Texas in order to sneak into the College Football Playoff, so don’t expect Urban Meyer to take the foot off the gas once they get up by a couple of scores.

    I’d also have no trouble betting OVER 60.5 in this game and I expect that total to climb as kickoff gets closer. 

Odds

Saturday, December 1 Sat Dec 1


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+13
-105
+444
o57
-110
-13
-115
-531
u57
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+16.5
-103
+595
o62.5
-120
-16.5
-117
-770
u62.5
+100

Edge Finder

16.58
Total Score
45.69
177.33
Passing Yards
380.92
144.17
Rushing Yards
180.31
28:19
Time on Field
29:22
68.08
Number of Plays
70.54
4.72
Yards Per Play
7.96
16.58
Total Score
45.69
3.50
First Quarter
9.54
4.58
Second Quarter
17.69
2.17
Third Quarter
9.54
6.33
Fourth Quarter
8.92
177.33
Passing Yards
380.92
30.42
Pass Attempts
38.00
17.33
Pass Completions
26.85
2.33
Sacks
1.31
17.25
Sack Yards
10.23
10.23
Yards Per Pass
14.19
144.17
Rushing Yards
180.31
37.67
Rush Attempts
32.54
3.83
Yards Per Rush
5.54
1.17
Interceptions
0.62
1.58
Fumbles
0.85
0.67
Fumbles Lost
0.23
1.83
Total Turnovers
0.85
4.75
Penalties
6.54
42.33
Penalty Yards
59.23
28:19
Time on Field
29:22
68.08
Number of Plays
70.54
4.72
Yards Per Play
7.96
5.25
Punts
2.38
40.43
Punt Average
42.25
48.42
Return Yards
86.46

Head To Head

NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
1-9
Record
9-1
3-6-1
ATS
6-3-1
6-4
O/U
6-4
15.30
Score
38.10
109.50
Rush Yds
223.30
35.60
Pass Attempts
23.50
55.62
Completion %
57.02
204.10
Passing Yds
180.30
313.6
Total Yds
403.6
2.30
Turnovers
1.50
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
0-3
Record
3-0
1-2
ATS
2-1
2-1
O/U
2-1
20.00
Score
36.33
119.67
Rush Yds
233.33
34.00
Pass Attempts
24.67
64.71
Completion %
60.81
259.33
Passing Yds
207.67
379
Total Yds
441
2.00
Turnovers
1.00
Oct 29/16 (1 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Away
Home
20
Score
24
+26
ATS
-26
53.5 o
O/U
53.5 u
148
Rush Yds
208
44
Pass Attempts
32
52.27
Completion %
65.63
258
Passing Yds
223
406
Total Yds
431
1
Turnovers
0
Oct 5/13 (2 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Home
Away
30
Score
40
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
61 o
O/U
61 u
94
Rush Yds
248
31
Pass Attempts
26
80.65
Completion %
57.69
343
Passing Yds
203
437
Total Yds
451
2
Turnovers
3
Nov 8/08 (3 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Home
Away
10
Score
45
+12.5
ATS
-12.5
38.5 o
O/U
38.5 u
117
Rush Yds
244
27
Pass Attempts
16
66.67
Completion %
56.25
177
Passing Yds
197
294
Total Yds
441
3
Turnovers
0
Sep 22/07 (4 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Away
Home
7
Score
58
+24.5
ATS
-24.5
49 o
O/U
49 u
0
Rush Yds
191
33
Pass Attempts
20
51.52
Completion %
70.00
120
Passing Yds
205
120
Total Yds
396
3
Turnovers
2
Nov 11/06 (5 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Home
Away
10
Score
54
+22.5
ATS
-22.5
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
68
Rush Yds
231
36
Pass Attempts
24
58.33
Completion %
58.33
229
Passing Yds
194
297
Total Yds
425
5
Turnovers
2
Nov 12/05 (6 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Away
Home
7
Score
48
+20.5
ATS
-20.5
58 o
O/U
58 u
98
Rush Yds
317
40
Pass Attempts
15
45.00
Completion %
60.00
153
Passing Yds
105
251
Total Yds
422
2
Turnovers
1
Oct 2/04 (7 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Home
Away
33
Score
27
+11.5
ATS
-11.5
45 o
O/U
45 u
166
Rush Yds
97
44
Pass Attempts
38
54.55
Completion %
47.37
278
Passing Yds
211
444
Total Yds
308
2
Turnovers
2
Sep 27/03 (8 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Away
Home
0
Score
20
+20
ATS
-20
46 o
O/U
46 u
121
Rush Yds
125
25
Pass Attempts
32
40.00
Completion %
59.38
64
Passing Yds
186
185
Total Yds
311
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 5/02 (9 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Home
Away
16
Score
27
+27
ATS
-27
59 o
O/U
59 u
113
Rush Yds
285
45
Pass Attempts
22
53.33
Completion %
50.00
283
Passing Yds
170
396
Total Yds
455
2
Turnovers
3
Oct 6/01 (10 of 10)
NWESTN
Stat Type OHIOST
Away
Home
20
Score
38
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
53 o
O/U
53 u
170
Rush Yds
287
31
Pass Attempts
10
58.06
Completion %
40.00
136
Passing Yds
109
306
Total Yds
396
2
Turnovers
1

Team Records

NWESTN
Record OHIOST
8-4
All
11-1
3-4
Home
7-0
5-0
Away
3-1
0-0
Neutral Site
1-0
6-5-1
ATS
5-7
2-4-1
ATS Home
4-3
4-1
ATS Away
1-3
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-1
5-7
O/U
6-6
3-4
O/U Home
3-4
2-3
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
1-0
NWESTN
Record OHIOST
8-1
All
8-1
3-1
Home
5-0
5-0
Away
3-1
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-3
ATS
3-6
2-2
ATS Home
2-3
4-1
ATS Away
1-3
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
3-6
O/U
4-5
1-3
O/U Home
2-3
2-3
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
NWESTN
Record OHIOST
7-3
All
9-1
3-3
Home
5-0
4-0
Away
3-1
0-0
Neutral Site
1-0
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
2-3-1
ATS Home
2-3
3-1
ATS Away
1-3
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-1
4-6
O/U
5-5
3-3
O/U Home
2-3
1-3
O/U Away
2-2
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
1-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00pm Chance of a Thunderstorm
13ºC / 56ºF
92% Humidity
50% Precipitation
99% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type N/A
Field Image
Arrow Image 13
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 24, 2018ILLINO24-16W-14.5/57.5-L/U261110371154281435-1
Nov 17, 2018MINN24-14W+3/49-W/U95230325109197306-3
Nov 10, 2018IOWA14-10W+11/46-W/U184122306642693330
Nov 3, 2018NOTRD21-31L+10/49.5-P/O108141249121343464-1
Oct 27, 2018WISCSN31-17W+4.5/50.5-W/U1821673491651583230
Oct 20, 2018RUTGER18-15W-20.5/48.5-L/U128150278107811881
Oct 13, 2018NEBR34-31W-3.5/58.5-L/O32455487231251482-1
Oct 6, 2018MICHST29-19W+10.5/43.5-W/O8373381963294251
Sep 29, 2018MICH17-20L+14.5/46.5-W/U281742021801963760
Sep 15, 2018AKRON34-39L-21.5/47-L/O86405491902773672
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 24, 2018MICH62-39W+4.5/53-W/O249318567161240401-1
Nov 17, 2018MARYL52-51W-14/61.5-L/O2834056883391965352
Nov 10, 2018MICHST26-6W-3.5/49-W/U12022734754220274-2
Nov 3, 2018NEBR36-31W-17.5/75.5-L/U2292524811842664502
Oct 20, 2018PURDUE20-49L-12/65.5-L/O764705461613785391
Oct 13, 2018MINN30-14W-30/61-L/U92412504178218396-3
Oct 6, 2018INDIAN49-26W-27.5/64-L/O154455609843224061
Sep 29, 2018PENNST27-26W-3.5/69.5-L/U1192703892062864920
Sep 22, 2018TULANE49-6W-37.5/67-W/U1514195701001562560
Sep 15, 2018TCU40-28W-12.5/59.5-L/O182344526203308511-3
View Game Logs